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Hoegher's Picks: BOWL SEASON

GO NAVY, BEAT ARMY.

THE PICKINGS

Lines are taken from 5Dimes.eu here, as of 2013-12-14 (just after the finish of the Army-Navy game).

Date Bowl Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
21-Dec New Orleans Tulane LouisianaLafayette Tulane 60% 0.0 3.4 Tulane
21-Dec Las Vegas USC FresnoState USC 73% 6.5 8.2 USC
21-Dec New Mexico WashingtonState ColoradoState WashingtonState 77% 4.0 10.0 WashingtonState
21-Dec Idaho Potato Buffalo SanDiegoState Buffalo 89% 0.0 16.3 Buffalo
23-Dec Beef O'Bra. EastCarolina Ohio EastCarolina 87% 13.5 15.4 EastCarolina
24-Dec Hawaii OregonState BoiseState BoiseState 71% 3.0 -7.4 BoiseState
26-Dec Poinsettia NorthernIllinois UtahState UtahState 82% 1.5 -12.3 UtahState
26-Dec Pizza BowlingGreen Pittsburgh BowlingGreen 79% 5.5 10.8 BowlingGreen
27-Dec Texas Minnesota Syracuse Minnesota 50% 4.0 0.1 Syracuse
27-Dec Fight Hunger Washington BYU Washington 63% 3.0 4.2 Washington
27-Dec Military Marshall Maryland Marshall 75% 2.5 9.2 Marshall
28-Dec Buffalo WW KansasState Michigan Michigan 51% 3.5 -0.3 Michigan
28-Dec Belk NorthCarolina Cincinnati Cincinnati 52% 3.0 -0.8 Cincinnati
28-Dec Russell Athl. Louisville Miami Louisville 71% 3.0 7.3 Louisville
28-Dec Pinstripe NotreDame Rutgers NotreDame 86% 15.5 14.5 Rutgers
30-Dec Armed Forc. Navy MiddleTennessee Navy 72% 6.0 8.0 Navy
30-Dec Music City Mississippi GeorgiaTech GeorgiaTech 77% 3.0 -9.8 GeorgiaTech
30-Dec Holiday ArizonaState TexasTech ArizonaState 91% 14.0 17.9 ArizonaState
30-Dec Alamo Oregon Texas Oregon 90% 14.0 17.0 Oregon
31-Dec Chik-Fil-A TexasAM Duke TexasAM 73% 12.0 8.2 Duke
31-Dec Liberty MississippiState Rice MississippiState 60% 7.0 3.2 Rice
31-Dec Indepen. Arizona BostonCollege Arizona 73% 7.5 8.4 Arizona
31-Dec Sun UCLA VirginiaTech UCLA 65% 7.0 5.0 VirginiaTech
1-Jan Rose Stanford MichiganState Stanford 54% 4.5 1.4 MichiganState
1-Jan Cap. One Wisconsin SouthCarolina Wisconsin 67% 0.0 5.9 Wisconsin
1-Jan Outback LSU Iowa LSU 72% 7.5 8.0 LSU
1-Jan Gator Georgia Nebraska Georgia 84% 9.0 13.5 Georgia
1-Jan Fiesta Baylor CentralFlorida Baylor 87% 16.0 15.3 CentralFlorida
1-Jan Heart/Dall. NorthTexas UNLV NorthTexas 83% 6.5 12.9 NorthTexas
2-Jan Sugar Alabama Oklahoma Alabama 94% 15.5 19.9 Alabama
3-Jan Orange OhioState Clemson OhioState 57% 2.5 2.4 Clemson
3-Jan Cotton Missouri OklahomaState OklahomaState 51% 1.0 -0.3 OklahomaState
4-Jan Compass Vanderbilt Houston Houston 62% 3.0 -4.1 Houston
5-Jan GoDaddy BallState ArkansasState BallState 67% 8.5 5.9 ArkansasState
6-Jan BCS Champ. FloridaState Auburn FloridaState 85% 8.5 14.2 FloridaState

And the Big Ten games:

Overcat Underdog Proj Winner Conf Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
LSU Iowa LSU 72% 7.5 8.0 LSU
KansasState Michigan Michigan 51% 3.5 -0.3 Michigan
Stanford MichiganState Stanford 54% 4.5 1.4 MichiganState
Minnesota Syracuse Minnesota 50% 4.0 0.1 Syracuse
Georgia Nebraska Georgia 84% 9.0 13.5 Georgia
OhioState Clemson OhioState 57% 2.5 2.4 Clemson
Wisconsin SouthCarolina Wisconsin 67% 0.0 5.9 Wisconsin

Some thoughts...

CLOSEST GAMES

Those bowl match-ups I'm projecting to be fought to the bitter end.

Texas Bowl - Minnesota vs Syracuse

Dubious Projection: Minnesota by 0.1 pts

Cotton Bowl - Missouri vs Oklahoma State

Dubious Projection: Oklahoma State by 0.3 pts

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - Kansas State vs Michigan

Dubious Projection: Michigan by 0.3 pts

Belk Bowl - North Carolina vs Cincinnati

Dubious Projection: Cincinnati by 0.8 pts

Rose Bowl - Stanford vs Michigan State

Dubious Projection: Stanford by 1.4 pts

BIGGEST BLOWOUTS

Those games taking up the trail forged by Purdue last year.

Sugar Bowl - Alabama vs Oklahoma

Dubious Projection: Alabama by 19.9 pts

Holiday Bowl - Arizona State vs Texas Tech

Dubious Projection: Arizona State by 17.9 pts

Alamo Bowl - Oregon vs Texas

Dubious Projection: Oregon by 17.0 pts

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Buffalo vs San Diego State

Dubious Projection: Buffalo by 16.3 pts

Beef O'Brady's Bowl - East Carolina vs Ohio

Dubious Projection: East Carolina by 15.4 pts

MOST EXCITING GAMES

Using the entirely scientific theory that "exciting" = "points" & "close margin," here's what I project as the games to bookmark, according to a formula I don't entirely trust.

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - Kansas State vs Michigan

Dubious Projection: MICH 28.8, KSU 28.5

Cotton Bowl - Missouri vs Oklahoma State

Dubious Projection: OSU 28.4, MIZZ 28.1

Orange Bowl* - Ohio State vs Clemson

Dubious Projection: OSU 32.1, CLEM 29.8

Belk Bowl - North Carolina vs Cincinnati

Dubious Projection: CIN 28.3, UNC 27.5

Chik-Fil-A Bowl - Texas A&M vs Duke

Dubious Projection: TAMU 38.0, DUKE 29.8

* Also, Urban Meyer might punch Sammy Watkins.

OPPORTUNITIES TO LAUGH AT HOEGHER

The picks that I'm probably going to get wrong, from the looks of the it. Yes, Georgia Tech is in here.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Buffalo vs San Diego State

Dubious Projection: Buffalo by 16.3 pts

Hawaii Bowl - Oregon State vs Boise State

Dubious Projection: Boise State by 7.4 pts

Poinsettia Bowl - Northern Illinois vs Utah State

Dubious Projection: Utah State by 12.3 pts

Music City Bowl - Mississippi vs Georgia Tech

Dubious Projection: Georgia Tech by 9.8 pts

Capitol One Bowl - Wisconsin vs South Carolina

Dubious Projection: Wisconsin by 5.9 pts

FINAL THOUGHTS

College football is almost done for the year. Savor these moments and enjoy the games, y'all :)

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