FanPost

Hoegher's Rankings and Picks: 2021 Week 01

Back after the long layoff, lets see if I can get this in before the Nebraska/Illinois game kicks off.

Download the full spreadsheet from the Dropbox link here if you want to play around a bit: [LINK (~180 MB)]. Comment below if you have questions. Be fair-warned that I reserve the right to completely change up my ratings at any time. Scores/schedules are taken from Sports-Reference CFB.

2020 FINAL RANKINGS

I put a pause on doing these posts in 2020, partly because of the whole global plague, partly because my MATLAB script stopped working. Finally resolved the technical issues, so here's how they spit out the final 2020 rankings. I have no idea how my various formulas are going to react to the whole weirdness that was 2020 scheduling.

Ratings can mostly be interpreted as points above/below average. "Res Rat" is a resume rating based only on win/losses, just converted to a points scale.

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk PreRk Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Prj SOS rk
Alabama SEC 13-0 13-0 +32.7 1 1 +21.3 1 -11.4 5 +23.7 1 3.95 26
BYU Ind 11-1 11-1 +26.6 2 64 +14.9 4 -12.2 2 +14.7 8 -0.65 93
Clemson ACC 10-2 10-2 +25.5 3 2 +15.7 3 -10.4 10 +13.8 11 3.42 33
OhioState B10 7-1 7-1 +22.6 4 3 +17.8 2 -4.5 40 +19.1 2 7.49 4
Oklahoma B12 9-2 9-2 +19.9 5 7 +10.6 10 -9.3 15 +12.7 13 1.46 59
Cincinnati Amer 9-1 9-1 +18.9 6 39 +6.3 21 -12.0 3 +14.4 9 -1.14 98
CoastalCarolina Sun 11-1 11-1 +17.4 7 114 +7.6 15 -9.0 17 +15.8 6 -0.43 90
Buffalo MAC 6-1 6-1 +17.2 8 80 +12.6 7 -4.6 39 +12.2 15 -4.22 114
IowaState B12 9-3 9-3 +17.0 9 31 +6.5 19 -10.0 11 +13.0 12 5.98 9
NotreDame ACC 10-2 10-2 +16.7 10 9 +3.2 36 -13.0 1 +11.8 16 2.66 42
Texas B12 7-3 7-3 +16.0 11 11 +14.0 5 -2.3 50 +10.2 19 3.56 32
Georgia SEC 8-2 8-2 +15.5 12 5 +5.0 30 -9.7 14 +14.3 10 2.39 47
BallState MAC 7-1 7-1 +15.2 13 104 +6.4 20 -7.4 25 +17.9 3 5.15 13
LouisianaLafayette Sun 10-1 10-1 +14.2 14 57 +5.6 26 -7.2 26 +17.4 4 0.71 65
Iowa B10 6-2 6-2 +14.1 15 20 +5.1 29 -9.2 16 +7.5 29 -1.29 100
SanJoseState MWC 7-1 7-1 +12.6 16 116 +2.7 38 -8.5 19 +16.3 5 3.13 37
ArizonaState P12 2-2 2-2 +12.6 17 50 +6.7 18 -6.9 28 +1.7 54 1.71 54
USC P12 5-1 5-1 +12.3 18 17 +6.0 23 -5.5 33 +12.4 14 4.25 23
TexasAM SEC 9-1 9-1 +12.1 19 14 +2.5 42 -8.2 21 +15.4 7 -0.38 89
OklahomaState B12 8-3 8-3 +12.1 20 19 +3.7 32 -7.6 23 +11.3 17 4.77 16
BoiseState MWC 5-2 5-2 +11.4 21 29 +10.3 11 -0.8 62 +10.0 20 4.17 24
