2010 Bowl Projections - Post Week 1
by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 7, 2010 9:16 AM CDT
in Bowl Projections
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PrintWhat do we know? It's always the toughest question after Week 1. How much stock do we put in what we saw? And how much stock do we keep in what we knew coming into the season. Cases in point: Florida, Texas, and Oklahoma. All three of the blue bloods looked competent and best, troubling at worst, in their opening week wins. Should they be written off? Or do we remember how Iowa looked last year as they survived and advanced their way to a BCS Bowl?
And what do we make of Boise State? If Virginia Tech is the best that the ACC has to offer this season (BIG if), Boise showed that they can go toe with a BCS league champion. But, does that mean that they can hold their own against Alabama? Ohio State? Nebraska? I didn't see that in their performance last night. But, what do you accept from what you see? After Week 1, your eyes are deceiving you
Now remember, these are projections, not "if the season ended today" picks. I'm accounting for what I think will happen in the remaining weeks. Here are the RULES FOR 2010.
- The best teams don't always go to the best games. In the end, butts in the seat and eyes to the television are the biggest factors. (This isn't new)
- The order of BCS selection is 1) Replacement for #1 Team; 2) Replacement for #2 Team; 3) Sugar Bowl; 4) Orange Bowl; 5) Fiesta Bowl. (This is new)
- If a Big Ten or Pac-10 team qualifies for the BCS Championship Game, the Rose Bowl will be required to take a non-automatic qualifier. This will only be required of the Rose Bowl the first time it occurs over the next four years. (This is new and huge)
- The Gator Bowl picks its Big Ten team ahead of the Insight Bowl this year. It will rotate the other way next year. (This is new)
- For the full rules on BCS selections, look here.
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I've gone back and forth on this, but I'm casting my lot with the Huskers until someone beats them. I think that Ohio State and Nebraska both run the table and have a memorable first game of the 2011 Big Ten Season. |
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I think that the world's chance of being rid of the blue menace ended last night. Oregon looks like the class of the Pac-10. If USC should win the Pac-10, the second place team will go. |
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Yes, the SEC will scream when their one-loss champion doesn't play for the title. The horde of Iowa fans make them a good choice against Alabama. FYI: this is Ivan Maisel's championship game. |
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I'm a believer in FSU. After watching Florida get stymied by a bad MAC team, I think that this may be one of those years that someone else rises up in the SEC East. I'm guessing 2-loss Georgia gets this spot over 2-loss Auburn (who they beat in the South's oldest rivalry game). |
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Big 12 Runner-Up Oklahoma gets picked to replace Nebraska. With last pick, the Fiesta Bowl gets the Big East consolation prize. If you have an idea who that will be, you're better than me. |
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Don't sleep on either of these teams - as BCS at large teams or as league champs. |
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Could JoePa's last game be a win over Florida? |
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Yes, I do believe that this is an 8 win Michigan squad. However, there is no way that Dernard Robinson stays healthy for 12 games if he carries the ball 20 times against Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan Statem Ohio State, Penn State, etc. Maybe I'm selling South Carolina short, but history says otherwise. |
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I'm very wary of the Spartans this year. Last year, they had all of the hype and had their annual Fall crash. This year, they may be better than that. I could see them at 10-2 (and in a much better bowl). I expect that this slot is going to the Big 12 North runner-up, which will likely be Mizzou or K-State. |
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Start your season with the Big 10-SEC Brain Bowl. End it with the Big 10-Big 12 Brain Bowl |
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No Big Ten team disappointed me more than Purdue. I didn't expect them to win, but I did expect them to show up. This bowl spot is shaky at best. |
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The Big Ten can't fill it's spot, and the Pizza Bowl is obligated to the second choice from the Sun Belt when that happens. |
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When you can't get to six wins, you know that you'll spend the bowl season On the Couch with the Queso Bowl (now sponsored by Ro*Tel). I was impressed that Illinois showed flashes of competence against Missouri. Indiana destroyed a team. That's good, but it wasn't just a 1-AA team, but a bad 1-AA team. Let's not get carried away. Minnesota is still my pick for worst team in the league. |
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You have a lot of confidence in a Week One thrashing of WKU
for that same reason, it’s no more unlikely that Indiana makes it into the BCS for thrashing WKU in Week Two.
