2009 Bowl Projections - Final

I'm writing this as the Wisconsin-Hawaii game is wrapping up.  Wisconsin is up by more than two touchdowns in the 2nd Quarter, and I don't think that it makes a difference whether they win or lose.  I think their slot is set.  In fact, after Texas held on to beat Nebraska (despite, not because of Colt McCoy), the Big Ten and BCS bowls seem pretty well set.

 5daa8bab-390c-48af-9298-2422fa522540_medium

Which was the only conference that couldn't deliver a close championship game?

In the six BCS conferences, we had official title games in three conferences and de facto title games in three conferences.  The margins in the six games? 1 (Cincy over Pitt), 1 (Texas over Nebraska), 3 (Ohio State over Iowa), 4 (Oregon over Oregon State), 5 (Georgia Tech over Clemson), and 19.  Only the "Game of the Century" failed to be a classic.  Here are the final projections for the BCS and Big Ten Bowls.

Remember the rules.

  1. The best teams don't always go to the best games.  In the end, butts in the seat and eyes to the television are the biggest factors.  
  2. The order of BCS selection is 1) Replacement for #1 Team; 2) Replacement for #2 Team; 3) Orange Bowl; 4) Fiesta Bowl; 5) Sugar Bowl.
  3. The Champs Bowl picks its Big Ten team ahead of the Alamo Bowl this year.
  4. For the full rules on BCS selections, look here
Bcs_championship_logo2009_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium Alabama_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Texas_old5_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium My guess is that when the rankings come out tomorrow, it will be Cincinnati, and not TCU that ended up :01 away from a shot at Alabama.
Orangebowl_2005_small_medium_medium_medium_medium Georgia_tech_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Texas_christian_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium The Orange Bowl is really hoping that the Fiesta passes on a Big Ten team to match up two undefeated teams in Arizona (it is a hip rumor), but...
Fiestabowl_2006_medium_medium_medium_medium Iowa_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Boise_st_medium_medium_medium_medium that's not happening.  The Fiesta takes Iowa over Penn State.  They're the better team.
Sugarbowl_2006_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium Florida_old11_medium Cincinnati_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium What are the odds the Ezekiel 25:17 is written on Tebow's eyeblack at the Sugar Bowl?
Rosebowl_small_medium_medium_medium_medium Ohio_st_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Oregon_old15_medium The Big Ten is winning the Rose Bowl this year.  It's going to win at least 4 of 7 bowl games.
Capitalonebowl2002_small_medium_medium_medium_medium Penn_state_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Lsu_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium The weakness of both teams is in the trenches.  Should be a fascinating game.
Outbackbowl_2008_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium Wisconsin_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Auburn_medium_medium_medium_medium So instead of facing a Monte Kiffin defense with a month to prepare, the Badgers get a team that won one of their last six games against 1-A competition?  Thank you, Mr. Bloomin' Onion!
Champssportsbowl_2004_medium_medium_medium_medium Northwestern_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Clemson_medium_medium_medium_medium Did you see what CJ Spiller did?  Dear God, that's scary.
Alamobowl_2007sm_medium_medium_medium_medium Michigan_st_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Oklahoma_medium_medium_medium_medium Could the Alamo pick Minnesota to avoid a Spartan squad weakened by suspensions?  Yes, but it won't.  I'm also thinking that it won't miss out on its first chance to host Oklahoma. That means jumping the Sooners over Texas Tech and Missouri.
Insightbowl2002_small_medium_medium_medium_medium Minnesota_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Missouri1_medium_medium_medium_medium Neither fanbase 1) travels exceptionally well and 2) is overly excited for the game.  This crowd could be very small.
Images_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Middle_tennessee_st_medium_medium_medium Bowling_green_medium_medium Like Notre Dame would ever sully itself by playing a MAC team in a bowl game in Detroit...
Images_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium

Purdue_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium

Indiana_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium

Michigan_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium

Illinois_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium

Only Illinois could lose that way to Fresno State.  If you're going to finish with a Zook-like record, you'll end up On the Couch with the Queso Bowl (now sponsored by Ro*Tel).

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