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How Will This Be Decided? Nebraska @ Wisconsin

NOTE: This piece will be primarily focused on the Wisconsin Badgers. If anyone is interested in coming up with a counterpoint for Nebraska, please come up with one.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers will enter the confines of Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers for their first ever Big Ten game this Saturday Night. The Big Ten slate as we know it will see one team leave that stadium undefeated.

But what are the matchups this weekend? Will Wisconsin's offense prove capable of taking on Nebraska's defense?

765633_medium

With Montee Ball, probably...

The starting matchups for Wisconsin offensively, and their stat lines after the jump.

Star-divide

QB: Russell Wilson - Wilson has completed 71 passes on 98 attempts for 1,147 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging an extremely impressive 11.7 yards per pass attempt. Wilson has only one interception; the other INT was a garbage-time throw by backup QB Joe Brennan.

RB: Montee Ball/James White - Montee Ball has run 63 times for 360 yards and 9 touchdowns while recording an impressive 5.7 YPC. Ball has also scored multiple touchdowns in every single game this year. James White adds to the ground game threat with 45 carries for 303 yards and 3 touchdowns, on an even more impressive 6.7 YPC.

FB: BHGP's beloved Bradie Ewing has not recorded 1 rushing attempt, but has been an alarmingly efficient weapon in the passing offense with 6 receptions for 106 yards. Don't fall asleep on him; he can kill you.

WR: Nick Toon - last year was a colossal disappointment for the talented wideout, and Toon has played with a vengeance in 2011, recording a team-best 21 receptions for 353 yards and a conference-leading 5 receiving touchdowns.

WR: Jared Abbrederis - made some noise as a freshman last year, has recorded 15 receptions and 233 yards in 4 games this year. He won't set the world on fire, but he'll be a capable #2 WR taking some of the pressure off of Toon.

TE: Jacob Pedersen / Jake Byrne - Pedersen has struggled sometimes with Wilson as far as chemistry, but he's one of Russell's favorite targets in the redzone and has 4 receiving TDs on just 11 receptions. Byrne has only one catch this year, but he's probably the best blocking TE on the team.

LT: Ricky Wagner - moved over from RT after the graduation of Gabe Carimi; the next in a long line of elite Badger left tackles.

LG: Travis Frederick - the first-ever true freshman to start at OL in a season opener for Wisconsin (in 2009), Frederick was redshirted in 2010 and is a fantastic run blocker.

C: Peter Konz - provides fantastic play at the center position, one of the best UW has had at that area and has seemingly gotten better with every week.

RG: Kevin Zeitler - plays with one heck of a mean streak. He makes mistakes from time to time, but is a fearsome run blocker and a very solid pass protector.

RT: Josh Oglesby / Rob Havenstein - Oglesby has struggled mightily with injuries and has had multiple knee reconstructions, but he's still shown glimpses of the talent that made him a 5-star recruit when healthy. Havenstein has stepped in very capably for Oglesby when the senior OT has been injured, but Oglesby has been able to stave off the freshman.

The Wisconsin OL has allowed just three sacks of Russell Wilson this season, while allowing the Badgers' feature backs to run for 663 yards on 108 carries (6.1 YPC) and 12 touchdowns. For Nebraska, which has admittedly struggled with the losses of Jared Crick and Alfonzo Dennard to injury, this does not look like a favorable matchup. The Cornhuskers, even with a stellar effort by the run defense against 1-AA opponent Chattanooga, are currently averaging 133.3 yards allowed via ground. Against 1-A opponents (taking out the Chattanooga game, in other words), the Huskers D averages 157.7 rushing yards allowed.

On the other hand, though, Nebraska's own rushing offense is fearsome; the Huskers ran wild on Washington for 309 yards, then pounded Wyoming for 333 more. Nebraska has scored 4 rushing touchdowns in every single game. Nice numbers, right?

Nuvcu_08_w_medium

Rex Burkhead certainly thinks so...

Not when placed into context with the passing offense. Taylor Martinez, unlike Russell Wilson, is not an efficient passer. Martinez has struggled to complete 50% of his passes through 4 games this year, and has averaged 161.8 yards per game through the air. With that being said, Martinez is Nebraska's leading rusher and hasn't truly needed to pass to be successful...yet.

Nebraska's run offense, averaging 272 yards per game, is going up against a Wisconsin run defense that allows 88.8 yards per game. This is where the game will be decided. If the front 7 of Wisconsin can stop Nebraska's fearsome running attack and force Nebraska to pass (not an area of strength this year for the Cornhuskers), the Badgers will be in excellent position to dictate the pace of the game with their own explosive offense and ground game. One final note: Since 2003, Wisconsin is undefeated through September in Camp Randall Stadium.

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This is going to be a great game

in an insane atmosphere. Nice post! I think Russell Wison is the difference maker in this game.

"I'm crazy? Cyril, you're the one who killed a perfectly good hooker!"--Sterling Archer

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by Ted Glover on Sep 28, 2011 1:13 PM CDT reply actions  

Thanks, Ted!