Miami ACC 8-3 8-3 +11.3 22 34 +6.2 22 -4.7 37 +10.0 21 3.64 29
Northwestern B10 7-2 7-2 +10.9 23 41 -2.1 79 -12.0 4 +11.2 18 1.93 50
AppalachianState Sun 9-3 9-3 +10.4 24 36 +1.8 48 -8.4 20 +7.1 31 -3.67 112
Indiana B10 6-2 6-2 +10.4 25 32 -1.0 74 -10.6 9 +10.0 22 1.11 62
Marshall CUSA 7-3 7-3 +10.1 26 87 -0.8 72 -11.0 6 +4.4 42 -5.02 116
Florida SEC 8-4 8-4 +10.0 27 13 +11.0 9 +1.1 75 +8.2 24 1.29 60
Wisconsin B10 4-3 4-3 +9.9 28 8 -0.8 71 -10.9 7 +3.8 47 2.73 41
CentralFlorida Amer 6-4 6-4 +9.6 29 18 +14.0 6 +3.7 88 +3.8 48 0.44 68
NorthCarolina ACC 8-4 8-4 +9.6 30 27 +11.4 8 +1.4 77 +5.0 39 -1.59 103
Oregon P12 4-3 4-3 +8.8 31 16 +5.1 28 -3.6 44 +6.5 35 6.00 8
TCU B12 6-4 6-4 +8.2 32 40 +2.6 40 -5.6 32 +5.1 37 2.93 39
UAB CUSA 6-3 6-3 +8.0 33 74 +2.2 44 -5.3 35 +7.8 25 -0.17 79
Utah P12 3-2 3-2 +7.9 34 28 +2.2 45 -5.4 34 +6.7 34 4.46 17
Washington P12 3-1 3-1 +7.8 35 15 +1.1 58 -6.2 30 +7.6 28 0.02 75
SanDiegoState MWC 4-4 4-4 +7.7 36 67 -2.9 87 -10.8 8 +2.2 51 1.46 58
Tulsa Amer 6-3 6-3 +7.4 37 93 -3.1 90 -9.9 12 +7.4 30 1.04 63
AirForce MWC 3-3 3-3 +7.1 38 73 -2.3 82 -9.7 13 +1.3 57 -0.75 95
Toledo MAC 4-2 4-2 +7.1 39 96 +2.6 39 -4.5 41 +4.2 44 -1.91 106
UCLA P12 3-4 3-4 +7.0 40 65 +6.9 17 -0.9 61 +0.1 61 4.32 21
Nevada MWC 7-2 7-2 +6.1 41 101 +2.5 41 -2.9 47 +7.7 26 -1.33 102
WesternMichigan MAC 4-2 4-2 +5.6 42 89 +10.2 12 +4.7 94 +4.6 40 -0.85 97
Liberty Ind 10-1 10-1 +5.3 43 117 +3.3 34 -1.5 57 +7.0 32 -11.87 128
WestVirginia B12 6-4 6-4 +5.0 44 53 -3.6 93 -8.5 18 +3.2 49 0.15 72
Tulane Amer 6-6 6-6 +4.9 45 70 +5.4 27 -0.2 66 -0.7 68 -2.47 108
Stanford P12 4-2 4-2 +4.6 46 35 +1.2 56 -2.4 49 +9.2 23 4.39 19
Army Ind 9-3 9-3 +3.5 47 95 -4.5 100 -7.6 24 +4.5 41 -6.61 123
Auburn SEC 6-5 6-5 +3.5 48 10 -2.1 80 -5.0 36 +5.5 36 3.14 35
WakeForest ACC 4-5 4-5 +3.5 49 66 +7.3 16 +2.7 84 -3.6 82 1.81 53
VirginiaTech ACC 5-6 5-6 +3.2 50 25 +3.1 37 -0.5 64 -0.2 63 4.34 20
CentralMichigan MAC 3-3 3-3 +3.1 51 107 +1.3 53 -1.9 54 +0.9 58 3.56 30
MiamiOH MAC 2-1 2-1 +3.1 52 85 +0.1 64 -2.2 51 +6.7 33 3.16 34
Pittsburgh ACC 6-5 6-5 +2.8 53 52 -1.5 75 -4.5 43 +0.2 60 -0.26 83
Wyoming MWC 2-4 2-4 +2.7 54 81 -3.8 95 -7.7 22 -6.0 94 -1.69 104
Colorado P12 4-2 4-2 +2.3 55 69 +1.8 49 +0.5 70 +7.6 27 5.29 12
Virginia ACC 5-5 5-5 +2.2 56 44 +0.4 62 -2.2 52 -1.0 70 1.50 57
GeorgiaSouthern Sun 8-5 8-5 +2.2 57 92 -2.7 84 -4.6 38 +2.9 50 -4.13 113
GeorgiaState Sun 6-4 6-4 +2.0 58 106 +5.7 25 +4.1 91 +4.3 43 -0.70 94
SMU Amer 7-3 7-3 +1.5 59 56 +5.8 24 +4.7 93 +3.9 46 -6.39 122
