Big Ten Bowl Projections, Week 12: Can Minnesota hold onto the Rose Bowl?

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Not much witty to say this week (or most weeks, for that matter), I'm super behind because students are meeting with me about their final projects. Look for some awesome shit transcribed on the National Archives or added to the Living New Deal sometime very soon.

College Football Playoff

Fiesta Bowl (Glendale, AZ)

December 28 | 3pm CT | ESPN

[2] Ohio State Buckeyes vs. [3] Clemson Tigers

Peach Bowl (Atlanta, GA)

December 28 | 7pm CT | ESPN

[1] LSU Tigers vs. [4] Oregon Ducks

New Year's Six

Cotton Bowl (Arlington, TX)

December 28 | 11am CT | ESPN

Florida Gators [at-large] vs. Cincinnati Bearcats [G5]

Orange Bowl (Miami, FL)

December 30 | 7pm | ESPN

Virginia Tech Hokies [ACC] vs. Georgia Bulldogs [B1G/SEC/ND]

Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA)

January 1 | 4pm | FOX

Minnesota Golden Gophers [B1G] vs. Utah Utes [Pac-12]

Sugar Bowl (New Orleans, LA)

January 1 | 7:45pm | ESPN

Oklahoma Sooners [Big XII] vs. Alabama Crimson Tide [SEC]

Big Ten Bowl Games

Quick Lane Bowl (Detroit, MI)

December 26 | 7pm | ESPN

Michigan State Spartans vs. Louisville Cardinals

Pinstripe Bowl (New York, NY)

December 27 | 2:20pm | ESPN

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Holiday Bowl (San Diego, CA)

December 27 | 7pm | FS1

Michigan Wolverines vs. USC Trojans

Redbox Bowl (Santa Clara, CA)

December 30 | 3pm | FOX

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. California Golden Bears

Citrus Bowl (Orlando, FL)

January 1 | 12pm | ABC

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Auburn Tigers

Outback Bowl (Tampa, FL)

January 1 | 12pm | ESPN

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Gator Bowl (Jacksonville, FL)

January 2 | 6pm | ESPN

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Armed Forces Bowl (Fort Worth, TX)

January 4 | 10:30am | ESPN

SMU Mustangs* vs. Air Force Falcons

Full Bowl Projections

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Bowl Location Date Time TV Conf1 Team1 Conf2 Team2
Fiesta Glendale 12/28 3:00 PM ESPN CFP2 Ohio State CFP3 Clemson
Peach Atlanta 12/28 7:00 PM ESPN CFP1 LSU CFP4 Oregon
Cotton Arlington 12/28 11:00 AM ESPN At-Large Florida G5 Cincinnati
Orange Miami 12/30 7:00 PM ESPN ACC Virginia Tech B1G/SEC Georgia
Rose Pasadena 1/1 4:00 PM FOX B1G Minnesota Pac12 Utah
Sugar New Orleans 1/1 7:45 PM ESPN Big XII Oklahoma SEC Alabama
Bahamas Nassau 12/20 1:00 PM ESPN C-USA Florida Atlantic MAC Western Michigan
Frisco Frisco 12/20 6:30 PM ESPN2 AAC Tulane SunBelt Fresno State*
New Mexico Albuquerque 12/21 1:00 PM ESPN C-USA Western Kentucky MWC Utah State
Cure Orlando 12/21 1:30 PM CBSSN AAC Charlotte* SunBelt Liberty*
Boca Raton Boca Raton 12/21 2:30 PM ABC MAC Toledo AAC Temple
Camellia Montgomery 12/21 4:30 PM ESPN MAC Buffalo SunBelt Georgia Southern
Las Vegas Las Vegas 12/21 6:30 PM ABC Pac12 6 Washington State MWC 1 Boise State
New Orleans New Orleans 12/21 8:00 PM ESPN C-USA Louisiana Tech SunBelt 1 Louisiana
Gasparilla Tampa 12/23 1:30 PM ESPN C-USA Florida Int'l AAC Central Florida
Hawaii Honolulu 12/24 7:00 PM ESPN MWC/BYU Hawaii AAC BYU*
Independence Shreveport 12/26 3:00 PM ESPN SEC II Southern Miss* ACC II Ohio*
Quick Lane Detroit 12/26 7:00 PM ESPN B1G Michigan State ACC II Louisville
Military Annapolis 12/27 11:00 AM ESPN AAC Navy ACC II N.C. State
Pinstripe New York 12/27 2:20 PM ESPN B1G Illinois ACC I Pittsburgh
Texas Houston 12/27 5:45 PM ESPN Big XII 4 Texas SEC I Texas A&M
Holiday San Diego 12/27 7:00 PM FS1 B1G 4 Michigan Pac12 3 USC
Cheez-It Phoenix 12/27 9:15 PM ESPN Big XII 6 Kansas State Pac12 7 San Diego State*
Camping World Orlando 12/28 11:00 AM ABC Big XII 3 Oklahoma State ACC I Notre Dame
First Responder Dallas 12/30 11:30 AM ESPN Big XII 7 TCU C-USA Marshall
Music City Nashville 12/30 3:00 PM ESPN SEC I Mississippi State ACC I Virginia
Redbox Santa Clara 12/30 3:00 PM FOX B1G Iowa Pac12 4 California
Belkbelkbelk Charlotte 12/31 11:00 AM ESPN SEC I Appalachian State* ACC I Wake Forest
Sun El Paso 12/31 1:00 PM CBS Pac12 5 Arizona State ACC I Miami Fluoride
Liberty Memphis 12/31 2:45 PM ESPN Big XII 5 Iowa State SEC I Memphis*
Arizona Tucson 12/31 3:30 PM CBSSN MWC Nevada SunBelt Arkansas State
Alamo San Antonio 12/31 6:30 PM ESPN Big XII 2 Baylor Pac12 2 Washington
Citrus Orlando 1/1 12:00 PM ABC B1G 2 Penn State SEC 2 Auburn
Outback Tampa 1/1 12:00 PM ESPN B1G 3 wisconsin SEC I Tennessee
Birmingham Birmingham 1/2 2:00 PM ESPN SEC II UAB* AAC Florida State*
Gator Jacksonville 1/2 6:00 PM ESPN SEC I Kentucky B1G 5 Indiana
Idaho Potato Boise 1/3 2:30 PM ESPN MAC Miami Hydroxide MWC Wyoming
Armed Forces Fort Worth 1/4 10:30 AM ESPN MWC Air Force B1G SMU*
Mobile Mobile 1/6 6:30 PM ESPN MAC Central Michigan SunBelt Georgia State

