FanPost

Hoegher's Rankings's and Picks: WEEK FOURTEEN

Hoegher decided to go out on Thanksgiving Eve. As such, please enjoy your abbreviated FanPost below.

THE RANKINGS

rk LW NCAA Team Conf Record Rating Adj Off rk Adj Def rk
1 1 FloridaState ACC 11-0 1.437 1.992 2 0.421 3
2 3 Alabama SEC 11-0 1.289 1.479 13 0.275 1
3 2 Baylor B12 9-1 1.157 2.025 1 0.692 25
4 5 OhioState B10 11-0 1.049 1.795 5 0.642 15
5 4 Oregon Pac-12 9-2 1.002 1.715 6 0.633 13
6 6 Wisconsin B10 9-2 0.997 1.340 20 0.409 2
7 7 ArizonaState Pac-12 9-2 0.967 1.824 4 0.737 32
8 8 Clemson ACC 10-1 0.919 1.620 8 0.644 16
9 11 Missouri SEC 10-1 0.827 1.465 14 0.621 11
10 16 OklahomaState B12 10-1 0.825 1.506 11 0.650 19
11 9 Louisville Amer 10-1 0.798 1.173 41 0.456 4
12 12 Auburn SEC 10-1 0.786 1.451 15 0.646 17
13 13 Washington Pac-12 7-4 0.783 1.427 17 0.633 14
14 10 TexasAM SEC 8-3 0.758 1.974 3 1.060 81
15 17 LSU SEC 8-3 0.755 1.536 10 0.734 31
16 18 GeorgiaTech ACC 7-4 0.728 1.354 19 0.629 12
17 14 Stanford Pac-12 9-2 0.727 1.235 31 0.550 7
18 19 Georgia SEC 7-4 0.723 1.683 7 0.872 57
19 22 MichiganState B10 10-1 0.658 1.061 53 0.487 5
20 20 SouthCarolina SEC 9-2 0.655 1.297 26 0.651 20
21 15 BYU Ind. 7-4 0.649 1.317 23 0.670 23
22 21 CentralFlorida Amer 9-1 0.614 1.444 16 0.795 39
23 23 UCLA Pac-12 8-3 0.580 1.294 27 0.713 28
24 32 Arizona Pac-12 7-4 0.577 1.231 32 0.669 22
25 24 USC Pac-12 9-3 0.545 1.099 52 0.599 9

And the Big Ten in particular...

rk LW NCAA Team Conf Record Rating Adj Off rk Adj Def rk
4 5 OhioState B10 11-0 1.049 1.795 5 0.642 15
6 6 Wisconsin B10 9-2 0.997 1.340 20 0.409 2
19 22 MichiganState B10 10-1 0.658 1.061 53 0.487 5
41 44 Iowa B10 7-4 0.330 0.962 66 0.666 21
45 48 Michigan B10 7-4 0.299 1.170 42 0.868 55
49 45 Indiana B10 4-7 0.262 1.601 9 1.291 108
51 52 Nebraska B10 8-3 0.237 1.180 39 0.937 63
55 59 PennState B10 6-5 0.169 0.958 68 0.801 42
60 60 Minnesota B10 8-3 0.138 0.923 74 0.796 40
69 65 Northwestern B10 4-7 0.036 0.905 81 0.871 56
72 68 Illinois B10 4-7 -0.007 1.209 33 1.216 104
114 113 Purdue B10 1-10 -0.652 0.547 122 1.145 93

Some thoughts...

DAMMIT BAYLOR. Maybe it's a Big 12 thing.

Congrats Ohio State. I'll raise hell if an undefeated BCS team gets passed by a one-loss contender.

Purdue is still the worst. Obviously.

THE PICKINGS

Lines taken from 5Dimes.eu here as of 2013-11-26. Home teams highlighted in blue.

Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
Texas TexasTech TexasTech 55% 4.5 -1.5 TexasTech
BowlingGreen Buffalo BowlingGreen 69% 2.0 6.4 BowlingGreen
FresnoState SanJoseState FresnoState 75% 7.5 9.3 FresnoState
Washington WashingtonState Washington 84% 14.0 13.6 WashingtonState
NorthCarolina Duke Duke 61% 6.5 -3.6 Duke
Alabama Auburn Alabama 85% 11.0 14.2 Alabama
Georgia GeorgiaTech GeorgiaTech 50% 3.5 -0.1 GeorgiaTech
Stanford NotreDame Stanford 77% 14.0 10.2 NotreDame
Missouri TexasAM Missouri 56% 4.5 1.9 TexasAM
ArizonaState Arizona ArizonaState 79% 13.0 11.1 Arizona

And the Big Ten games...

Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
Wisconsin PennState Wisconsin 98% 24.5 23.4 PennState
OhioState Michigan OhioState 95% 14.5 21.2 OhioState
MichiganState Minnesota MichiganState 86% 15.0 14.7 Minnesota
Nebraska Iowa Iowa 58% 3.0 -2.6 Iowa
Indiana Purdue Indiana 99% 20.5 25.9 Indiana
Northwestern Illinois Northwestern 54% 3.5 1.2 Illinois
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