PennState B10 4-5 4-5 +1.5 60 4 +1.3 54 -0.6 63 -1.9 75 0.69 66
Houston Amer 3-5 3-5 +1.4 61 48 +2.4 43 +0.4 69 -2.4 79 3.93 27
Troy Sun 5-6 5-6 +1.3 62 98 -1.7 77 -3.5 46 -1.9 74 -1.33 101
California P12 1-3 1-3 +1.2 63 42 -4.4 99 -6.1 31 -1.9 76 4.89 14
Ohio MAC 2-1 2-1 +1.1 64 71 +0.2 63 -1.2 58 -1.0 69 -15.85 130
Louisville ACC 4-7 4-7 +0.9 65 49 +0.9 59 -1.2 59 -7.2 104 -0.22 82
WashingtonState P12 1-3 1-3 +0.8 66 38 +3.2 35 +2.3 80 -0.5 66 7.02 5
BostonCollege ACC 6-5 6-5 +0.7 67 63 -1.7 78 -2.6 48 -0.3 65 1.26 61
NorthCarolinaState ACC 8-4 8-4 +0.4 68 60 -0.0 65 +0.2 67 +4.1 45 -1.25 99
Mississippi SEC 5-5 5-5 +0.3 69 47 +10.2 13 +10.0 121 +0.7 59 0.07 74
Hawaii MWC 5-4 5-4 +0.1 70 103 -0.5 69 -0.3 65 +1.9 52 1.84 52
KentState MAC 3-1 3-1 -0.2 71 110 +8.2 14 +8.7 115 +1.4 56 -8.50 125
EasternMichigan MAC 2-4 2-4 -0.6 72 109 +2.1 47 +2.1 79 -3.7 85 3.95 25
OregonState P12 2-5 2-5 -0.9 73 91 +3.3 33 +3.3 86 -5.4 91 6.25 7
Memphis Amer 8-3 8-3 -1.2 74 26 -1.6 76 +0.6 71 +5.0 38 -4.88 115
Rice CUSA 2-3 2-3 -1.7 75 118 -7.8 115 -7.1 27 -7.1 102 -5.61 117
Baylor B12 2-7 2-7 -1.8 76 45 -4.4 98 -3.6 45 -7.0 100 5.29 11
LSU SEC 5-5 5-5 -2.2 77 6 +2.2 46 +4.9 96 +1.8 53 0.23 70
KansasState B12 4-6 4-6 -2.2 78 54 -1.0 73 +1.2 76 -1.7 73 4.28 22
UTSA CUSA 7-5 7-5 -2.3 79 121 -3.8 94 -1.0 60 +1.6 55 -5.63 118
FresnoState MWC 3-3 3-3 -2.8 80 68 +1.5 51 +4.0 90 -3.6 83 -6.06 120
Purdue B10 2-4 2-4 -3.1 81 46 +1.5 52 +3.8 89 -6.5 98 -0.10 78
Minnesota B10 3-4 3-4 -3.2 82 23 -0.7 70 +2.1 78 -4.7 87 -0.31 87
Nebraska B10 3-5 3-5 -3.2 83 37 -2.7 83 +0.4 68 -3.3 81 2.97 38
Maryland B10 2-3 2-3 -3.5 84 75 -0.1 67 +3.5 87 -1.7 72 2.52 45
Kentucky SEC 5-6 5-6 -3.8 85 30 -8.5 118 -4.5 42 -0.3 64 0.30 69
Michigan B10 2-4 2-4 -4.3 86 12 +1.6 50 +5.6 99 -4.7 88 0.14 73
Arkansas SEC 3-7 3-7 -4.6 87 86 -2.2 81 +2.6 81 -2.0 77 5.31 10
MississippiState SEC 4-7 4-7 -4.8 88 22 -6.4 111 -1.5 56 -1.5 71 2.55 44
FloridaAtlantic CUSA 5-4 5-4 -5.0 89 61 -11.4 125 -6.5 29 -2.2 78 -7.16 124
TexasTech B12 4-6 4-6 -5.1 90 55 +1.2 57 +6.3 103 -3.2 80 2.10 48
ColoradoState MWC 1-3 1-3 -5.2 91 97 -0.1 66 +4.8 95 -5.7 93 4.77 15
ArkansasState Sun 4-7 4-7 -5.3 92 84 +4.0 31 +9.3 120 -4.4 86 -0.75 96
EastCarolina Amer 3-6 3-6 -5.4 93 112 +0.5 61 +5.6 97 -6.1 97 -0.30 86
Missouri SEC 5-5 5-5 -6.4 94 43 -2.8 86 +4.3 92 -0.1 62 -0.52 92
NewMexico MWC 2-5 2-5 -6.5 95 123 -0.3 68 +5.9 102 -6.1 96 1.58 55
Rutgers B10 3-6 3-6 -6.9 96 105 -3.2 91 +3.3 85 -7.1 103 -0.29 85
NorthernIllinois MAC 0-6 0-6 -7.0 97 99 -3.1 88 +2.7 83 -11.5 117 7.93 2
