FanPost

Hoegher's 2014 Rankings: WEEK FIFTEEN

57-59-9. TWO MORE YEARS GOPHERS.

scores and stats gather from the resources at Sports-Reference and CFBStats.

If you're curious about these projections, here's a Google Doc link that you can play around with.

THE RANKINGS

And another view:

I'm putting the visual view to help illustrate a point. Florida State fans bring it up mostly to help rationalize their shitty (yet inexplicably undefeated) team, but the point is still true. There's a major lack of the usual elite teams that populate each year. Should make the playoff exciting, though!

Florida State still sucks. This needs to be re-iterated.

Your updated watch in worst: Vandy makes a late charge, but will it hold?

#108 - Vanderbilt (3-9)

#107 - Wake Forest (3-9)

#106 - Kansas (3-9)

#98 - Iowa State (2-9, 2-10 proj rec)

#92 - Syracuse (3-9)

BONUS COVERAGE: Did SMU win? Lost 9-35 to Houston. Current status? 90% chance of perfection.

THE PICKINGS

I went 32-22-1 last week. 321-353-8 (48%) on the year. Clearly Wk14 is my sweet spot (I'm actually going to check on my MATLAB scripts, because I did almost too well in Wk14. I think I have a mistake in my code).

Also, I'm retro-fitting my current model (still using at-the-time ratings) through the year, so those records against the spread may change.

Lines taken from 5Dimes here. Home teams highlighted in blue.

Date Overcat Underdog Proj Winner W Lk Line Hoegh Pick vs Spd
Dec 04 EastCarolina CentralFlorida CentralFlorida 49% 5.5 -0.3 CentralFlorida
Dec 05 NorthernIllinois BowlingGreen NorthernIllinois 66% 5.5 4.8 BowlingGreen
Dec 05 Oregon Arizona Oregon 85% 13.5 12.6 Arizona
Dec 06 TCU IowaState TCU 99% 32.5 36.8 TCU
Dec 06 Cincinnati Houston Cincinnati 76% 7.0 8.7 Cincinnati
Dec 06 Marshall LouisianaTech Marshall 78% 12.5 9.3 LouisianaTech
Dec 06 Connecticut SMU Connecticut 90% 11.5 16.4 Connecticut
Dec 06 Oklahoma OklahomaState Oklahoma 97% 20.0 24.7 Oklahoma
Dec 06 Alabama Missouri Alabama 84% 14.0 12.1 Missouri
Dec 06 Temple Tulane Temple 80% 4.0 10.1 Temple
Dec 06 FloridaState GeorgiaTech FloridaState 57% 3.5 2.0 GeorgiaTech
Dec 06 Wisconsin OhioState OhioState 44% 4.0 -1.8 OhioState
Dec 06 BoiseState FresnoState BoiseState 95% 19.0 22.2 BoiseState

And the Big Ten in particular...

[TABLE - B10 PICKS]

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