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Big Ten 2010 // Penn State Spring Field Guide

NINTH IN A SERIES: THE PENN STATE SPRING FIELD GUIDE

Has Penn State crossed the threshold and become one of the few programs that can say they "reload" and compete for a BCS game every year?  Or is the program a step or two away, needing to accept "rebuilding" for a year or two after every conference-title-run season?  The 2009 season was a step in the right direction, but it will probably be 2010 that Nittany Lion fans (and their rivals) will point to as dispositive evidence in the "rebuild-or-reload" debate.

Lion_medium

Penn State at a glance...

First Season: 1877
Head Coach: Joseph Vincent Paterno (44th Year, 394-129-3, .752 winning percentage)
All-Time Record: 811-351-42 (.691)
2009 Record: 11-2 (6-2 Conference)

Penn_state_fans_medium

Offseason Cliff Notes:

The span from 2005-2008 was your typical Penn State "rebuilding" pattern:  A conference title season, two years of 9-4 records with a fair share of heartbreaking, turnover-filled losses, and then another conference title when the stars aligned/offensive line was experienced at the same time. 

2009 was, in that sense, a relief.  No inexplicable losses to lesser-talented teams.  The Iowa loss stung, but at least that Iowa team was a tough squad which matched up really well against Penn State, and ended the season with a convincing win in the Orange Bowl over the ACC champion.  A more talented Ohio State team came in and, in the words of Coach Joe, "punched us in the mouth" as Ohio State is likely to do to Penn State in its "rebuilding" years.  Fortunately the season ended on a high note, with a win over a top-15 SEC team down in their backyard (something Ohio State is not likely to do).

Jabs at conference rivals notwithstanding, I think 2010 is a very big year for Penn State fans.  No one really has aspirations of outright conference titles, but on the other hand if this team loses 4 games the shit is going to hit the fan (on the internet).  Jay Paterno needs to show the fans that he can prepare a young-but-talented quarterback for the big show.  The staff also has to figure out what to do on the offensive line and demonstrate improvement on special teams.  Questions on offense mean that the traditionally solid defense cannot regress if we want to win some big games.  And winning big games should not be written off in the Spring.

What happened this offseason?  The best news is that Penn State pulled in one of the best recruiting hauls in the country, and all three major outlets tabbed theirs as the best in the Big Ten.  Second, cross your fingers, we haven't had any big injuries (yet).  More troubling, and a much bigger story, has been the quarterback competition.  I agree with Mike at BSD that it's not as dire as the MSM and blogs have made it out to be, but it's dominated PSU's offseason as far as headlines go. 

2010 will be an important year for Penn State, and in my opinion it will be an exciting one.  I'm being uncharacteristically optimistic about the season, but I think it's going to be a lot of fun to see how a new QB fits in with a pretty experienced offense and to see to what degree the defense is able to reload the linebacking corps. and line.  We'll be an underdog against our big three opponents, all away, but if we can play solid football and some things go our way, it's not impossible that this year could offer one of Penn State's biggest wins in a while.

Star-divide

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In The Cupboard...

Total Returning Starters: 12 (7 Offense, 5 Defense)

On offense, a line that seemed to finally come together and really got some push against LSU mostly comes back.  Losing LT Dennis Landolt, now trying out with the New York Football Giants, looks to be problematic.  Left tackle is a major concern at this point in time.  Moreover, the coaching staff completely jumbled the positions at the end of spring practice.  Most notably, the Blue-White Game saw last year's center Stefen Wisnewski switched to his more natural guard position.  Will these changes stick for the fall?  Once a lineup is solidified, will they pick up where they left off last season?  These questions don't get asked as often and as loud as those regarding the quarterback, but I think they have just as much to do with our success next year.  Penn State is deep at running back and wide receiver and there should be no issues there.  Evan Royster returns for a final year, and barring complete disaster will take his place as Penn State's all-time career rushing leader by the time the season has ended.  He'll pass some true legends on his way, which should be a lot of fun to watch.  Moreover, his backups in Stephon Green, Curtis Dukes, and Silas Redd all look very capable if they need to take on a more prominent role.  Wide receiver also doesn't miss anyone from last year.  Derek Moye and Graham Zug are back to lead the crew, and young guys like Justin Brown and Curtis Drake should take on more responsibilities. 

