FanPost

Hoegher's 2014 Previews: MARYLAND CRAB CAKES

I'm not going to add any discussion points. I don't care about Maryland.

NOTE: All of the numbers and figures that follow are based on my ratings system, which is derived from scoring data going back to 1930. For more explanation, see my primer here: [LINK]

Data gathered from the wonderful resources provided by Sports-Reference and James Howell.

PAST PERFORMANCES OF VARYING QUALITY

Maryland - Historical Overall Ratings

Maryland - Historical Offense & Defense

Maryland - Historical Win% & "Luck"

Whenever I see J. Tatum in my spreadsheets, I get confused about whether or not that refers to the Ohio State linebacker.

"BEST" and "WORST" (since 1930, 9953 total teams)

Rk Year Team Adj Rk Res Rk Conf Record Adj Off Yr Rk Adj Def Yr Rk Luck Yr Rk SOS Yr Rk N.C.
58 1951 Maryland 41 236 Sou 10-0-0 2.30 1 0.34 2 6% 32 0.23 48
122 1953 Maryland 97 324 ACC 10-1-0 1.81 6 0.22 1 -1% 63 0.32 29 Y
463 1952 Maryland 398 725 Ind. 7-2-0 1.68 6 0.42 11 -4% 78 0.43 14
478 1976 Maryland 620 374 ACC 11-1-0 1.44 14 0.50 3 3% 55 0.08 67
516 1955 Maryland 757 259 ACC 10-1-0 1.45 20 0.41 5 14% 6 0.27 31

1951 Maryland (Coach - Jim Tatum)

Conf Record Luck (wins) rk Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Adj Eff rk Adj Marg rk
Sou 10-0-0 +0.6 32 2.30 1 0.34 2 0.87 1 1.96 1
Total Teams Rating rk Opp-O rk Opp-D rk SOS rk Variance rk
117 1.72 1 1.06 50 0.83 37 0.23 48 0.72 79
H/V Opponent Record Opp Rk Off Rk Def Rk PF PA OT W/L W-Lk
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
V WashingtonLee 6-4-0 17 12 31 54 14 W 88%
H GeorgeWashington 2-6-1 91 83 92 33 6 W 99%
V Georgia 5-5-0 52 49 52 43 7 W 98%
H NorthCarolina 2-8-0 71 74 64 14 7 W 99%
V LSU 7-3-1 40 95 6 27 0 W 97%
H Missouri 2-8-0 96 77 108 35 0 W 99%
N Navy 2-6-1 43 41 50 40 21 W 98%
H NorthCarolinaState 3-7-0 98 100 85 53 0 W 99%
H WestVirginia 5-5-0 68 73 56 54 7 W 99%
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
N Tennessee 10-1-0 2 2 7 28 13 W 65%

I don't car about Maryland.

Rk Year Team Adj Rk Res Rk Conf Record Adj Off Yr Rk Adj Def Yr Rk Luck Yr Rk SOS Yr Rk N.C.
8853 1940 Maryland 8982 8397 Sou 2-6-1 0.28 121 1.01 87 5% 40 0.15 65
8959 1970 Maryland 8806 9126 ACC 2-9-0 0.45 121 0.98 73 -4% 86 -0.08 85
9054 1943 Maryland 9397 7748 Sou 4-5-0 0.55 66 1.88 74 29% 1 -0.31 65
9073 1969 Maryland 9394 7835 ACC 3-7-0 0.52 116 1.35 107 9% 25 -0.15 95
9698 1967 Maryland 9698 9599 ACC 0-9-0 0.38 117 1.37 109 -6% 92 0.25 19

1967 Maryland (Coach - Robert Ward)

Conf Record Luck (wins) rk Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Adj Eff rk Adj Marg rk
ACC 0-9-0 -0.5 92 0.38 117 1.37 109 0.22 118 -0.99 116
Total Teams Rating rk Opp-O rk Opp-D rk SOS rk Variance rk
119 -1.06 118 1.13 21 0.87 27 0.25 19 0.41 26
H/V Opponent Record Opp Rk Off Rk Def Rk PF PA OT W/L W-Lk
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
~ BYE ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
V Oklahoma 10-1-0 7 10 18 0 35 L 1%
H Syracuse 8-2-0 26 32 26 3 7 L 1%
H NorthCarolinaState 9-2-0 24 42 6 9 31 L 1%
V NorthCarolina 2-8-0 101 107 91 0 14 L 17%
V SouthCarolina 5-5-0 77 85 69 0 31 L 6%
H PennState 8-2-1 11 9 35 3 38 L 1%
V Clemson 6-4-0 37 45 36 7 28 L 1%
V WakeForest 4-6-0 92 50 110 17 35 L 11%
H Virginia 5-5-0 78 67 89 7 12 L 15%

I don't care about Maryland.

FUTURE PROJECTIONS OF SUSPECT VALIDITY

Maryland Proj Rk - 59 (out of 129)

Off Ret St - 8 (1 QB)

Def Ret St - 9

Conf Prj Rec Conf Adj Off rk Adj Def rk SOS rk C-SOS rk
B10 5-7 2-6 0.99 73 0.90 49 0.23 21 0.44 15
Gm Wk Date H/V Opponent Prj Rk Prj Off Prj Def W-Lk
1 1 Aug-30 H JamesMadison 126 ~ ~ 99%
2 2 Sep-06 V SouthFlorida 86 98 73 67%
3 3 Sep-13 H WestVirginia 52 37 64 52%
4 4 Sep-20 V Syracuse 53 66 40 34%
5 5 Sep-27 V Indiana 58 11 109 38%
6 6 Oct-04 H OhioState 5 8 16 9%
7 8 Oct-18 H Iowa 41 61 22 38%
8 9 Oct-25 V Wisconsin 12 16 20 7%
9 10 Nov-01 V PennState 31 57 11 16%
10 12 Nov-15 H MichiganState 20 45 7 24%
11 13 Nov-22 V Michigan 24 21 32 14%
12 14 Nov-29 H Rutgers 56 69 39 54%
13 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
14 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

Maryland 2014 Profile

Hoegher's Biased Perspective

I don't care about Maryland.

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