Tennessee SEC 3-7 3-7 -7.6 98 21 -6.5 113 +1.0 74 -4.7 89 1.85 51
SouthAlabama Sun 4-7 4-7 -7.8 99 122 -9.8 120 -2.2 53 -5.0 90 -0.28 84
TexasState Sun 2-10 2-10 -8.0 100 124 +0.7 60 +8.0 112 -9.5 111 2.77 40
OldDominion CUSA 0-0 0-0 -8.2 101 120 -5.2 107 +2.7 82 -7.0 101 0.00 76
WesternKentucky CUSA 5-7 5-7 -8.2 102 77 -9.7 119 -1.7 55 -5.4 92 -2.01 107
LouisianaTech CUSA 5-5 5-5 -8.3 103 100 -2.7 85 +6.4 106 -0.5 67 -2.88 110
FloridaState ACC 3-6 3-6 -10.1 104 24 -3.1 89 +7.0 109 -7.2 105 0.82 64
Navy Amer 3-7 3-7 -10.8 105 58 -9.9 121 +0.8 72 -6.0 95 2.61 43
MichiganState B10 2-5 2-5 -10.8 106 51 -5.6 109 +5.7 101 -3.7 84 6.90 6
Arizona P12 0-5 0-5 -11.6 107 82 -5.5 108 +5.7 100 -9.9 114 8.40 1
GeorgiaTech ACC 3-7 3-7 -11.8 108 62 -4.8 102 +6.8 108 -8.8 107 1.94 49
Charlotte CUSA 2-4 2-4 -11.9 109 113 -3.2 92 +8.6 114 -9.4 110 -9.07 126
Illinois B10 2-6 2-6 -12.2 110 78 -3.9 96 +8.2 113 -9.2 108 2.50 46
Syracuse ACC 1-10 1-10 -12.7 111 72 -10.5 123 +0.9 73 -14.5 126 3.56 31
Connecticut Amer 0-0 0-0 -13.0 112 125 -6.5 112 +6.8 107 -7.3 106 0.00 76
FIU CUSA 0-5 0-5 -14.0 113 108 -4.9 104 +7.8 111 -16.8 130 -6.17 121
SouthCarolina SEC 2-8 2-8 -14.0 114 33 -6.2 110 +7.7 110 -9.9 113 -0.50 91
SouthernMississippi CUSA 3-7 3-7 -14.2 115 88 -4.7 101 +9.1 118 -12.2 119 -6.00 119
Duke ACC 2-9 2-9 -14.4 116 59 -4.9 105 +9.0 117 -12.9 120 -0.22 81
MiddleTennessee CUSA 3-6 3-6 -14.5 117 94 -4.2 97 +10.5 123 -9.3 109 -3.05 111
UtahState MWC 1-5 1-5 -14.8 118 79 -8.3 116 +6.4 104 -9.8 112 3.83 28
UNLV MWC 0-6 0-6 -16.0 119 119 -5.2 106 +10.3 122 -14.5 125 4.42 18
SouthFlorida Amer 1-8 1-8 -16.7 120 90 -4.8 103 +11.6 125 -13.4 122 1.51 56
NorthTexas CUSA 3-7 3-7 -17.4 121 102 +1.2 55 +18.8 131 -13.1 121 -9.13 127
NewMexicoState Ind 1-1 1-1 -17.8 122 126 -7.2 114 +10.9 124 -10.5 115 -19.34 131
Temple Amer 1-6 1-6 -19.6 123 76 -12.6 127 +6.4 105 -14.7 128 -2.58 109
UTEP CUSA 4-4 4-4 -19.7 124 130 -14.6 129 +5.6 98 -6.8 99 -13.64 129
FCS Z_FCS 2-34 2-34 -22.2 125 131 -10.3 122 +12.1 126 -13.8 123 0.23 71
Akron MAC 1-5 1-5 -22.9 126 127 -14.3 128 +9.0 116 -10.9 116 -0.17 80
Kansas B12 0-9 0-9 -23.2 127 111 -8.4 117 +15.1 130 -14.0 124 7.82 3
Massachusetts Ind 0-4 0-4 -24.8 128 129 -11.9 126 +13.6 128 -11.9 118 3.13 36
LouisianaMonroe Sun 0-10 0-10 -25.6 129 115 -11.3 124 +14.3 129 -16.8 129 -0.32 88
Vanderbilt SEC 0-9 0-9 -26.4 130 83 -16.5 131 +9.1 119 -18.9 131 -1.83 105
BowlingGreen MAC 0-5 0-5 -27.8 131 128 -15.9 130 +12.1 127 -14.6 127 0.45 67