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Oh yeah, and quarterback.  Following the Blue-White Game I commented to my girlfriend that the sky was falling on the internet.  She responded with: "It's April.  You are insane."  Noted.  If you're reading this, that means you've already ready enough on this subject to write your own blog post.  My 2 cents: Kevin Newsome is the guy, he's going to make some mistakes, he's going to make some great plays with his legs, and all-in-all he's going to be "OK."  My experience is that you can more-or-less completely disregard the Blue-White Game, so that is not some kind of bad taste that I'm keeping in my mouth over the summer.  We'll see what happens.

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Defense should be the team's strength.  Larry Johnson, Sr. has shown us that he can make superstar first-round draft picks over the summer before.  I don't know if we'll have one next year but I'm not losing sleep over the defensive line.  The backfield mostly returns, and contains a lot of young guys that should only be better this year.  Chaz Powell, a wide receiver last year, has returned to provide depth at the position he was originally recruited at.  All three of 2009's starting linebackers were drafted a few weeks ago.  I would imagine this could cause some consternation among a fanbase, but I don't think you will fnd too many Linebacker U fans losing sleep over this position either.  Michael Mauti just may be the next great Great White Man-Eating Linebacker, and there is a lot of talent competing for the starting spots: Stupar, Yancich, Colasanti, Gbadyu, and Hodges are some of the names you may hear over the course of next season, but it's anyone's guess exactly what the starting lineup will be in Tuscaloosa.

$60,000 Questions:

1. TUSCALOOSA 9/11/10 AHHHHH!!!

2.QUARTERBACK AHHH!!!

3. Will Penn State be able to come out of the their "big three" games (@ Alabama, @Ohio State, @ Iowa) with any wins?

4. Will the team be able to get a solid offensive line in place?  How much time and help is the new quarterback going to have?

5. Will the traditionally-solid defensive line and linebacker units be able to reload?

6.  Is Penn State going 8-4/9-3 and "rebuilding," or are they going to step up, surprise a lot of people, and "reload" to make it a 10+ win season?

 


The Road Ahead...

2010 Schedule

Date Opponent
9/4/2010 Youngstown St.
9/11/2010 @Bama
9/18/2010 Kent State
9/25/2010 Temple
10/2/2010 @Iowa
10/9/2010 Illinois
10/23/2010 @Minnesota
10/30/2010 Michigan
11/06/2010 Northwestern
11/13/2010 @OSU
11/20/2010 @Indiana
11/27/2010 MSU

 

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This week...


MONDAY:
 Spring Field Guide

TUESDAY:
Achilles Heel

WEDNESDAY:
Greatest Strength

THURSDAY:
MVP Profile

FRIDAY:
Keeping the Enemy Close

***

More Big Ten 2010...

Indiana | Michigan | Illinois | Minnesota Purdue | Michigan State | Northwestern | Wisconsin

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I think they will just miss

“reloading” and will lean toward more of the rebuilding. They lost a lot of people. Probably more than anyone else from last year.

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by Ian_InsideTheShoe on May 10, 2010 5:44 AM CDT reply actions  

I think...

PSU just reloads already. The best set of rankings in the universe (Coleman’s MinV Rankings, the best and most reasonable algorithm out there) has had PSU finishing in the top 15 each of the last 5 years. Two other schools accomplished this: Ohio State and Florida. Not USC, Boise St., Va Tech, Texas, Oklahoma, LSU, or anyone else who’s had a seeming solid last half decade. Expecting PSU to fall too far from the top 15 when they’ve finished there each of the last 5 years just isn’t that reasonable.

Reach out; touch faith.

by ckmneon on May 11, 2010 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

I hope they beat Alabama!