Well, maybe not. But Nebraska obliterated a very bad team. Indiana is going to obliterate two very bad teams (Towson and Western Kentucky). Nebraska’s OOC schedule this year is average. They play an FCS school (South Dakota State), a traditional patsy coming off a bowl season and win (Idaho), at a team that hasn’t recorded a winning season since 2003 but is almost always a tough team to defeat on the road (Washington) and they already defeated WKU, which was winless last season.
Look, Nebraska’s lack of an offense killed them last season. Their game against Washington will either burst their bubble, or keep them rolling.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 10:20 AM CDT reply actions
Where does all the Neberaska love come from?
This is a team that lost four games last year including one to IOWA STATE against ISU’s back-up QB no less and an absolute DRUBBING by Texas Tech. I just don’t see how a team goes from that to undefeated National Title contenders after a couple of months and the loss of their best player on defense.
by the_iowa_hawkeye on Sep 7, 2010 11:00 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
I agree completely.....
…..the Husker offense might improve, but it’s only gonna get to the level of “mediocre” or “passable”
No way this team goes undefeated.
It's a good thing...
…you can still win with a mediocre offense, as exhibited by Iowa last year and likely this year as well.
Nebraska going undefeated, while being a stretch, is probably just as likely if not more likely than say Iowa or Wisconsin going undefeated. Nebraska has a much easier schedule in the Big 12 North than anyone in the Big Ten.
Oh one more thing
I think Phil Steele’s preseason number one ranking for Oklahoma is an even bigger stretch considering they went 8-5 last year.
It's even more of a headscratcher
given Oklahoma’s thoroughly unimpressive loss win to over Utah State.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 8:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Mediocre or passable offenses with good defenses can't win championships.
Jim Tressel is apparently an optical illusion.
And the last time Nebraska had a QB with the Oh Crap factor of their new QB, he was busy trucking Iowa defensive backs. Oh, and they played for the national title.
(And no, that never ever gets old to talk to Iowa fans about.)
by Albino Tornado on Sep 8, 2010 12:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Consider the quality and record of that Iowa team...
1-10. They lost to Wisconsin 41-3 (essentially giving Ron Dayne the Heisman Trophy), possibly the worst ever loss in Hawkeye history to Wisconsin.
1-10. Think about what that means. They were winless in conference play, and winless in the Big Twelve North (losing to Nebraska 42-7 and Iowa State 10-17).
Now, things have changed since then and it would be foolish to assume they haven’t. If they haven’t, I think Michigan would have won 14 straight against Ohio State and Wisconsin would have 5 more Rose Bowl wins.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 8, 2010 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions
See, this is why it's so much fun
Iowa had a player get trucked by a QB and fly back 4 yards last time they played Nebraska. Fact.
As a greater Omahan who’s had to deal with Iowa fans leaking across the river from Council-tucky and dealing with WOO IOWA AWSUM during Nebraska’s slide and climb back to respectability, it’s beautiful trump card to hold.
by Albino Tornado on Sep 8, 2010 6:17 PM CDT up reply actions
You must admit
getting shellacked by 70 points to a conference division rival does NOT inspire confidence. Nor does getting annihilated at home by the NFL squad better known as the USC Trojans.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 8, 2010 6:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Pretty sure Nebraska didn't play for the national title after the 1999 season
I mean, I saw the game, really don’t think that was Nebraska lining up in Virginia Tech’s colors.
I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.
Reading is fundamental!
“And the last time Nebraska had a QB with the Oh Crap factor of their new QB…” was 2000. And I had an excellent view of the whooping they got from Miami from the south end zone of the Rose Bowl.
by Albino Tornado on Sep 8, 2010 6:10 PM CDT up reply actions
That was 2001
well, technically 2002 since it was at the Rose Bowl after new year’s. And, when you say the following:
And the last time Nebraska had a QB with the Oh Crap factor of their new QB, he was busy trucking Iowa defensive backs. Oh, and they played for the national title.
it natually lends itself to my conclusion. The second sentence is dependent on the first sentence, the “and”, wherein you referenced a Nebraska QB trucking an Iowa player, all of which transpired in 1999. A plain-reading would lend itself to either interpretation because your wording was “inelegant” at best and rather unclear. Don’t try to act like it’s obvious what your meaning was, because even you seem to be unsure of it.
