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Computer Rankings (and Others) after the First Weekend

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Here are the intermediate results from the first weekend:

 

Ranking SystemPointsPossible Points Remaining
KenPom 460 1080
Chalk 450 960
Wife 440 1120
SI Power Rankings 440 1120
Sagarin Predictor 440 1080
Yahoo Fan 440 1080
Transitive Margin 430 1200
Pickem 430 1120
Massey Margin 430 1120
AP Poll 430 1120
Coaches Poll 430 1120
ESPN Power Rankings 430 1120
Sagarin-Elo 430 1080
Bradley-Terry, Margin 430 1080
Sagarin-Composite 420 1080
Massey, No Margin 420 1080
Bradley-Terry, No Margin 410 1160
Transitive, No Margin 410 1080
RPI 400 1200
Offensive Efficiency 400 1120
Total Tourney Wins 390 920
Preseason AP 380 880
Preseason Coaches 350 880
Defensive Efficiency 350 360
Alumni 310 920

 

-KenPom did extraordinarily well, even beating chalk.  His rankings are currently in the 98th percentile at ESPN.  

-Amusingly enough, the most predictive poll was the Yahoo Fans, narrowly edging out AP, coaches, and ESPN polls.

-RPI is the worst computer ranking so far (though it does have a good upside).  It is only narrowly beating "Total Tourney Wins", a ranking unconnected to the current teams.

-The ranking with the highest possible score is Transitive Margin, which only lost two Elite Eight teams and still has its entire Final Four.

 

The original rankings and brackets.  I've created a ESPN group with most of the brackets here.

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