That would certainly be a signature victory for Nit fans to cherish and would shake up the football conference standings!

by HawkeyeRecon on May 10, 2010 8:48 AM CDT reply actions  

That looks like an 8-4 schedule to me.

No shame in that given what they’re losing and where they have to go on the road.

Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.

by Kyle McCann't on May 10, 2010 10:31 AM CDT reply actions  

I don't see 4 losses.

Really, I don’t. Unless you’re one of the people who thinks Michigan will be good enough to beat us.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

3 losses looks about right.

Assume you get one those 3 tough roadies, and you’re looking at 10-2

by TarHeelHawk on May 10, 2010 11:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

I do think Michigan could beat PSU.

I also think MSU, Indiana or Northwestern could. It’s not a slight on Penn State, just that I don’t think there’s that much separation in the league this year. I actually think there’s a very good chance there won’t be an undefeated team in the Big Ten.

Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.

by Kyle McCann't on May 10, 2010 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

Michigan needs a defense

Before they can beat anyone.

Time is a great teacher, but unfortunately it kills all its pupils

by psu on May 10, 2010 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

And Penn State needs a QB

and Wisco needs consistant coaching
and Purdue needs to turn the ball over less
and OSU needs consistent offensive production
and Iowa needs an offensive line
and…

Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.

by Kyle McCann't on May 10, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

Sure.

But I think most of the teams in the Big Ten could run over Michigan’s defense, particularly one with Royster, Green, Beachum, and Dukes.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

Michigan doesn't exactly have much of that either

Penn State will have, at worst, the #3 defense in the Big Ten. They will have a very good run game. Michigan has QB questions, zero defense, and very little to be content with. I’d be surprised if they win more than 7 games, and they aren’t coming in to the White Out and somehow stopping Penn State’s rush attack.

Fiya Minaya.

by BringBackBobby on May 10, 2010 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions  

oooh, the White Out.

Ooooh.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Sorry, I'm just bitter towards Guido.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well, yeah

but the fact is you’re going to have a remarkably amped crowd, moreso than you’d get if those teams played at 12:00 or 3:30 when anything could happen.

Fiya Minaya.

by BringBackBobby on May 10, 2010 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Michigan State can't because they are doomed to spend eternity losing by at least two scores in Happy Valley.

Northwestern can’t because Iowa owns us and NW owns them and we own NW. It’s like irony or something.

IU can’t because the football gods will punish them for selling a home game so Penn State can play in their recruiting yards. As for Michigan, well I agree with the poster directly above this post.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

The Northwestern game last year was right up there among the most distressing to me. At least until Kafka was hurt.

I think Persa could be good enough to give our new linebackers fits. I don’t know enough about the rest of the team to make much of a prediction, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they give us another run. And look at where it is on the schedule…ouch.

by Paterno Ave on May 10, 2010 1:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

NW

Without Corey Wooton last year, NW would have been put away much earlier. Did you watch that first half? Wooton blew up a 3rd and short all by himself. It was the PSU offense that was struggling, due in no small part to Wooton.

A Garden State Nittany Lion...

Linebacker-U.com

by Mike Pettigano on May 10, 2010 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

That looks a lot like Iowa's road sked last season

not in quantity, but more in quaility of opponents. Couple gimmies in Minnesota and Indiana, but the other three…could be tough sledding.

by TarHeelHawk on May 10, 2010 10:57 AM CDT reply actions  

9-3 is not rebuilding

when you play 3 preseason top-5 teams on the road. A 9-3 team with Penn State’s schedule could beat an 11-1 team with Rutgers’ schedule. It’s ridiculous to claim that Penn State needs to win 10 years in order to prove something.

