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Face Off Tackle Empire // Weekend Roundup 3/7/16

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The second to last week of Big Ten play was not kind to the teams at the top. Minnesota and Penn State earned splits, but saw their NCAA At-Large hopes dashed. Michigan was swept, but is likely still a lock for the tournament.

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Weekend Review

Work was absolutely brutal this past weekend/this week so I'm just linking to USCHO box scores and recaps.  Minnesota will finish 1st or second. Michigan and Pen State will finish either second or third, OSU and MSU will finish in either 4th or 5th, Wisconsin will finish last for the second straight year.

(17) Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Michigan State Spartans

MN 4 2 MSU
MN 0 5 MSU


Friday (USCHO)
Saturday (USCHO)

Ohio State Buckeyes vs (6) Michigan Wolverines

OSU 7 4 MI
MI 5 6 OSU


Friday (USCHO)
Sunday (USCHO)

(14) Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers

PSU 2 1 WI
PSU 3 4 WI


Friday (USCHO)
Saturday (USCHO)

(15) Nebraska Omaha Mavericks @ (7) Denver Pioneer

UNO 0 3 DU
UNO 1 2 DU


Friday (USCHO)
Saturday (USCHO)

Conference Standings

An overtime loss counts as a loss and no points are earned. If both teams are tied after the five minute OT period, the game goes down as a tie and both teams earn a point. A shootout follows a tie with the winner earning a second point. A shootout "win" counts as a tie, not a win in the standings and for NCAA Tournament seeding purposes. Total wins are used as the primary tie-breaker.  If teams have the same number of wins, head to head record is used.

KRACH Ratings, KRACH Rank, Pairwise Rank

Update on 2/29/2016 @ 9 PM EST

There are 60 teams in college hockey. The PairWise is an approximation of the selection process for the NCAA tournament. The top 16 teams are selected for the tourney. Conference tournament champions get auto-bids so teams rated near 16 can be displaced if a lower ranked team wins it's conference tournament.

Points, Elimination numbers, KRACH Projections, and Last Years Points

Change in expected conference points:

MN -1.71
MI -5.09
PSU -1.29
OSU +4.99
MSU +1.35
WI +1.73

Conference Table

Points earned by team on the left are shown in the boxes.  Now that we are almost halfway through the conference season, I will use the standings to determine the layout of the table instead of alphabetical order.

Green boxes mean that the team in the row is ahead of the team in the column. Red means the team in the column is ahead. Blue means the teams have split points. Once a season series is completed, the color will be darker, the points will be bold, and the box will have a thicker border. Column on the right shows the points gained by a team. Row on the bottom shows the points lost by a team.

KRACH Projection Review

Let's see how the projections went this week:

Team KRACH
Projection
My
Prediction
Actual
Result
Update
KRACH
MN 4.53 6 3 4.36
MSU 1.47 0 3 1.64
OSU 1.17 3 6 1.66
MI 4.83 3 0 4.34
PSU 4.55 6 3 4.34
WI 1.45 0 3 1.66
UNO 2.31 0 0 2.00
DU 3.69 6 6 4.00

And how teams are doing compared to the KRACH expectations: