The Obligatory Predictions Competition - Week 2
1. IOWA @ IOWA STATE, 12:00 p.m. EST (9/10)


GRAHAM predicts IOWA
This has all the markings of "should be a blowout, away, which is more fun, but Iowa will lose a key starter to injury early, then the game is closer than you predicted." The individual brought in to replace the injured starter will subsequently become 1st team All B1G and be drafted in the NFL.
JON predicts IOWA
This second-tier rivalry gained a bit of notoriety at the end of August, when the new CyHawk trophy was unveiled to universal criticism. I don't know what temporary trinket these two squads will be playing for, but I do know that it will belong to the Hawkeyes after 60-minutes. The Vandenberg/McNutt show continues in Ames.
2. PURDUE @ RICE, 3:30 p.m. EST (9/10)

GRAHAM predicts RICE
Pretty easy to pick the upset here as Purdue continues to show why it's not the class of the B1G. The old saying goes, "if you struggled against MTSU, you struggle against everyone." But hey, MTSU ain't so bad, right? Wrong. Rice wins.
JON predicts PURDUE
I think it goes without saying that this is one of the toughest games to pick this week. Purdue needed a blocked field goal last Saturday to close out a languid Middle Tennessee State squad who moved the football on the Boilers seemingly at will. I want to believe that last week's near death experience has Caleb Terbush and Ralph Bolden motivated. Rice is no gimme, which might be bad news for Danny Hope in Big Ten play, but I think Purdue does just enough to get to 2-0.


GRAHAM predicts ALABAMA
Good showing by PSU to start the season; everyone looked scary and fast and aggressive. Alabama is also scary and fast and aggressive. Who has the guts to pick an upset? Not me, Bama on the road in a close one.
JON predicts ALABAMA
Here are two teams without a quarterback, but only one has the nation's best defense. As much as I'd love to see the Crimson Tide run into a buzzsaw like Ohio State did at Camp Randall last season, this is an afternoon game and I just don't see Penn State's offense moving the ball against that Tide front. Maybe it's close. Maybe it goes into the fourth quarter. But Bama gets out alive with the win.
4. No. 12 SOUTH CAROLINA @ GEORGIA 4:30 p.m. EST (9/10)


GRAHAM predicts SOUTH CAROLINA
UGA didn't look like an overly interesting, tough team against Boise State. But SC is no Boise State. Major question: Can Georgia win without any experience at the skill positions? No. SC wins.
JON predicts SOUTH CAROLINA
Meet the new quarterback, same as the old quarterback. After sleepwalking to a 17 point deficit last week, South Carolina found its stride and its signal caller. Georgia on the other hand looked confused and outclassed against Boise State in the Georgia Dome. Sure, Mark Richt's back is against the wall, but the Gamecocks are a legitimate SEC contender, and the Bulldogs won't be able to keep up through four quarters of play.
5. NOTRE DAME @ MICHIGAN (9/10)


