Remember, it's still early. Don't get too worked up about where your team is slotted here. Except Wisconsin, that's definitely accurate.
THE RANKINGS
rk | LW | NCAA Team | Conf | Record | Rating | Adj Off | rk | Adj Def | rk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | GeorgiaTech | ACC | 2-0 | 1.603 | 1.966 | 2 | 0.273 | 1 |
2 | 2 | ArizonaState | Pac-12 | 2-0 | 1.585 | 2.184 | 1 | 0.397 | 4 |
3 | 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-0 | 1.325 | 1.818 | 3 | 0.419 | 8 |
4 | 4 | Wisconsin | B10 | 2-1 | 1.240 | 1.489 | 17 | 0.314 | 2 |
5 | 10 | Baylor | B12 | 2-0 | 1.118 | 1.733 | 6 | 0.543 | 14 |
6 | 5 | Alabama | SEC | 2-0 | 1.070 | 1.774 | 4 | 0.611 | 22 |
7 | 3 | Washington | Pac-12 | 2-0 | 1.042 | 1.392 | 29 | 0.405 | 6 |
8 | 79 | FloridaState | ACC | 2-0 | 1.036 | 1.335 | 35 | 0.379 | 3 |
9 | 6 | Oklahoma | B12 | 3-0 | 0.968 | 1.395 | 27 | 0.463 | 10 |
10 | 38 | PennState | B10 | 2-1 | 0.934 | 1.604 | 9 | 0.620 | 25 |
11 | 15 | Louisville | Amer | 3-0 | 0.916 | 1.241 | 40 | 0.412 | 7 |
12 | 12 | CentralFlorida | Amer | 3-0 | 0.894 | 1.300 | 37 | 0.463 | 11 |
13 | 21 | Auburn | SEC | 3-0 | 0.878 | 1.565 | 13 | 0.643 | 28 |
14 | 22 | Duke | ACC | 2-1 | 0.870 | 1.454 | 19 | 0.577 | 18 |
15 | 26 | Miami | ACC | 2-0 | 0.856 | 1.458 | 18 | 0.591 | 20 |
16 | 16 | UtahState | MWC | 2-1 | 0.811 | 1.397 | 25 | 0.589 | 19 |
17 | 14 | Utah | Pac-12 | 2-1 | 0.803 | 1.533 | 16 | 0.688 | 32 |
18 | 17 | OklahomaState | B12 | 3-0 | 0.800 | 1.416 | 22 | 0.611 | 23 |
19 | 20 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-0 | 0.797 | 1.083 | 62 | 0.403 | 5 |
20 | 40 | Navy | Ind. | 2-0 | 0.796 | 1.349 | 33 | 0.570 | 16 |
21 | 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-1 | 0.781 | 1.369 | 31 | 0.595 | 21 |
22 | 27 | Florida | SEC | 1-1 | 0.693 | 1.161 | 52 | 0.527 | 12 |
23 | 8 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-0 | 0.691 | 1.593 | 11 | 0.835 | 48 |
24 | 55 | UTSA | CUSA | 1-2 | 0.615 | 1.554 | 14 | 0.879 | 59 |
25 | 11 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-0 | 0.603 | 1.384 | 30 | 0.760 | 37 |
And the rest of the Big Ten...
rk | LW | NCAA Team | Conf | Record | Rating | Adj Off | rk | Adj Def | rk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
32 | 86 | Indiana | B10 | 2-1 | 0.511 | 1.752 | 5 | 1.148 | 96 |
33 | 61 | Northwestern | B10 | 3-0 | 0.510 | 1.443 | 20 | 0.893 | 62 |
34 | 31 | Nebraska | B10 | 2-1 | 0.510 | 1.576 | 12 | 1.002 | 80 |
36 | 19 | Michigan | B10 | 3-0 | 0.494 | 1.392 | 28 | 0.867 | 57 |
41 | 72 | Illinois | B10 | 2-1 | 0.392 | 1.619 | 7 | 1.163 | 97 |
61 | 57 | MichiganState | B10 | 3-0 | 0.199 | 0.947 | 84 | 0.764 | 38 |
71 | 78 | OhioState | B10 | 3-0 | 0.110 | 1.087 | 61 | 0.976 | 76 |
85 | 85 | Iowa | B10 | 2-1 | -0.055 | 0.850 | 93 | 0.901 | 64 |
86 | 110 | Minnesota | B10 | 3-0 | -0.075 | 0.949 | 83 | 1.023 | 87 |
112 | 120 | Purdue | B10 | 1-2 | -0.404 | 0.619 | 117 | 0.978 | 77 |
A primer on what goes into these rankings can be found here. Some thoughts...
I have no idea what to think of you, Michigan. You started off the season beating Central Michigan 59-9. I mean, Central Michigan is a bad team, but that's what good teams are supposed to do to bad teams. We're off to a good start.
