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Perceptions, Perceptions: Why the Big Ten wasn't favored in all of its bowl wins

An esteemed ESPNer said the Big Ten would go 1-6 this Bowl Season, with Minnesota being the only lock for a victory. This comment, especially to me and the people who watched Big Ten football in 2009, seemed especially uneducated (Minnesota? Really?). But it was understandable - the commenter didn't do research and simply based his picks on perceptions, built up over the last three yeas. Let's talk about a couple of those ideas.

Wisconsin v. Miami: The Badgers had run the ball versus everyone...except OSU and Iowa. The MSM took one look at this matchup and made a snap judgment - Wisky will be stuffed by the speed of Miami FL's miniature linemen and LB's because they can't run against big time teams. Oh, and Miami's wide receivers would run their crossing routes right by the Wisky secondary, because, uh, Wisconsin CB's have to be slow, right?

20091229-235812-pic-767581061

Star-divide

Whoops. Here's what a closer look would have revealed: Wisky had a balanced offensive attack that exhibited more imagination than a Badger squad has probably ever shown, full of reverses and great comeback routes from the WRs. The offensive line, while massive and slow, had a definite identity and played together well; they were also injury free. Wisconsin's defense, meanwhile, had tremendous speed from the outside pass rush (NFL, meet O'Brien Schofield), great size from JJ Watt, and a secondary that was tremendously improved from 2008.

The perception of Wisconsin as a plodding Sherman Tank that can be defeated by simply running around it was wrong. Someone with nuanced coverage of football would have seen this game for what it was - a great matchup between a sporadically brilliant Miami team and a steadily powerful, but well coached and talented Wisky team.

Ohio State v. Oregon: The MSM and Vegas listed the big O as a favorite. Intriguing - and that can be totally based on perceptions of OSU's failure in BCS games and the Buck's apparent aversion to playing speedy teams. Also, 2009 is a year where Pac 10 v Big 10 = Pac 10.

A more nuanced look, and kudos to LawBuck for choosing OSU in the OPC pick em, would have shown a hot OSU team, overrunning good offenses of any variety on the strength of one of the nation's best defenses. The more in-depth look would have shown that Tressel was truly learning how to use Pryor, rolling him out of the pocket where he doesn't have to make NFL style throws and can freelance more.

Penn State v. LSU: Vegas and Joe Sixpack were at odds here, which confused BSD and everyone else around these here parts. LSU featured a horrendous offense with no identity and yet were expected to score more than a cohesive PSU team that had only struggled against two Top 10 teams. I still remember Verne Lundquist telling everyone his thoughts for who was #1...It went like this:

1. Florida/Bama/LSU

And I said, hmm, LSU isn't even a Top 10 team, much less Top 5. So while Vegas was making the Nittany Lions a favorite, Joe Sixpack was picking LSU at something like an 80% clip. Perception won out here - the LSU athletes MUST be so much better, they can surely overcome their obvious deficiencies to defeat a Big Ten team that hasn't played anyone.

Iowa v. GT: Anyone who watched this game knew Iowa was the better team from the onset. It was comical, watching the big linebackers not have to play pass defense, instead being asked to just go up and hammer some poor Yellowjacket RB. "What, you're telling us we don't have to worry about pass coverage? Oh. Ok. Well. I'll just be smashing someone over there. Great. See you out there."

So why was Iowa not favored? Three main issues. First, Iowa plays in the Big Ten. Second, Iowa's QB had been injured and people were unsure of how Stanzi would react to Morgan and the athletic Yellowjackets. Third, Iowa plays in the Big Ten. Stuffing the run games of, well everyone they played, doesn't necessarily translate to stuffing the run game of GT.

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Well said

Everyone should take notice now and show us a little more respect. Two BCS bowl wins and two more wins over “better” SEC and ACC teams is pretty impressive. Finally the bad juju surrounding the Big Ten can start to fade away.

To the Big Ten!

Columbus til I die, Columbus til I die. I know I am, I swear I am, Columbus til I die!

Damn it feels good to be a Buckeye!

FKA BLAZER_FAN_199. Now an author for the Jackets Cannon!

by Andrew Tolliver on Jan 6, 2010 10:28 AM CST reply actions  

Did Forde say that?

His college football analysis gets worse each year.

Big junkies come from little junkies.

by RossWB on Jan 6, 2010 11:04 AM CST reply actions  

I believe it was Forde

And someone else followed up with it, May/Holtz or someone, saying the Big Ten had the toughest road bowl wise…Which last year, I would have agreed with, but this was just ignorance of matchups.

by Graham Filler on Jan 6, 2010 11:11 AM CST up reply actions  

Mark May

Also said that Wisconsin would only win 3 or at max 4 games this year.

I think maybe they should put me on TV instead…

by Hilary Lee on Jan 6, 2010 12:42 PM CST up reply actions  

It depends hmlee...

Do you have the ability to obfusticate when proven wrong?

Mark May is like that Chicago writer who said if Joakim Noah turned into a productive player for the Bulls, he would eat his words dipped in SALSA. Guess who wound up eating newsprint…

I’d LOVE to see May eat his words dipped in some Tabasco sauce. I’m pretty sure Wisconsin went 10-3 this year and beat an ex-national powerhouse…

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Jan 6, 2010 10:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Well...

Since I’m in law school I hope I have the ability to obfusticate when proven wrong… :)

by Hilary Lee on Jan 7, 2010 10:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Was Minn the only favored Big Ten team?

my team really laid an egg.

A 4-3 record for the Big Ten shows we are better. 5-2 (regardless of who got that 5th win) would have made a statement.

what you say here can, and will, be used against you

by GopherNation on Jan 6, 2010 12:50 PM CST reply actions  

Just curious...

…but what was the Big Ten’s record against the spread? Because I know Northwestern covered (they were 7-8.5 point underdogs, as i recall).

by Chadnudj on Jan 6, 2010 2:36 PM CST reply actions  

I'm no pro at looking up lines...

but according to vegasinsider.com, TTech was -9 and won by 10 to cover. Minnesota was favored and lost, and all the rest covered. So, assuming that -9 number is “official,” we were 5-2 against the spread.

by Magical Ruddy Duck on Jan 6, 2010 3:32 PM CST up reply actions  

True...

But SEC fans will claim that we would never have beaten their teams had we played them in BCS games.

Who cares about them?

4-3 in bowl games, and the Big Ten won the SECOND ACC-Big10 challenge of the year with 2 wins (both by ranked opponents OVER ranked opponents).

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Jan 6, 2010 10:01 PM CST up reply actions  

most people just don't do research on teams

Anyone who actually watched these teams play would have realized that the Big Ten is much faster where they have to be than a couple of years ago. As a gopher fan, I hope Jedd Fisch goes to be on Shanahan’s staff. Maybe then the offense won’t suck so much and they can actually get to a lower bowl game and maybe win. I would love to see a Big Ten bowl sweep someday.

by TheEvilProfessor on Jan 10, 2010 12:49 PM CST reply actions  

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