And the Big Ten in particular...

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk PreRk Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Prj SOS rk
OhioState B10 7-1 7-1 +22.6 4 3 +17.8 2 -4.5 40 +19.1 2 7.49 4
Iowa B10 6-2 6-2 +14.1 15 20 +5.1 29 -9.2 16 +7.5 29 -1.29 100
Northwestern B10 7-2 7-2 +10.9 23 41 -2.1 79 -12.0 4 +11.2 18 1.93 50
Indiana B10 6-2 6-2 +10.4 25 32 -1.0 74 -10.6 9 +10.0 22 1.11 62
Wisconsin B10 4-3 4-3 +9.9 28 8 -0.8 71 -10.9 7 +3.8 47 2.73 41
PennState B10 4-5 4-5 +1.5 60 4 +1.3 54 -0.6 63 -1.9 75 0.69 66
Purdue B10 2-4 2-4 -3.1 81 46 +1.5 52 +3.8 89 -6.5 98 -0.10 78
Minnesota B10 3-4 3-4 -3.2 82 23 -0.7 70 +2.1 78 -4.7 87 -0.31 87
Nebraska B10 3-5 3-5 -3.2 83 37 -2.7 83 +0.4 68 -3.3 81 2.97 38
Maryland B10 2-3 2-3 -3.5 84 75 -0.1 67 +3.5 87 -1.7 72 2.52 45
Michigan B10 2-4 2-4 -4.3 86 12 +1.6 50 +5.6 99 -4.7 88 0.14 73
Rutgers B10 3-6 3-6 -6.9 96 105 -3.2 91 +3.3 85 -7.1 103 -0.29 85
MichiganState B10 2-5 2-5 -10.8 106 51 -5.6 109 +5.7 101 -3.7 84 6.90 6
Illinois B10 2-6 2-6 -12.2 110 78 -3.9 96 +8.2 113 -9.2 108 2.50 46

