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Slipping the Trap: How MSU Will Beat Illinois

Michigan State continues to build an impressive resume this season, handing Michigan its third straight loss to the Spartans and first of the season, holding Denard Robinson to "only" 301 total yards. 

Michigan State's offense also demonstrated ruthless efficiency in its balanced attack, scoring on 6 of 11 drives and averaging 3.09 points per drive; but also being able to go into clock-killing, life-choking mode at the end of the game (even though MSU only had a 17-point lead, it was as good as a 30-point lead in terms of being insurmountable).

Illinois is really somewhat of an enigma this year.  Illinois has faced two tough opponents, both at home, and have kept it close but lost both times (23-13 to then-unranked Missouri, and 24-13 to then-#2 Ohio State).  Illinois has the requisite wins over Directional Illinois schools; one an FCS cupcake, one a pretty decent MAC team.  So far Illinois' signature win was in Happy Valley over Penn State, but this appears to be as much a factor of Penn State's novice offense coupled with a terribly depleted defense.

Illinois freshman quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase had impressive numbers against Penn State's depleted secondary (15-19, 151 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT).  However that was a career day for him;  he is currently ranked 96th out of 100 nationally for passer rating (108.83).  Illinois' offense is primarily a run-based, hammering offense.  Running back Mikel Leshoure is #9 nationally in yards per game (121.20 YPG) , but #88 in yards per carry (5.77 YPC).

The difference this year for Illinois has been the improvement on defense. 

 

 

20102009
Points per Game Allowed (rank) 17.0 (21) 30.2 (96)
Rush yards/attempt Allowed (rank) 3.68 (T-41) 4.23 (T-78)
Rush yards/game Allowed (rank) 117.0 (32) 154.42 (75)
Pass yards/attempt Allowed (rank) 6.1 (T-26) 8.0 (T-99)
Pass yards/game Allowed (rank) 187.8 (T-37) 248.8 (100)


 

Overall, that could be considered a pretty nice defense....nice defense.....nice defense you got there, coach.....


[CUE harp music and wavy scene transition]

Star-divide

[SCENE:  Interior of a football coach's office, mid-day.  COACHRONZOOK sits at a messy desk, holding up and intently studying a football playbook; the cover of the book says "FUTBALL PLAYBOK".   Cut to POV behind the coach to reveal that the inside of the book is actually a waterskiing apparel catalog.  Shift focus to POV through the glass office door, we can see ASSISTANT COACH Vic Koenning leading two men to the door, then knocking and entering.]

Assistant Coach: Two civilian gentlemen to see you sir!

COACHRONZOOK: Show them in please, Vic.

Assistant Coach: Mr Dino Vercotti and Mr Luigi Vercotti.

(The Vercotti brothers enter. They wear Mafia suits and dark glasses.)

Dino: Good morning, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: Good morning gentlemen. Now what can I do for you.

Luigi(looking round office casually)  You've....you've got a nice football defense here, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: Yes.

Luigi: We wouldn't want anything to happen to it.

COACHRONZOOK: What?

Dino: No, what my brother means is it would be a shame if... (he knocks a plaster casting of a kid's handprint with "World's Greatest Coach" and "Rose Bowl 2nd Place" finger-painted on it off mantel)

COACHRONZOOK: Oh.

Dino: Oh sorry, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: Well don't worry about that. But please do sit down.

Luigi: No, we prefer to stand, thank you, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: All right. All right. But what do you want?

Dino: What do we want, ha ha ha.

Luigi: Ha ha ha, very good, Coach.

Dino: The Coach's a joker, Luigi.

Luigi: Explain it to the Coach, Dino.

Dino: How many linebackers you got, Coach?

COACHRONZOOK: About thirteen altogether.

Luigi: Thirteen linebackers, eh?

Dino: You ought to be careful, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: We are careful, extremely careful.

Dino: 'Cos things break, don't they?

COACHRONZOOK: Break?

Luigi: Well everything breaks, don't it Coach. (he breaks papier-mache "National Championship Trophy" on desk) Oh dear.