B1G Observations

  • Obligatory Ohio State mention.
  • At this point, it comes down to the question of who do you take if you're the Rose Bowl: 11-2 Minnesota with a head-to-head win, or 10-2 Penn State? We'll learn what direction it's going to go with the release of the CFP rankings tonight, but I'd take 11-2 Minnesota.
  • In all honesty, Penn State vs. Auburn would be a banger of a Citrus Bowl, anyways.
  • The down-ballot bowls are harder, and in part because I don't know what to make of Michigan. Are they an actually-good team that stomped Notre Dame and Michigan State, or are they just some middle club that deserves a crack at a decent Pac-12 team in San Diego? Could "both" be the answer?
  • That Indiana dropped after their loss to Penn State is bad enough (I'm keeping them in the Gator Bowl but would love Music City to make a fuss and get another Big Ten game), but Shea Patterson clearly gives no fucks about the Hoosiers:
  • Oh, right. wisconsin to the Outback Bowl unless they beat Minnesota, and then it goes Penn State to Rose, wisconsin to Citrus, Minnesota to Outback.
  • Michigan State is going bowling, and if you are one of those MSU fans that wants to use this as a platform to trash Dantonio that's fine, but don't decouple from the reality that Sparty will be 6-6 and bowling in Detroit.
  • New York City is only a 9.5-hour drive for you to watch Illinois in a bowl, Thump...

Other Observations

  • Oregon State. Washington State. THIS ONE'S FOR A BOWL BID. (No, seriously, both are 5-5 and will go on the road to play their ranked in-state rivals in the finale. So...probably the play-in game.)
  • Similarly, the North Carolina-N.C. State finale will likely be two 5-6 teams fighting for bowl eligibility. This is what you came back for, Mack.
  • Elsewhere in the Pac-12, uh...well, Cal (@Stanford, @UCLA) have the best chance of all the 5-5 teams (Oregon State, Arizona State, Wazzu) to get to 7-5. So they get the conference's #4 seed and a date with Iowa in Santa Clara. Do not watch this game.
  • Don't look now, but Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech will probably decide the Coastal. I know: Fucking Pitt.
  • Would a repeat of the 2017 Liberty Bowl thriller with Memphis be appealing for the Iowa State Cyclones? I could not care any less. They're going. Though how funny would it be if the Cyclones got picked OVER TEXAS for the Texas Bowl?
  • DWT;WT WATCH: My San Jose State Spartans, at 4-6, are clearly outside-looking-in right now. But hold on! So might be...the Fresno State Bulldogs? Yes, the memo line win for your Minnesota Golden Gophers (maybe...I haven't checked on South Dakota State lately) now sits at 4-6 with games with bowl-bound Nevada and at the Spartans, who head to UNLV this week. Could 5-6 Fresno face 5-6 San Jose State? Could it be a double-knockout, where 4-7 Fresno beats 5-6 San Jose State? STAY TUNED.
  • By the way, MACtion has been glorious, glorious chaos and has created an absolute mess for bowl seedings and MAC Championship Game pairings, as Hustle Belt so nicely detailed. I have seven MAC teams (of the 10 eligible) bowling: Western Michigan, Central Michigan, and Miami Hydroxide in the bid for the top spots, Toledo also bowl-eligible, 5-5 Buffalo and Eastern Michigan sneaking in on Black Friday with wins over Bowling Green and Kent State, respectively (my apologies to Hustle Belt for the Anti-Kent State Agenda), and 4-6 Ohio going runner-runner on the road at Bowling Green and moribund Akron to sneak in at 6-6. One of 4-6 Ball State and Kent State will be eliminated this weekend (and I think both lose their finales to M-OH and EMU), while Northern Illinois will have to walk a narrow road at home against Eastern and Western. MACTION LIVES!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.

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