GRAHAM predicts MICHIGAN
The annual Return to Glory game. Going to be a sexy matchup, only because of the tradition and helmets and shit. Not sexy in the "Top Ten teams competing" sexiness. Major Question - Is Michigan's defense actually any good or did blitzing coverup their major defects against WMU? Michigan wins at home...
JON predicts NOTRE DAME
It's a historic night at the Big House, and every bone in my body is telling me to pick the home team. Here's my problem, despite Notre Dame's completely awful showing last week, I still believe this is a team that can move the football. Similarly, although Michigan forced a few turnovers against Western Michigan, they still let the Broncos drive at will. If the skies hadn't opened up in Ann Arbor, I think Western Michigan would have put up 20 points. Brian Kelly's squad will do better, and for the first time in 3 years, they'll come away with a win against the Wolverines.
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Graham going bold again...
….with Boise State winning over the two SEC teams actually PLAYING each other (South Carolina-Georgia)
by Chadnudj on Sep 9, 2011 1:13 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
I just loved my Boise over uga pick so much I let it ride for another week…
Off Tackle Empire
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.
by Graham Filler on Sep 9, 2011 7:46 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
I'm curious.
Do you guys think Boise State belongs in the BCS Championship discussion? (Obviously there is a long ways to go…but if they run the table from here and go undefeated…do they deserve a slot ahead of a one-loss B1G team or SEC team?)
yes
always yes
Off Tackle Empire
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.
by Graham Filler on Sep 9, 2011 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
They're probably good enough to warrant discussion.
That said, I hope UGA completely flames out and kills Boise’s chances.
by The Mexican't on Sep 9, 2011 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
I hope Boise flames out
I hope Georgia wins the SEC.
The way things currently are... Yes, and here's why.
The BCS isn’t built for picking the best team in the nation, its built for picking the team that lost the least against their competition. People confuse the least losing with the best teams.
Can the boise states of the world beat GREAT BCS teams? Yes (see last year’s rose bowl.)
Can the boise states of the world survive in a BCS conference or beat GREAT BCS teams in a year in which they played the likes of Ohio State, Nebraska, Iowa, etc? No.
Currently, this discussion only takes into account the first one of the two options above, so yes, Boise St should be in that convo.
by Fake Pelini on Sep 9, 2011 1:01 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
This! to a point...
The Super Bowl has been won by teams that didn’t have the best record and yet they are still champions…
The computer model of the BCS needs to change. It needs to take out the statistics analysis like it’s doing fantasy football and be more like the coaches/AP (ugh feel dirty) poll.
That or the college level needs to mirror a minor league and develop a ‘AFC/NFC’ affiliation and full blown playoffs…
I would actually argue that the Coaches’ poll is the root of a lot of the problems with the BCS. First, it’s no secret that the coaches usually either half-ass or relegate thes duty. Second, having the competitors of any competition VOTE on who won said competition is asinine.
I am not a Leader, and I am not a Legend.
by Aaron Go Bragh on Sep 9, 2011 7:37 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Exactly
Plus humans, especially football coaches who are not very objective (rate on small sample sizes and often just week to week shuffling as opposed to quantitative facts).
I would much rather have the computers do the thinking because they don’t care about name brand.
If it's not completely obvious
I’ve usually “had a few” by the time I get around to writing this piece.
Off Tackle Empire
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.
by Jonathan Franz on Sep 9, 2011 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Anyone here listen to Finebaum?
There was a PSU fan named Doug on there getting people riled up. He came off like a complete moron. He was poking fun at Confederate Soldiers that died in battle and disrespected General Lee by calling him Bobby Lee.
Ever Grateful. Ever True.
Rambler's name is Doug?
I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.
by HoyaGoon on Sep 9, 2011 9:56 AM CDT up reply actions 4 recs
Here's what I'm hoping for
I’m hoping that ND spent a lot of time working on holding onto the ball…that they focused a lot on eiliminating the turnovers. Two reasons for this: 1) The secondary effect of this is that they spent less time preparing for the UM defense and 2) When you worry about something NOT happening, it ends up happening (turnovers), sort of like staring at the yellow line and the car gravitates towards it.
That’s what I’m hoping for anyway…
UM did some good things last week…will it be enough to keep an ND offense that obviously can move the ball from scoring? If UM can eliminate the big plays, I think they have a good chance of winning. Turnovers I think will again be the determining factor in a close game.
You really dig that yellow line metaphor.
"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"
Okay
I have a new metaphor to try out…still involves driving though…