Dino: Oh see my brother's clumsy Coach, and when he gets unhappy he breaks things. Like say, he don't feel the University's playing fair by him, he may start breaking things, Coach.

COACHRONZOOK: What is all this about?

Luigi: How many men you got on defense, Coach?

COACHRONZOOK: Oh, er... nineteen defensive backs, twelve defensive linemen, thirteen linebackers, and er, a punter.

Luigi:  Punter, Dino.

Dino: Be a shame if someone was to set fire to him.

COACHRONZOOK: Set fire to him?

Luigi: Fires happen, Coach.

Dino: Things burn.

COACHRONZOOK: Look, what is all this about?

Dino: My brother and I have got a little proposition for you, Coach.

Luigi: Could save you a lot of bother.

Dino: I mean you're doing all right this season, aren't you, Coach?

Luigi: Well suppose some of your linebackers was to get broken and defensive backs started getting lost, er, fights started breaking out on the sidelines, like.

Dino: It wouldn't be good for the season, would it, Coach?

COACHRONZOOK: Are you threatening me?

Dino: Oh, no, no, no.

Luigi: Whatever made you think that, Coach?

Dino: The Coach doesn't think we're nice people, Luigi.

Luigi: We're your buddies, Coach.

Dino: We want to look after you.

COACHRONZOOK: Look after me?

Luigi: We can guarantee you that not a single defensive tackle will get done over for a fifteen-point loss at Michigan State.

COACHRONZOOK: No, no, no.

Luigi: Twelve points.

COACHRONZOOK: No, no, no.

Luigi: Eight point loss... five point come-from-behind loss...

COACHRONZOOK: No, no this is silly.

Dino: What's silly?

COACHRONZOOK: No, the whole premise is silly and it's very badly written. I'm the Coach here and I haven't had a funny line yet. So I'm stopping it.

Dino: You can't do that!

COACHRONZOOK: I've done it. The sketch is over.

[CUE harp music and wavy scene transition]

Well, that won't work.  OK, then, fine.  MSU plays its same grind-it-out style.  Illinois did well slowing Ohio State's balanced attack, but still was not able to stop it.  Scheelhaase reverts to the mean against an improving MSU defense, even with freshman Darqueze Dennard replacing the suspended Chris L. Rucker at cornerback.  MSU, 24-10.

 

[Army Protection Racket script H/TMontyPython.net.

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This game worries me....

….aside from the classic “trap game” profile, I’ll be in Chicago watching the game with my 2 Illini alum sisters. This has happened for 2 different Illinois-MSU basketball games, and we have lost both.
I may have to ditch my sisters before game time.

by Spartan D on Oct 13, 2010 4:34 PM CDT reply actions  

You obviously need to be in E.L. before game time

if stuff like THAT happens! Really, though, you’re just lucky that games in Breslin East are no longer a struggle.

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
No longer using Yahoo! Sports for anything besides stat checking since 9/29/2010...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 13, 2010 6:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm not as worried about this game as I am about the Northwestern game.

Illinois is, honestly, a less-skilled version of MSU. Reminds me of MSU last year but with a less bad defense: New young starting quarterback, decent run game, gets one or two surprising wins, probably about or just above .500 quality overall.

Northwestern is an even bigger trap game. Northwestern has had 2 weeks to prepare. MSU may be looking ahead to the following week’s clash with Iowa. Northwestern is the “death by paper cuts” offense that MSU struggles with.

by CPT Hoolie on Oct 14, 2010 8:51 AM CDT reply actions  

Boy, John L. Smith scarred you, didn't he?

You’re at home, against an inferior opponent, with a good coaching staff that has been in big games, and played ‘week after the big game’ games.

I expect MSU to roll.

The Daily Norseman
Off Tackle Empire
SB Nation Minnesota

"A parent's only as good as their dumbest kid. If one wins a Nobel Prize but the other gets robbed by a hooker, you failed."

"Pull your 84 jerseys out, man. I think this is going to be a fun ride." Randy Moss, WR, Minnesota Vikings

by Ted Glover on Oct 14, 2010 9:04 PM CDT reply actions  

You don't recover from something like that

I went to the Red River Shootout, and watching Texas play I thought I was having PTSD flashbacks to the JLS days.

