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Post-Week 10 Big Ten Bowl Projections

Did Penn State play its way into an NY6 bowl?

NCAA Football: Iowa at Penn State
I mean, this picture was too perfect to pass up.
Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Not much time for thoughts today except to mention that I have broken down and moved Penn State into an at-large slot for the New Year's Six bowl games. The losses by Texas A&M and Florida and my opinion that the LSU balloon is slowly leaking means the Nittany Lions head to Dallas for the hypiest matchup that ever hyped.

Bowl Date Tie 1 Tie 2 Comments
Cure 17-Dec AAC Central Florida Sun Belt 4 Appalachian State
Camelia 17-Dec MAC 3 Akron Sun Belt 3 South Alabama A loss to a moribund Louisiana-Monroe means the USA margin for error is thiiin.
New Orleans 17-Dec Sun Belt 1 Louisiana-Lafayette C-USA Louisiana Tech
New Mexico 17-Dec C-USA Middle Tennessee State MWC New Mexico
Las Vegas 17-Dec MWC Boise State Pac12 6 California Hey look, Cal's not all that good! Stunning.
Miami Beach 19-Dec AAC Houston MAC Eastern Michigan
Boca Raton 20-Dec AAC Memphis C-USA Southern Mississippi
Poinsettia 21-Dec BYU BYU MWC San Diego State We can basically just lock this one in, right?
Potato 22-Dec MAC 2 Central Michigan MWC Wyoming I just can't see the 'Pokes climbing any higher.
Bahamas 23-Dec AAC Tulsa MAC Toledo Take the over. This one's gonna be fun.
Armed Forces 23-Dec Big XII 7-8 Kansas State AAC (Navy) Navy Ho-hum.
Dollar General 23-Dec MAC 1 Ohio Sun Belt Troy
Hawaii 24-Dec MWC Hawaii C-USA Western Kentucky That 13th game on the Rainbow Warriors' schedule is gonna prove vital--they're 4-6 and need to beat Fresno and UMass.
Independence 26-Dec ACC Boston College** C-USA/SEC UTSA The Roadrunners' upset of Middle Tennessee means C-USA's got an extra team bowling.
Quick Lane 26-Dec ACC Army* B1G 8-9 Indiana Indy still is a good destination for the Hoosiers, who can't go back to NYC.
St. Petersburg 26-Dec ACC Miami (FL) AAC South Florida
Cactus 27-Dec Big XII 6 Texas Pac12 7 Arizona State Texas is becoming a tricky team to slot in here. Sparky holds out hope for a win over Arizona to go bowling.
Heart of Dallas 27-Dec B1G 8-9 Vanderbilt** C-USA Old Dominion The "Where will the smart team go next?" roulette continues.
Military 27-Dec ACC Air Force* AAC Temple This remains an intriguing matchup.
Holiday 27-Dec B1G 2-4 Minnesota Pac12 3 Colorado Welp. This is actually happening, huh?
Russell Athletic 28-Dec ACC 2 Florida State Big XII 3 West Virginia This still feels pretty accurate.
Pinstripe 28-Dec ACC 3-6 Pittsburgh B1G 5-7 Maryland Your guess in 5-7 is good as mine, but that local angle might appeal to folks in New York.
Texas 28-Dec Big XII 4 TCU SEC 3-8 Georgia Our big movers and shakers this week, the Frogs get a close-to-home game.
Foster Farms 28-Dec B1G 5-7 Northwestern Pac12 4 USC A shake-up near the top sends the 'Cats yo-yoing back West.
Alamo 29-Dec Big XII 2 Oklahoma State Pac12 2 Washington State O/U set at 100.
Belk 29-Dec ACC 3-6 Wake Forest SEC 3-8 South Carolina This game still makes me vomit.
Birmingham 29-Dec AAC Arkansas State* SEC 9 Ole Miss Chad Kelly's now out for the year, meaning even this would be a gift for the Rebs.
Sun 30-Dec ACC 3-6 Georgia Tech Pac12 5 Stanford I don't want to be the team across from Stanford in a bowl. The Trees are grinding games out again.
Music City 30-Dec B1G 5-7 Iowa SEC 3-8 Arkansas I'm starting to get really tempted to send Northwestern here and Iowa out west, but not quite yet.
Arizona 30-Dec MWC Colorado State Sun Belt 5 Idaho You don't actually care what I think about Sun Belt bowl pecking orders.
Liberty 30-Dec Big XII 5 Baylor SEC 3-8 Kentucky Baylor's stock is close to a 'junk bond' grade, but they hang onto the 5-slot from the Big XII.
Citrus 31-Dec ACC/B1G 2-4 Virginia Tech SEC 2 Texas A&M A&M holds high when the Citrus doesn't take the Gators a second time.
TaxSlayer 31-Dec ACC 3-6 North Carolina SEC 3-8 Tennessee Should be some fireworks in this one.
Outback 2-Jan B1G 2-4 Nebraska SEC 3-8 Florida The Huskers swing back to the other coast by virtue of…is Penn State actually good?
New Year's Six Bowls
Bowl Date Tie 1 Tie 2 Comments
Cotton 2-Jan At-Large Penn State At-Large Western Michigan I can't believe I'm actually doing this. Penn State runs the table and hovers around #10 in the polls, earning them this spot. The universe breaks from all the HYPE surrounding this game.
Rose 2-Jan B1G 1 Ohio State Pac12 1 Utah Lot of teams in contention for this space, but OSU to the Rose is tough to beat.
Sugar 2-Jan Big XII 1 Oklahoma SEC 1 Auburn A&M's loss means I'm dumping the Aggies for War Damn Eagle.
Orange 30-Dec ACC 1 Louisville B1G/SEC/ND Wisconsin A loss in the B1GCCG does little to knock the badgers out of an NY6 bowl.
College Football Playoff
Bowl Date Tie 1 Tie 2 Comments
Fiesta 31-Dec CFP2 Clemson CFP3 Michigan Self-explanatory, no? The best four teams in the nation are the best four in the nation 'til we're proven otherwise.
Peach 31-Dec CFP1 Alabama CFP4 Washington The Huskies outlast Utah a second time to win the Pac-12, but 'Bama-UW still won't even be a contest.