Next, you beat Notre Dame 41-30. Maybe a bit much on defense (and whatever this was), but that's solid work beating an Irish team that averaged 15.0 yds/att passing against Temple (Andrew Hendrix excepted). They did go to the BCS Championship last year, after all.
Then... Akron. AKRON. I'll say it again: AKRON. Maybe Terry Bowden is putting in work this year, but this is a team that managed to lose to Massachusetts last year. The only team that managed to lose to Massachusetts last year. There is simply no excuse for letting them get within two scores of you, much less on the one yard line with a chance to win the game.
FUN FACT: I was on my way to a wedding on Saturday, so I missed this game. We were flipping through radio channels and got to one announcing the Big Ten scores for the early slate. This being a static-y radio, I mis-heard the final score as 38-24 Michigan over Akron. My first thought was still They gave up 24 pts to Akron? That's awful.
Fortunately, what with Notre Dame also struggling with Purdue and Temple turning out to be really bad, this is all sorted out by simply assuming Notre Dame isn't very good. I can live with that.
I'm punting on Ohio State. Sorry you rank 71st here Buckeyes. You play Florida A&M this weekend. Why don't you spend it properly blowing out a patsy opponent?
A reminder that South Florida ranked #2 in the AP Poll on October 14th, 2007. That's a bit of cherry picking, as they ended that season 9-4 and out of the poll all together, but still. South Florida has taken up the 2012 Colorado mystique with gusto. You alrady know about them being blown out at home against McNeese State. Their latest "accomplishment" involves losing handily (again at home) against Florida Atlantic. You might rememeber Florida Atlantic from such times as spiking the ball to stop the clock... on 4th down. The point is, they are terrible and South Florida still managed to lose by three scores against them. Your other members of the Early 'Aughts Temple Imitation Department:
#125 - South Florida (they bear mentioning again)
#114 - Temple (how appropriate!)
#112 - Purdue
#111 - Connecticut
#103 - Kansas
And speaking of bad teams from Florida...
FIU willingly fired Mario Cristobal and hired Ron Turner. Mario Cristobal has given FIU the only bowl games it's ever known (heck he even won one!) Mario Cristobal won a Sun Belt conference title at FIU. Mario Cristobal turned down Rutgers to return to FIU. And FIU fired him. They currently rank #122 in my spreadsheets and have scored 23 pts in three games.
Mario Cristobal is currently the offensive line coach at Alabama, and if Texas was smart they would make him their new head coach this off-season (Texas is not smart and will hire Todd Graham instead, because Todd Graham comes from a family of rabbits and has relatives EVERYWHERE).
THE PICKINGS
Lines taken from 5Dimes.eu here, as of 2013-09-18. Home teams highlighted in blue.
Overcat | Underdog | Proj Winner | Conf | Line | Hoegh | Pick vs Spd |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU | Utah | Utah | 99% | 7.0 | -25.2 | Utah |
FresnoState | BoiseState | FresnoState | 53% | 3.5 | 1.0 | BoiseState |
GeorgiaTech | NorthCarolina | GeorgiaTech | 99% | 6.0 | 40.2 | GeorgiaTech |
Texas | KansasState | Texas | 57% | 5.5 | 2.2 | KansasState |
LSU | Auburn | Auburn | 77% | 17.0 | -10.0 | Auburn |
USC | UtahState | UtahState | 71% | 6.5 | -7.5 | UtahState |
Florida | Tennessee | Tennessee | 58% | 16.0 | -2.5 | Tennessee |
Maryland | WestVirginia | WestVirginia | 56% | 4.5 | -2.0 | WestVirginia |
Rutgers | Arkansas | Rutgers | 68% | 0.0 | 6.1 | Rutgers |
Stanford | ArizonaState | ArizonaState | 99% | 7.0 | -24.9 | ArizonaState |
And the Big Ten games...
Overcat | Underdog | Proj Winner | Conf | Line | Hoegh | Pick vs Spd |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Missouri | Indiana | Indiana | 61% | 2.0 | -3.7 | Indiana |
Iowa | WesternMichigan | Iowa | 72% | 16.5 | 7.9 | WesternMichigan |
PennState | KentState | PennState | 99% | 21.0 | 36.3 | PennState |
Michigan | Connecticut | Michigan | 99% | 17.5 | 24.9 | Michigan |
NotreDame | MichiganState | NotreDame | 55% | 7.0 | 1.7 | MichiganState |
Wisconsin | Purdue | Wisconsin | 99% | 24.0 | 45.8 | Wisconsin |
Minnesota | SanJoseState | SanJoseState | 72% | 4.0 | -8.0 | SanJoseState |
My Stupid Upset Pick of the week is Arizona State over Stanford. If Purdue turns out to be the right play here, I'm going to be very sad.
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