I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.
There goes the Nebraska fans living in the past again
pssst: this isn’t the 1990s anymore. I’ll wake you up then next time Nebraska beats someone noteworthy.
by the_iowa_hawkeye on Sep 12, 2010 10:51 PM CDT up reply actions
Where does all the Neberaska love come from?
Remember these sentiments after you lose AC in next years draft.
GBR!
throw dem bones!!!
by hskrntnfreak on Sep 9, 2010 11:58 PM CDT up reply actions
Hey, I'll take any bowl game
It’s better than none like the last two years.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
If this pans out
I’ll have some excellent Texas beer recommendations ready for you.
Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.
by Kyle McCann't on Sep 7, 2010 5:19 PM CDT up reply actions
Interesting point about OSU:
ESPN claims the Buckeyes have won 55 nonconference home games. Excuse me, was Matt Barkley ruled retroactively ineligible for last year? Because OSU does NOT have a 55 game nonconference home win streak because of that awful loss to USC. Either update your bloody banner at the bottom of the screen, or just keep everyone laughing.
Ohio State currently has a 2 game nonconference winning streak. The win in 09 over New Mexico State and Saturday’s win over Marshall.
ESPN = Exceptional StuPidity Network…
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 11:30 AM CDT reply actions
Didn't they lose to Texas at home too?
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
2005
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions
An epic game
One-upped the very next season by Troy Smith and company.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions
I was at both
2005 game was the death of the ZWACKness. Out of defeat came something great.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions
The Troy Smith-engineered Death Star?
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions
yes, one and the same
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions
were they not speaking of opening games?
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions
No, they were speaking of overall nonconference home games.
It was an ESPN blooper. 55 consecutive nonconference home wins? That’s wrong.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions
yeah, another reason to hate espn
i wish FSN had better coverage/programming though.
if you haven’t, read “god save the fan”. you’ll love it.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions
They canned that 55 OOC home win streak
for the stat: Terrelle Pryor is 17-1 with a touchdown pass.
But 1 TD a game does not a Heisman winner make. If Pryor utterly destroys Miami (meaning he scores in the neighborhood of 5 TDs), he’ll easily take the lead over Absentee Ingram and Kellen Mother(bleeping) Moore in the Heisman race.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions
I agree, 5 touchdowns is a bit much
but 3 or 4 with a mix of pass and rush TDs will go a long way.
I know it was against Marshall, but he looked much improved over last year hitting people in the middle of the field, hitting another back shoulder pass and HITTING THE TIGHT END.
I hate Kellen Moore’s stupid face and his girl name.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:46 PM CDT up reply actions
Tight ends?
What are those? Not a Tressel concept, at least not one I know of.
Lance Kendrick and his 5 receiving yards are killing me. You have to make better use of the TE than THAT in Chryst’s offense…
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions
I know, right?
although Stoneburner was used more than we’ve seen a TE used in recent years, there was a 2 quarter gap between passes to him which was kind of a head-scratcher. BUT Pryor hit Dane a lot and Posey as well, so I’ll take it.
Like I said, I know it was Marshall, but the Bucks looked better in an opener than they have in a while.
Someone tell Mike Irvin he can’t bring an 8 ball on the flight in to CMH though and that palm trees on uniforms don’t steel recruits. Also, never smack that guy’s ass like you did 100 times on Wednesday thanks.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions
Sanzenbacher = Hartline?
They both have that possession receiver ability about them…
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 1:00 PM CDT up reply actions
He's more of an Anthony Gonzalez
in my book…… which hits shelves very soon.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions
Gonzo FTW
More frequently than an alcoholic diabetic, Ohio State pisses excellence, week in and week out
If it bumps Pete Carroll's book off the shelves
I’m all for it.