Fiya Minaya.

by BringBackBobby on May 10, 2010 11:28 AM CDT reply actions  

This is true

9-3 (6-2 B10) would be solid against this schedule. Assuming the losses came against Bama, OSU, and Iowa, it would mean PSU:

(1) didn’t lose to a single not-top-ten team all year,
(2) has a great shot at 10 wins (after the bowl game),
(3) went into Columbus in mid November with a great shot at locking up a B10 championship (only twice since PSU joined the league has a team gone 7-1 and not gotten at least a share)
(4) Would go undefeated with no game within 10 points with Texas’ schedule. OK, that’s just an opinion, but seriously, it’s true.

Nothing about that description feels like “only above average.” That feels like “darn good team with a young QB and tough schedule.”

Reach out; touch faith.

by ckmneon on May 11, 2010 7:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

I look forward to Keeping The Enemy Close where some Ohio State fan says Penn State is not really the enemy, because they “don’t care” about Penn State and because Penn State is irrelevant.

Or you could shake things up and give it to a Pitt fan. That would be awesome.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 11:31 AM CDT reply actions  

I think an Ohio State perspective could be interesting, as long as it’s a bit more articulate/in-depth than the standard line that you’re citing.

While Penn State is looking at some slim pickings when we have to choose a rival, I’d rather have a team we have some rivalry with than have someone come on and essentially give a eulogy on a rivalry that’s been over for years. If Pitt was on the schedule for next year (or any future season) I may feel differently.

by Paterno Ave on May 10, 2010 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

Formatting continues to be my personal rival.

by Paterno Ave on May 10, 2010 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

2006 all over again

2006 We had:

A new QB, untested, unproven.
Very difficult schedule including facing 3 eventual BCS teams, two on the road, plus 1-loss Wisko on the road.
Untested offensive line, talented, but inexperienced
Great defense

I see the same thing this year, except replace Wisko with Iowa and ND with Alabama. Maybe Michigan will suck and we’ll beat them, so I’ll go 9-3 and the Outback bowl. Lose the 3 obvious games, win the rest, QB makes you pull your hair out but running game takes over most of the time and defense ends up being top 10 nationally.

by millzners on May 10, 2010 12:58 PM CDT reply actions  

Good comparison

but I’m thinking/hoping this year will have some surprises. With such a young QB, I could easily see us losing a game we’re supposed to win but also winning a game we’re supposed to lose. Still envisioning 9-3, but with a little more excitement.

Good point by Paterno Ave. that we haven’t had a big win in a while. You can’t say PSU has beaten a team they were really expected to lose to since OSU in 05. The last 4 years have been pretty predictable.

by Illegal Formation on May 10, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Is there an Italian in the mix at QB?

If so, Iowa may actually be in trouble…

Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.

by Kyle McCann't on May 10, 2010 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Nah.

That’s negated by the lack of a certain someone on the Iowa sideline.

"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"

by RossWB on May 10, 2010 4:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Much thanks for notting mentioning the name.

I'm sorry, Bruce. These boys get that syrup in 'em, they get all antsy in their pantsy. Captain O'Hagan

by psu in the w-b on May 10, 2010 6:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

When basketball season comes around

you be sure to return the favor.

Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.

by Kyle McCann't on May 11, 2010 2:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

gladly

I'm sorry, Bruce. These boys get that syrup in 'em, they get all antsy in their pantsy. Captain O'Hagan

by psu in the w-b on May 11, 2010 5:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

wow

joepa has been head coach for one third of the psu football program’s existence. that’s just nuts.

by georgiablue on May 10, 2010 1:14 PM CDT reply actions  

Lots of upcoming superlatives.

2 wins to 500 wins as a member of the PSU coaching staff.
6 wins to 400 wins as head coach at PSU.
15 wins to surpass Eddie Robinson.
23 wins to have been head coach for 50% of Penn State’s wins all time.

by Cairo on May 11, 2010 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

consistency is a beautiful thing

I'm sorry, Bruce. These boys get that syrup in 'em, they get all antsy in their pantsy. Captain O'Hagan

by psu in the w-b on May 11, 2010 5:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

9 wins

If Penn State manages to pull 9 wins out of this schedule, with the question marks already going into the season, Joe Paterno deserves Big Ten coach of the year.