Yeah, this game is definitely going to be crazy. I know I’m definitely looking forward to being in that huge Camp Randall crowd for what could well be the most epic game of the conference slate (our remaining home games are against Purdue, IU, and Penn State).

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
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by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 29, 2011 12:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

Superstars of the "U"

huddled by the sideline heaters — an image that still pleases me greatly.

"The limits of my language mean the limits of my world" -- Ludwig Wittgenstein

by SubLime on Sep 28, 2011 8:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wisconsin.

It’ll be a great game, but Wisconsin has a more balanced team, and has played more evenly in its non-conference games. Nebraska has looked a little shaky on defense at times, and hasn’t played all four quarters in its last couple games.

Plus, it’s in Camp Randall. I’ve been to two games there (neither was a night game), and it was nuts.

by Midnight Rambler on Sep 28, 2011 7:24 PM CDT reply actions  

Nice writeup

See, I’m still trying to figure out exactly what Nebraska is going to do on Saturday. B5Q had a nice interview with Musberger (not my favorite, but he is currently synonymous with big games), and he brought up the fact that Wisconsin really has played a weak schedule (more on that in a second). With that said, Nebraska’s mental mistakes on defense are worrisome…

Look for runs to the short side, option passes (you can loft it to wide open guys), and a lot fo T-Mart, Rex, and the freshmen. If you haven’t watched a Nebraska game yet, the most impressive thing you’ll see is the insane amount of speed guys we have right now. In my history, I haven’t seen this much talent on offense since the ’95 team when you had Frazier, Green, and Phillips.

I will say this much, atmosphere or not, don’t look for the Huskers to be super intimidated. I’m not saying Camp Randall won’t be insane, but this isn’t like Nebraska is coming from the Sun Belt conference. We’ve played at Texas (crazy), aTm (crazy with a touch of insane), Oklahoma, Missouri, Washington (underrated loud stadium because of how it’s built), and Oklahoma State (another underrated loud stadium). I’m not saying Camp Randall doesn’t give the Badgers an advantage, I’m just saying it might not be the determining factor many people are touting.

Finally, how dominant have the Badgers looked? Pretty amazing if you ask anyone. They look smooth on offense and smothering on defense right now. But I did a little digging on their opponents, and it becomes a little more difficult to figure out what’s going on. UNLV is 1-3 with a devastating loss to a FCS school (Southern Utah destroyed them 41-16… painfully similar to the 51-17 Wisconsin game), Oregon State also has a FCS loss (Sacramento State) but looks much better on paper even being winless, NIU is the best in the bunch but lost to Kansas, and South Dakota is a FCS school. I’m not saying that Wisconsin is bad, but their dominance seems a little lofty given the circumstances.

Nebraska hasn’t had a world-beater non-con either, but it’s markedly better. Look for a much closer game than many pundits are guessing (apparently Vegas jumped the line when Wisconsin fans were taking the 7 pt spread early). This should be a very fun game and I really do think Nebraska is going to throw some things at Wisconsin they’ve never seen before.

Always check the words with the red squiggly line. They mean you probably screwed up.

Author @ www.offtackleempire.com

by KennardHusker on Sep 29, 2011 9:00 AM CDT reply actions  

I think the UNLV loss to Southern Utah gets much, much worse

in light of the fact that their starting QB Caleb Herring emulated Brett Favre and threw 3 INTs returned for TDs. That’s…horrific. That’s quite bad.

You lit up your cupcakes on the ground, we lit up ours using the ground and air. I know, Nebraska was historically successful in both Norman and Austin, but really, you can’t compare Camp RAndall to either of them, especially at night. If Texas didn’t have the biggest bandwagon fanbase on the planet outside of South Bend, I would consider that an accomplishment.

Camp Randall is not an easy place to win in: the only teams that have managed to win there since Bielema took over are 08 Ohio State (Thanks to Allan Evridge for being a total idiot in the final 5 minutes), 08 Penn State (again, no thanks to Allan Evridge, who would never play another game for Wisconsin). The only other team that has beaten Wisconsin at home in the last three years is 09 Iowa. That’s three BCS teams right there, including one of the most impressive Hawkeye teams of the decade.

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 29, 2011 9:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

For me, Camp Randall is terrifying

I’m nervous for our team out there, and the numbers don’t lie… Still, I don’t know if that will be the biggest difference in the game. It is an advantage to play at home to your crowd, but as much as it pains me to say it, I’d put aTm against anyone as far as intense crowds go, and we managed to play tough in that game (albeit, it still sucked and we lost… ugh). For what it’s worth, Nebraska played tougher on the road for much of last season than we did at home. While that probably has to do more with playing down to competition (which should be a Nebraska 2000-present trademark), we still looked good @ Oklahoma State and @ Kansas State. Who knows, though? I’d say the crowd can force fumbles and penalties, but we can do that on our own, you know?

My biggest concern is momentum. College Football is unlike Professional football in that a big lead can just bust a team, especially a young team like ours. I still think we are okay if we are two possessions or less away at half and have played tough. With that said, I’m convinced that Pelini thinks he’s going to win this game. Not in the pipe dream, South Dakota will beat Wisconsin way either. In listening to him this week, I am positive Pelini believes he’s going to steal this win and be on his way to the Conference Championship. Not sure if that’s good or bad, but it makes me excited.