Hey Pete, if you had faced 2006 Wisconsin, I wonder how you would have fared…
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 9:48 PM CDT up reply actions
Carroll's book was pulled from shelves
for using an ineligible font-type
I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.
by HoyaGoon on Sep 8, 2010 3:05 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
+2005
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 8, 2010 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions
I to am confused about how Nebraska is seen as a powerhouse after finishing runner up in the big 12
and after losing the most dominant player they’ve had since tommy frasier..
I ran in to some Wisconsin fans this weekend in Vegas and they seemed to be confident that Nebraska is going to dominate the big 10 starting next year and forever.
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 11:48 AM CDT reply actions
They'll feast on creampuffs
then lose to Missouri and K-State, in all likelihood. They HAVE to find offense against more than South Dakota State and Western Kentucky. Washington is almost always a challenge in Husky Stadium.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions
You're Minnesota blind hatred is totally absurd...
Minnesota actually looked GOOD in week 1 against a solid (even without Dasher) MTSU team. The Gophers ran the ball at will, and looked athletic on D (despite missing both starting safeties).
On the flip side, Illinois had another 2nd half total collapse, Purdue was pedestrian, Northwestern may actually have no ability to push anyone off the ball, and Indiana got lit up yardage wise against Towson!
Bama, at least admit your personal hatred is CLEARLY clouding your judgment.
When Minnesota
hits win number 5 on the year, you’ll get a full article explaining that I was wrong. Until then, I feel pretty confident is my assessment.
"Bama Hawkeye, you know, the Iowa blogger who actually uses reason and analysis." - Hawkeye State
"Off Tackle Empire":http://www.offtackleempire.com
by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Remember when Minnesota started out 7-1?
2008: Minnesota races out to an early lead in the Big Ten and is ranked. Then they lose their last five games, including a doozy of a loss to Wisconsin, a game I attended. That second half collapse by the Gophers was pretty spectacular, I assure you.
Until Brewster can shake the big game demons that have plagued Minnesota of late, such as all those hideous losses to Iowa, Ohio State, and Penn State, his team is not going to be a major player in the conference title.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
Remember?
It was one of the first things that I wrote about on this site.
And despite my “personal hatred” for Minnesota, I predicted them to split their last four games and go 9-3. Maybe that’s part of why I want to see proof of Minnesota’s ability to win against a good team.
And no, a Sun Belt team missing it’s best player doesn’t count.
"Bama Hawkeye, you know, the Iowa blogger who actually uses reason and analysis." - Hawkeye State
"Off Tackle Empire":http://www.offtackleempire.com
by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 7, 2010 12:53 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
MINNESTOA VS BOISE NATL CHAMP OH CRRAPPPP!!!
When asked why he went for 5, Tate responded "..because I couldn't go for 6...".
http://www.insidetheshoe.com/
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 7, 2010 2:06 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
He lost to both in 1995.
I don’t see it happening to him this year, though.
"Bama Hawkeye, you know, the Iowa blogger who actually uses reason and analysis." - Hawkeye State
"Off Tackle Empire":http://www.offtackleempire.com
Every team's goal should be the National Championship Game
but damn if the idea of Iowa meeting Alabama in New Orleans doesn’t sound like an awful lot of fun!
Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.
Too bad that game is so late in the year
I’d rather do Glendale, not only because it’s New Year’s Day, and therefore easier to work around with my schedule, but also because I wasn’t to know what it’s like to be in the spaceship they call U. of Phoenix Stadium.
You see what I did there? Yeeeaaaaaahhhh.
Of course
I’d be absolutely tickled (yeah, I said it) if Iowa played ’Bama in New Orleans. Or Boise State.
You see what I did there? Yeeeaaaaaahhhh.
Too bad Boise's going to Pasadena
unless they lose to OS in two weeks.
Can Abbrederis shoot the long three and effectively distribute the ball to his big men?
"Because one of the great minds of the 21st century is raising glow-in-the-dark fish and weaving serapes..." -Leonard Hofstadter from The Big Bang Theory
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 7, 2010 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions
disagree about IU
i think we’ll take that little caesars bid. 4 (ridiculously) easy non-cons, illinois, and NW will get us there.
yeah buddy!
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