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NCAA College Football Rankings: Stew System - Week 13

Deserving vs. Best

NCAA Football: Auburn at Alabama John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Team Ratings:

B1G Thoughts:

  • OSU won and NOTHING CHANGED! But that’s actually about what’s supposed to happen. So, YAY!
  • WI and PSU are neck in neck this week. The winner will get a big boost going into the CFP selection. However, I don’t think it will be enough to jump them into my top 4 (or very many top 4’s in the Massey Composite). Commence all of the Deserve vs. Best debates.
  • Yes, I do still have UNL ahead of Iowa, though not by much. They do seem to be going in opposite directions right now, though. 3 weeks ago Iowa was ranked 69th (nice), Nebraska was at at 16 before getting BTFO by OSU. So take that into consideration.
  • Despite being close in rankings there’s some separation between jNW and Minnesota, look at the rating difference.
  • Congrats to both the turtles and Hoosiers, on getting to bowl eligibility. Pretty impressive considering it’s a bit of a rebuilding year for both.
  • There was no excuse for this year, MSU. This is worse than Iowa’s 2012 debacle. Thought MSU’s floor was much, much higher. Really strange.
  • IL, Purdue, Buttgers, you’re all horrible, horrible teams. I mean really truly awful. You should feel bad.

Other thoughts:

  • WMU could still get screwed out of a NY6 game. If Navy wins the AAC and then when they beat Army (sorry, GF3), they could end up higher ranked than the boat rowers which would be crazy.
  • A lot of people now have USC in the top 10, but those early games still happened.
  • South Florida has 10 freaking wins. Someone go hire Willy Tagert now!
  • Temple, turns out, is pretty good.
  • Eastern Michigan is 7-5! EASTERN MICHIGAN!!

Big Risers:

  • Southern Miss got a big upset of LA Tech to get to bowl eligibility.
  • The Lobos absolutely decimated Wyoming last week.
  • Air Force got a big upset over Boise State.

Falling Down:

  • Hi, Nebraska!
  • TAMU got DACOACHO hired.
  • I don’t feel a bit bad about Butch Jones getting blown out by Vandy.
  • Ole Miss, the best damn 5-7 team in the country.

Projected Playoff Teams:

Now, for DJ’s article earlier in the week I just submitted my top 4 teams, as was requested. But I’m going to project forward here. One team per conference with preference given to conference champs.

  1. Alabama
  2. Clemson
  3. Washington
  4. Wisconsin

Elite/Garbage Teams:

Average Rating = 32.04

Standard Deviation = 17.99

  • Elite = 68.02 (Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan, Clemson)
  • Garbage = -3.95 (No one qualifies this week)

Conference Ratings:

  • My esteemed colleague from jNW called the SEC bad earlier in the week. Why then do my ratings have them as significantly the best conference? Because they don’t have super shitty teams. Mizzou is their worst team - ranked 81st, with a rating of 24.68. The B1G, ACC, and Pac12 all have 4 teams worse than that, and the Big 12 has 3. So while the top of the SEC isn’t nearly as good this year, they don’t have any teams nearly as terrible as the other conferences.