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2009 Bowl Projections - Post Week 7

The tier system holds this week, even if it didn't match the results on the field.  Ohio State's loss has me rethinking the Buckeyes.  They still control their own destiny, win out and they go to Pasadena.  But do you trust that offense to beat the Wolverines?  Score at Penn State?  Win against Iowa?  I see them losing at least one of those three.  For now, I'm projecting a 7-1 tie between Iowa and Penn State, with Iowa winning the tiebreaker.  This could be a year where 6-2 wins the league, and there is a 4 way tie for the title.  This race is fascinating.


Remember the rules.

  1. These are projections.  I am taking into account what will happen in future games, not assigning teams based upon current standings.
  2. The best teams don't always go to the best games.  In the end, butts in the seat and eyes to the television are the biggest factors.  
  3. The order of BCS selection is 1) Replacement for #1 Team; 2) Replacement for #2 Team; 3) Orange Bowl; 4) Fiesta Bowl; 5) Sugar Bowl.
  4. The Champs Bowl picks its Big Ten team ahead of the Alamo Bowl this year.
  5. For the full rules on BCS selections, look here
Bcs_championship_logo2009_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Alabama_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Texas_old5_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Neither looked pretty, but I still think these are the two best teams in the country.  And really, which team did look good last week? 
Orangebowl_2005_small_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Miami_fl_medium Penn_state_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium As Penn State's O-Line has improved, I've come around on them.  I have them at 11-1 (7-1) and losing a tiebreaker to Iowa.  If Miami, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech all win out, Miami wins the division tiebreaker.  


Notre_dame_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Texas_christian_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium As I said, 10-2 Notre Dame goes here.  They only move out if they lose again.  TCU is here until they lose, at which time they'd be replaced by Boise State.
Sugarbowl_2006_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Florida_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Cincinnati_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium SEC Championship Game loser versus Big East Champ, which looks like the Cincy/PItt winner.
Rosebowl_small_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Iowa_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Southern_california_medium_medium_medium_medium As a fan, I feel like I've now jinxed the Hawks and guaranteed their loss in East Lansing.  They can slip up once, not twice.
Capitalonebowl2002_small_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Ohio_st_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Lsu_medium_medium_medium USC still doesn't lose the big ones.  Ohio State now loses the small ones, too.
Outbackbowl_2008_sm_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Michigan_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Auburn_medium_medium I'm keeping Auburn here for now, but this will likely end up being the place for the Georgia/Auburn winner.
Champssportsbowl_2004_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Wisconsin_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Clemson_medium_medium Wisconsin had better hope that this isn't the start of a horrendous slide like last year.  The schedule should help prevent that.  
Alamobowl_2007sm_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Michigan_st_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Nebraska_medium Don't sleep on Sparty.  They still have a legitimate  shot to run the table and run to the Roses.  Nebraska wins the Big 12 North, but it's not pretty.
Insightbowl2002_small_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Minnesota_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Missouri1_medium No conference had a worse weekend than the Big 12.  Nebraska's second loss, Missouri's second loss, Oklahoma's third, and Kansas's first (to Colorado) left only Oklahoma State as a viable second BCS team. I think we'll see 10-2 Okie State in the Cotton Bowl.
Images_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Northwestern_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Central_michigan_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium You will beat Indiana and get to six wins, right Wildcats?
Images_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium Indiana_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium_medium


A tip of that hat to the two Indiana schools.  If they could have won some of their near-misses in the first four weeks, they might have made bowl games. As it is, at least they're not the Illini.