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Hoegher's Rankings and Picks: WEEK TEN

I lied. No commentary, though.

THE RANKINGS

rk LW NCAA Team Conf Record Rating Adj Off rk Adj Def rk
1 3 Alabama SEC 8-0 1.366 1.610 10 0.282 1
2 2 Baylor B12 7-0 1.346 2.256 1 0.660 20
3 4 Oregon Pac-12 8-0 1.326 2.058 4 0.556 10
4 1 FloridaState ACC 7-0 1.306 1.905 5 0.483 6
5 5 ArizonaState Pac-12 5-2 1.127 2.179 2 0.826 48
6 10 OhioState B10 8-0 1.027 1.856 6 0.703 28
7 6 Louisville Amer 7-1 0.987 1.286 29 0.387 2
8 7 Wisconsin B10 5-2 0.917 1.312 26 0.452 4
9 18 TexasAM SEC 6-2 0.823 2.168 3 1.142 90
10 17 BYU Ind. 6-2 0.802 1.380 18 0.585 13
11 9 Washington Pac-12 5-3 0.794 1.326 22 0.556 11
12 13 CentralFlorida Amer 6-1 0.790 1.602 11 0.748 36
13 12 GeorgiaTech ACC 5-3 0.788 1.405 17 0.614 15
14 11 Missouri SEC 7-1 0.781 1.540 14 0.713 30
15 8 Miami ACC 7-0 0.770 1.566 13 0.741 34
16 21 Auburn SEC 7-1 0.767 1.324 23 0.577 12
17 15 Stanford Pac-12 7-1 0.756 1.269 31 0.549 9
18 14 LSU SEC 7-2 0.752 1.577 12 0.765 41
19 16 Clemson ACC 7-1 0.752 1.454 16 0.678 23
20 31 Houston Amer 6-1 0.675 1.618 9 0.869 58
21 20 Georgia SEC 4-3 0.649 1.659 8 0.927 64
22 23 Arizona Pac-12 5-2 0.645 1.300 27 0.661 21
23 26 USC Pac-12 5-3 0.614 1.021 60 0.492 7
24 25 SouthCarolina SEC 6-2 0.586 1.201 39 0.640 16
25 27 OklahomaState B12 6-1 0.581 1.347 19 0.752 38

And the Big Ten in particular...

rk LW NCAA Team Conf Record Rating Adj Off rk Adj Def rk
6 10 OhioState B10 8-0 1.027 1.856 6 0.703 28
8 7 Wisconsin B10 5-2 0.917 1.312 26 0.452 4
33 44 MichiganState B10 7-1 0.505 0.938 75 0.513 8
36 35 Michigan B10 6-1 0.477 1.474 15 0.951 67
37 39 Indiana B10 3-4 0.406 1.844 7 1.345 114
44 48 Iowa B10 5-3 0.340 0.906 78 0.612 14
45 33 PennState B10 4-3 0.339 0.995 62 0.686 25
54 47 Nebraska B10 5-2 0.179 1.155 44 0.970 73
70 72 Northwestern B10 4-4 0.068 0.978 65 0.912 62
71 77 Minnesota B10 6-2 0.048 0.906 79 0.861 56
81 63 Illinois B10 3-4 -0.087 1.233 35 1.331 111
111 113 Purdue B10 1-6 -0.667 0.517 121 1.117 88

THE PICKINGS

Lines taken from 5Dimes.eu here as of 2013-10-18. Home teams highlighted in blue.

Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
Cincinnati Memphis Cincinnati 55% 3.0 1.6 Memphis
OregonState USC USC 82% 5.5 -12.2 USC
NorthCarolina NorthCarolinaState NorthCarolina 77% 2.5 10.0 NorthCarolina
Georgia Florida Georgia 63% 2.5 4.2 Georgia
NotreDame Navy NotreDame 72% 16.5 7.8 Navy
Auburn Arkansas Auburn 99% 9.0 31.0 Auburn
Missouri Tennessee Missouri 79% 11.5 10.9 Tennessee
TexasTech OklahomaState OklahomaState 57% 2.5 -2.4 OklahomaState
FloridaState Miami FloridaState 87% 21.5 15.2 Miami
GeorgiaTech Pittsburgh GeorgiaTech 91% 9.5 18.0 GeorgiaTech

And the Big Ten games...

Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
OhioState Purdue OhioState 99% 30.5 47.9 OhioState
Nebraska Northwestern Nebraska 60% 7.5 3.2 Northwestern
Wisconsin Iowa Wisconsin 89% 9.5 16.3 Wisconsin
Indiana Minnesota Indiana 77% 10.0 10.1 Indiana
PennState Illinois PennState 81% 10.0 12.1 PennState
MichiganState Michigan MichiganState 53% 4.5 0.8 Michigan
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