I'm accepting defeat now. My schedule for the week:
TUESDAY: Work, Ultimate, run, pack for move
WEDNESDAY: Work, dinner date (wish me luck, she's cute!), pack for move
THURSDAY: Work, run, Duck Blind
FRIDAY: Move, run
WEEKEND: and more of the same.
Ohio State Overall Ratings
Ohio State Adj Off/Def
Ohio State Win Pct/Luck
Winning percentage and "Luck" are plotted on a win-pct basis (mind-blowing, I know). Adj Off/Def/Eff/Marg and Resume rankings are plotted on a percentile-ranking basis. Thus, a team rating out in the 99th percentile would be awesome, a team rating out in the 1st percentile would be not-so-awesome.
Projected Rating: 0.606 (14th)
|Conf||Proj Rec||Conf Rec||Adj Off||rk||Adj Def||rk||Adj Eff||rk||Adj Marg||rk|
|Schedule||SOS||rk||Conf SOS||rk||n-con SOS||rk|
|Week 1 (H)||Week 2 (H)||Week 3 (V)||Week 4 (H)||Week 5 (H)||Week 6 (V)||Week 7||Week 8 (H)|
|104 - BILLS||99%||72 - SDState||92%||67 - Calif||90%||124 - FCS||99%||22 - Wiscy||60%||37 - justNW||74%||0 - BYE||0%||51 - Iowegia||81%|
|Week 9 (H)||Week 10 (V)||Week 11||Week 12 (V)||Week 13 (H)||Week 14 (V)||Week 15||Week 16|
|19 - PennSt||57%||70 - ?????||92%||0 - BYE||0%||84 - LOLinois||95%||90 - India||97%||27 - FuMich||68%||0 - BYE||0%||0 - BYE||0%|
The number next to each opponent represents the projected ranking for that team. The percentages represent projected likelihood of winning a particular game, helpfully color-coded for your benefit (no regard for home/away, though that status is noted). The team names have been adjusted to better fit your screen, I hope they are obvious enough. You are free to ignore everything and tell me why I'm wrong, you're probably right.
Ohio State 2013 Profile
This is an attempt to quickly illustrate a team's outlook for the coming season. These aren't unique (my personal experience was a Pokemon Yellow Guide from my youth): maxing out the pentagon is better. Winning percentage should be obvious, but other than that: the numbers here represent percentile rankings. 99th percentile is good, 1st percentile is less so.
HOEGHER'S BIASED PREDICTION
10-2 I really hope they lose a non-conference game though. Y'all are dismissing that a bit too easily. San Diego State isn't terrible, and California should be improved (and Brandon Bigelow is still around).
Adj Off - analogous to scoring offense, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Def - analogous to scoring defense, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Eff - analogous to scoring ratio, adjusted for opponent strength.
Adj Marg - analogous to scoring margin, adjusted for opponent strength.
Luck - difference between actual winning percentage and expected winning percentage.
Resume - analogous to win/loss record, adjusted for opponent strength.
For for information see here: HOEGHER'S PRIMER.