Maybe not literally, but you get my point… anyone who says otherwise is just trying to gin up this crowd.

A Garden State Nittany Lion...

Linebacker-U.com

by Mike Pettigano on May 10, 2010 1:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Penn State has a rough year before a stellar 2011

Penn State will be stout on Defense this year because at this point they always are (particularly in the front 7).

However, the 2 QBs suited to run this offense are both incoming freshmen (Bolden and Jones). It’s doubtful either one will see the field. Penn State has two terrible options at QB which will lead to a really down year (by Penn State standards).

I’m leaning toward 8-4

Losses will include future National Champ Ohio State, reigning National Champ Bama, Iowa, and you heard it here first, at Minnesota.

by AhliBobwa on May 10, 2010 2:02 PM CDT reply actions  

Michigan, Northwestern, Indiana, and even Illinois are all far more likely than Minnesota.

I give you credit for making a prediction that could only be topped by predicting a bowl victory for Minnesota and Timmy Brewster.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 10, 2010 3:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't know about future National Champion Ohio State

Not if the corners are as bad as they were last year…

Kurt Coleman really covered up the mistakes his CBs made last season. And the only cornerbacks I thought were worse were: Wisconsin’s cornerbacks. That’s not good at all.

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on May 10, 2010 4:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

It was fun watching Iowa's

receievers turn the Ohio State secondary into sock puppets last season. McNutt or DJK, if Vandy got the time, the Buckeye corners couldn’t cover them.

by TarHeelHawk on May 10, 2010 8:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Minnesota may well win 1 Big Ten game next year.

Adam Weber is in the midst of the most precipitous decline since Milli Vanilli.

Fiya Minaya.

by BringBackBobby on May 10, 2010 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I sincerely hope 2010 Penn State will not emulate 2008 Wisconsin.

Wisconsin had veteran leadership on defense and the offensive line, and talent in the running game. But when the Qb melted down, Wisconsin did as well.

Penn State has veteran leadership on defense, the running backs, and the offensive line. Hopefully the Nittany Lions’ QB (whoever wins it) does not emulate Allan Ev***** and torpedo the team.

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on May 10, 2010 6:01 PM CDT reply actions  

R U Srs?!

2008 Wisconsin was PURELY Bielema’s fault, not their QB. Their QB didn’t gag against Michigan with conservative play calling. Their QB didn’t fail to get the right play out to the defense at the end of the Ohio St. game. Their QB didn’t game plan for a low-scoring slug fest against the 2nd most explosive PSU offense ever. Their QB didn’t go into MSU and get 20 yards in penalties after a big stop on 3rd down, only to call a time out when MSU couldn’t get set for the game winning field goal. Bielema is responsible for all of that.

Do you really fault the QB for all the woes of 2008? That’s like PSU blaming the punter for the loss to Iowa last year.

by millzners on May 11, 2010 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

Ev***** killed Wisconsin in the second half. Last I heard,

A) Bielema didn’t throw an interception returned for a touchdown.
B) Bielema didn’t fumble inside the Michigan 20 in the 4th quarter
C) Bielema didn’t throw an interception to Malcolm Jenkins, killing the Badgers in a crucial game vs. Ohio State at home
D) Bielema did throw a game at Iowa in the first half
E) Bielema did throw a game at Michigan State with two unconscionable penalties
F) Bielema didn’t replace Ev***** until it was too late in the year to repair the damage
AND
G) Bielema doesn’t call offensive plays.

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on May 11, 2010 11:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Worst

Evridge was the 2nd worst starting Big Ten QB I’ve ever seen, just (barely) behind Mills at PSU in 2004.

No alarms and no surprises please.

by ckmneon on May 18, 2010 7:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

Millz

They had to game plan for a low scoring slug fest because their quarterback was atrocious. We lined up in a 4-4 and they ran right at it.

"I want your money, but I don't want your two cents." - JVP

by ReadingRambler on May 11, 2010 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

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