Always check the words with the red squiggly line. They mean you probably screwed up.

Author @ www.offtackleempire.com

by KennardHusker on Sep 29, 2011 2:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the context

I’ve literally been thinking this whole time wisconsin was gonna destroy nebraska, but this puts me at a little more ease. Especially as far as the D goes, since all 3 All-Americans are actually going to play this saturday.

by Fake Pelini on Sep 29, 2011 9:45 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

This Buckeye fan says...

You just won’t win at Camp Randall. You think Big 12 stadiums get loud? You are in for a rude awakening. This is the kind of noise that causes your skin to tingle from the vibrations. I’ve experienced it at only three places: Beaver Stadium, Ohio Stadium (for the big night games), and Camp Randall…. and I’ve been to 7 SEC stadiums (though not LSU nor Florida yet).

by TheHumbleBuckeye on Sep 29, 2011 4:29 PM CDT reply actions  

Ever go Between the Hedges?

(BTW, To Hell With Georgia)

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 29, 2011 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yes I have.

And Athens, GA is BY FAR the best college town I’ve been to in the SEC. Fans were great, chicks were SMOKIN’ hot. Noise was solid. Bars were awesome (and there’s a shit-ton of them!).

by TheHumbleBuckeye on Sep 30, 2011 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Coolnes.

Just a question.

Which of the big Ohio Stadium night games have you been to? U$C 09?

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 30, 2011 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Texas '05 and USC '09

And Marshall 2010, but it understandably wasn’t as loud as the former two. My friends told me Penn State ’08 was pretty damn loud too.

2006 Michigan was a late afternoon start, and it wasn’t as loud as the others in my opinion. Not sure why. I think everyone was just kind of taking the whole thing in because it was so surreal. It was still pretty loud though.

by TheHumbleBuckeye on Sep 30, 2011 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

I should qualify 2009 USC...

I was outside the stadium. But it was one of those things you could tell. Obviously I didn’t have a measure of the decibel level, but the thing about that game was, the noice was constant.

by TheHumbleBuckeye on Sep 30, 2011 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm really interested to see how we'll handle the noise.

Still, we went to Washington last year. It’s not the biggest stadium (only 72,500 I think), but they literally measured the noise at 130 db. That’s the loudest in college football. Now don’t get me wrong, I am in no way trying to say Washington and Wisconsin are the same, but the SEC and B1G do not have a monopoly on loud stadiums. I think the, “badgers don’t lose at home because they play well at home” is a better argument. We will see. I do not see this being a blowout, though.

Always check the words with the red squiggly line. They mean you probably screwed up.

Author @ www.offtackleempire.com

by KennardHusker on Sep 30, 2011 12:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

I have to say Wisconsin

may have played a weak schedule so far, but Nebraska isn’t in for a warm welcome to the B1G heading to Camp Randall. By far one of the top nosiest stadiums. Doesn’t help the team playing on the field is very good. Wilson is scary.

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by Ian_InsideTheShoe on Sep 30, 2011 5:54 AM CDT reply actions  

Nebraska has played teams with

fewer athletes than the Badgers have, far less depth, and yet they struggled early in games. Clearly, Nebraska is going to see a stiff test for four quarters. So, I’m thinking this might get ugly, which in a Big Ten game means winning by 3 scores. Too much is new and uncertain for Nebraska and their performances so far proved to me they are not yet built for this conference. I expect Wisconsin to punish them relentlessly between the tackles, although I expected Wisconsin to do that against TCU and they instead acted as if Nick Toon was Al Toon.

"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.

by StoopsMyAss on Sep 30, 2011 6:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Wisconsin learned their lesson from the Rose Bowl...

OC sanity restored. Note to other B1G teams, if you are bigger than Nebraska (I’m looking at you Ohio State) then just go beat them up. Make it a street fight. Mike Tyson was right, everyone has a plan until they’re punched in the mouth.

"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.

by StoopsMyAss on Oct 1, 2011 11:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

SMA, you were right.

winning by 3 scores? Safe prediction. I didn’t think this was going to get as ugly as it did, but we took care of business. Nebraska did not.

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Oct 2, 2011 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Montee Ball

Sounds like a game rich people play…

Hmmm.....needz moar winz

by NorthernStar on Oct 1, 2011 8:33 PM CDT reply actions  

Did anyone see the new movie

MonteeBall? It featured Brad Pitt, heard it was quite good

Bucky's 5th Quarter - All Badgers, all the time.

by Adam Tupitza on Oct 2, 2011 3:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

I saw that movie last night.

Ball scored four touchdowns against Nebraska.

Oh wait … it WASN’T a movie????

Minor League Contributing Writer, Athletics Nation.

State high point count: 4/50

If you are grouchy, irritable, or just plain mean, there will be a $10 charge for putting up with you.

by Vermont Cubs Fan on Oct 2, 2011 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

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