ND will be holding on so tight to the steering wheel that they’ll tense up and lose control…
Is that working?
Wait a minute
Did you just copy-paste your own comment from earlier this week?
I think this may play in UMs favor in that the concentration this week at ND practice may be on the "holding onto the ball", which I’m sure it would be for every other team that did what they had done during the game. But if it distracts them enough that they spend just a little less time preparing for the UM offense, then all the better.
Its sort of like staring at the yellow line as you’re driving down the street…stare at it enough, you start to gravitate towards it. They start thinking too much about not committing turnovers, they’ll start committing turnovers.
Oh I see. Copy-paste and then rearrangement. Classic move :-)
No, didn't completely copy and paste
I copied and pasted the idea in my head, so I did recycle it but not copying. But I see now how you would say that. haha….
What’s funny is that I’m on a couple different blogs throughout the day, so I can’t always remember where I said what. But you got me…I’ll try to mix things up a bit more.
Michigan's defense will get tested
that’s for sure. I don’t think they find the gifts that WMU gave them (14 points on defensive returns), and since they don’t have the personnel of a South Florida, I don’t see them stopping ND that much.
Picks
Iowa
Rice (sorry Purdue)
Bama (poor JoePa)
SC
ND (I think last weekend was an aberration)
Btw, am I perma-gimped by missing the first week of picks? Or do I have to pick stupendously well the rest of the season to move into the top echelon of pickers?
No and not really
We’re giving out prizes weekly, so it’s always worth signing up. As for the season competition, you’re really only 20 points back from a possible 400, so there’s still plenty of time to climb up the leaderboard.
Off Tackle Empire
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.
by Jonathan Franz on Sep 9, 2011 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions
Iowa
Rice (making MSULaxer’s 1-11 prediction still possible)
PSU
UGA
UM (Rees is getting too much credit for mop up duty success)
Ever Grateful. Ever True.
You know it's bad...
…when Purdue’s own fans pick against Purdue
5 out of 10 times the MTSU player makes that catch in the endzone when uncovered.
Averages worked out in Purdue’s favor last week.
My prediction may not end up being correct, but I think the idea behind it, that Purdue isn’t a good team and will struggle to win games, was/is a sound one.
Seriously.
Everyone gets the idea behind the prediction. No one liked the hyperbole.
"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"
my picks, which are also on yahoo...
Iowa
Purdue(I guess I had to pick one of them to win, right?)
Alabama
SC
ND
HELP IS ON THE WAY
~Banned at ATO since June 3rd, 2011, 2ish PM PST
by SouthBayBuckeye on Sep 9, 2011 11:31 AM CDT reply actions
Be careful Graham!
Picking against Purdue might get their faithful riled up. Or else they might think you have something against them.
by MSULaxer27 on Sep 9, 2011 12:03 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Spewing uninformed nonsense while making a provocative, overly negative predictionPicking against Purdue might get their faithful riled up.
/fixed
Ever Grateful. Ever True.
by PurdueMatt on Sep 9, 2011 2:22 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
What about my prediction was "uniformed"?
Purdue was 5 seconds away from losing to a sunbelt school at home. How was my selection of MTSU to win this game (based on analysis of returning players etc.) provocative?
I didn’t “spew” anything. I wasn’t overly hateful nor did I offer any invective. I have an opinion that you don’t agree with. After watching last weeks games, I might be willing to change my opinion on the outcome of the bucket game, but quite frankly, I am more confident in Wilson’s ability to mold his team into a better unit by the end of the season than I am in the ability of Hope to mold the modicum of talent at his diposal into a team capable of beating the Hoosiers.
"More confident in Wilson's ability to mold his team into a better unit..."
…after losing to Ball State? Really?
Why exactly? What did Wilson show you in that first game that makes you think that?
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Sep 10, 2011 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions
like seeing the Rice love here :D
Really depends on our game plan on offense. We replaced our OC this offseason (promoted from RBs coach) and he, frankly, had a terrible game against Texas. Our QB was clearly having an off day (14 of 29) but we kept bringing out these shotgun 4- and 5-wide sets with a ton of screen passes that went for 2-3 yards. No deep threats at all. Running game was better but still ultra-conservative. McGuffie only got 2(!!!) carries and the rest were platooned between the backups. You might see us bust out the Wildcat, as we ran it pretty well last year, although it appeared only once against UT.
Our defense held up pretty stoutly against Texas – just 13 points at the half, with 7 of that coming from a short drive as a result of a fumbled punt. Unfortunately, they figured out that our corners were really slow and just burned us with deep passes the entire second half.
So, I really don’t know what to expect. Hopefully we open up a little more on offense.
...and the wind cries McGuffie

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