I’m more worried about Northwestern (that’s the real trap game), but I will never not be worried about an MSU game.

by SpartanDan on Oct 14, 2010 9:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

Unless its Izzo in Breslin East, right?

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
No longer using Yahoo! Sports for anything besides stat checking since 9/29/2010...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 14, 2010 9:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

I feel where you're coming from

after the Cooper and Earle Bruce years, it took me awhile to start to expect to win. Earle was a good coach and did well against UM, but he had a penchant for losing to teams he shouldn’t have.

The Daily Norseman
Off Tackle Empire
SB Nation Minnesota

"A parent's only as good as their dumbest kid. If one wins a Nobel Prize but the other gets robbed by a hooker, you failed."

"Pull your 84 jerseys out, man. I think this is going to be a fun ride." Randy Moss, WR, Minnesota Vikings

by Ted Glover on Oct 14, 2010 10:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Biggest example I could find for Bruce

was the 1987 loss…to a Wisconsin team that finished 1-7 in conference play. Ugh.

Additionally in Bruce’s tenure, there was a 6-0 loss to Wisconsin in 1982 in Ohio Stadium, as well as a 16-14 loss to the Badgers in 1984. He did NOT have a good tenure against the Badgers…

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
No longer using Yahoo! Sports for anything besides stat checking since 9/29/2010...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 15, 2010 8:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

OSU was a perennial 9-3 team under Earle

And two of those wins, with the exception of 1987, Earle’s last year and worst team, were games that you could argue OSU could’ve or should’ve won.

The Daily Norseman
Off Tackle Empire
SB Nation Minnesota

"A parent's only as good as their dumbest kid. If one wins a Nobel Prize but the other gets robbed by a hooker, you failed."

"Pull your 84 jerseys out, man. I think this is going to be a fun ride." Randy Moss, WR, Minnesota Vikings

by Ted Glover on Oct 15, 2010 6:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

At least his worst team didn't lose to an SEC squad...

I mean, they tied, but it wasn’t a loss.

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
I was fined $15,000 by David Stern for complaining about the officiating...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 15, 2010 7:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

OSU has beat SEC teams

Just not, you know, in a bowl. Or for the National Cahmpionship. In football or basketball.

But other than that, OSU pretty much kicks the SEC’s ass.

The Daily Norseman
Off Tackle Empire
SB Nation Minnesota

"A parent's only as good as their dumbest kid. If one wins a Nobel Prize but the other gets robbed by a hooker, you failed."

"Pull your 84 jerseys out, man. I think this is going to be a fun ride." Randy Moss, WR, Minnesota Vikings

by Ted Glover on Oct 15, 2010 10:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

eSECpn disagrees

stupid statistic. If the Buckeyes scheduled Mississippi State or Tennessee now, it would be a marked improvement from Eastern Michigan (cough cough basketball offense cough) and Ohio U.

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
I was fined $15,000 by David Stern for complaining about the officiating...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 15, 2010 10:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

Mizzou was a neutral site game in St. Louis

When I was a kid, I didn't want to be a doctor or a fireman. I wanted to be Super Mario. It's the most literal pipe dream I've ever had.

by U-God on Oct 14, 2010 10:49 PM CDT reply actions  

WHY DO THE ILLINI PLAY THERE

Herm Edwards is baffled by the notion of going to the same venue 6 times and losing every single time…

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
No longer using Yahoo! Sports for anything besides stat checking since 9/29/2010...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 15, 2010 8:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

i hate it myself

and am glad that it’s over. never been a fan of neutral site games.

When I was a kid, I didn't want to be a doctor or a fireman. I wanted to be Super Mario. It's the most literal pipe dream I've ever had.

by U-God on Oct 15, 2010 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

YOU PLAY TO WIN THE GAME!

You don’t play to just play it!

Fake Adam Weber after a 41-23 loss to Wisconsin made him 0-4 against the Badgers in his career: "I don't even want to play football anymore."
I was fined $15,000 by David Stern for complaining about the officiating...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 15, 2010 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

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