I'm terrible, I apologize. I have both:
1) Work piling up (Epic brings in the checks, but I did sleep at the office yesterday)
2) A girl to get insecure about (I'm amazing, but they don't always realize it right away)
I did intend to flesh out this (amateur) preview tonight, but the bar I went to had internet problems. On the plus side, I was able to configure completion-matching for some of my spreadsheets in Excel (somewhat, there seem to be some bugs still):
TO THE AMAZING:
Nebraska Overall Ratings
Nebraska Adj Off/Def
Nebraska Win Pct/Luck
Winning percentage and "Luck" are plotted on a win-pct basis (mind-blowing, I know). Adj Off/Def/Eff/Marg and Resume rankings are plotted on a percentile-ranking basis. Thus, a team rating out in the 99th percentile would be awesome, a team rating out in the 1st percentile would be not-so-awesome.
Projected Rating: 0.535 (18th)
|Conf||Proj Rec||Conf Rec||Adj Off||rk||Adj Def||rk||Adj Eff||rk||Adj Marg||rk|
|Schedule||SOS||rk||Conf SOS||rk||n-con SOS||rk|
|Week 1 (H)||Week 2 (H)||Week 3 (H)||Week 4 (H)||Week 5||Week 6 (H)||Week 7 (V)||Week 8|
|105 - WHY'O||99%||93 - SoMiss||96%||52 - UCLA||77%||124 - FCS||99%||0 - BYE||0%||84 - LOLinois||93%||70 - ?????||89%||0 - BYE||0%|
|Week 9 (V)||Week 10 (H)||Week 11 (V)||Week 12 (H)||Week 13 (V)||Week 14 (H)||Week 15||Week 16|
|78 - Minny||92%||37 - justNW||70%||27 - FuMich||63%||30 - SParty||66%||19 - PennSt||50%||51 - Iowegia||77%||0 - BYE||0%||0 - BYE||0%|
The number next to each opponent represents the projected ranking for that team. The percentages represent projected likelihood of winning a particular game, helpfully color-coded for your benefit (no regard for home/away, though that status is noted). The team names have been adjusted to better fit your screen, I hope they are obvious enough. You are free to ignore everything and tell me why I'm wrong, you're probably right.
Nebraska 2013 Profile
This is an attempt to quickly illustrate a team's outlook for the coming season. These aren't unique (my personal experience was a Pokemon Yellow Guide from my youth): maxing out the pentagon is better. Winning percentage should be obvious, but other than that: the numbers here represent percentile rankings. 99th percentile is good, 1st percentile is less so.
HOEGHER'S BIASED PREDICTION
9-3 Wisconsin scored again. But also Taylor Martinez. He's better (as a college QB), but still a crappy thrower. This still applies.
Adj Off - analogous to scoring offense, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Def - analogous to scoring defense, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Eff - analogous to scoring ratio, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Marg - analogous to scoring margin, adjusted for opponent strength.
Luck - difference between actual winning percentage and expected winning percentage.
Resume - analogous to win/loss record, adjusted for opponent strength.
For for information see here: HOEGHER'S PRIMER.