THE RANKINGS

Ratings can mostly be interpreted as points above/below average. "Res Rat" is a resume rating based only on win/losses, just converted to a points scale.

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Prj SOS rk
Alabama SEC 0-0 11-1 +27.5 1 1 +14.2 2 -13.2 2 +17.9 1 4.54 52
Clemson ACC 0-0 11-1 +25.8 2 3 +11.9 4 -13.9 1 +15.7 3 2.30 79
OhioState B10 0-0 10-2 +23.2 3 4 +14.9 1 -8.2 15 +16.4 2 6.81 27
Oklahoma B12 0-0 10-2 +21.4 4 5 +12.5 3 -8.8 9 +14.3 5 4.58 51
Georgia SEC 0-0 10-2 +20.8 5 12 +9.3 8 -11.1 3 +15.1 4 3.48 65
LSU SEC 0-0 8-4 +16.9 6 77 +9.9 7 -6.7 25 +12.7 7 6.61 28
Wisconsin B10 0-0 9-3 +16.7 7 28 +6.1 23 -10.7 5 +9.4 20 7.49 19
Texas B12 0-0 8-4 +16.6 8 11 +10.2 6 -6.4 28 +10.9 13 7.99 12
IowaState B12 0-0 8-4 +16.2 9 9 +7.4 16 -8.6 11 +11.1 11 7.24 21
Miami ACC 0-0 9-3 +15.9 10 22 +7.3 17 -8.4 13 +11.1 10 4.75 50
Washington P12 0-0 9-3 +15.6 11 35 +6.2 22 -9.2 7 +10.8 15 5.29 44
Oregon P12 0-0 8-4 +15.5 12 31 +8.2 12 -7.2 23 +10.9 14 6.29 36
TexasAM SEC 0-0 8-4 +15.4 13 19 +4.7 39 -10.0 6 +13.2 6 4.84 49
NotreDame ACC 0-0 8-4 +15.1 14 10 +3.8 49 -10.8 4 +11.0 12 8.06 11
PennState B10 0-0 8-4 +14.9 15 60 +8.2 11 -6.9 24 +8.6 21 8.23 9
ArizonaState P12 0-0 8-4 +14.7 16 17 +6.5 21 -8.4 12 +7.8 25 4.26 57
Auburn SEC 0-0 8-4 +14.6 17 48 +5.5 29 -8.8 10 +9.9 18 7.07 22
Iowa B10 0-0 8-4 +14.4 18 15 +5.2 31 -9.2 8 +8.5 22 7.77 14
Utah P12 0-0 8-4 +14.3 19 34 +5.8 26 -8.4 14 +10.0 17 6.43 32
USC P12 0-0 8-4 +14.2 20 18 +7.5 15 -6.4 29 +11.3 8 8.50 5
BoiseState MWC 0-0 8-4 +12.7 21 21 +8.3 10 -4.2 51 +10.3 16 3.84 60
NorthCarolina ACC 0-0 8-4 +12.7 22 30 +8.5 9 -4.5 46 +6.8 34 5.02 48
TCU B12 0-0 7-5 +12.5 23 32 +5.2 30 -7.3 22 +7.6 29 5.83 39
CentralFlorida Amer 0-0 9-3 +12.5 24 29 +10.6 5 -2.1 75 +7.7 26 -0.12 99
Cincinnati Amer 0-0 8-4 +12.3 25 6 +3.9 46 -8.0 16 +9.6 19 1.31 89
Florida SEC 0-0 8-4 +11.6 26 27 +6.8 19 -4.7 41 +8.3 23 5.59 41
LouisianaLafayette Sun 0-0 9-3 +11.5 27 14 +5.7 28 -5.2 37 +11.1 9 1.16 90
Indiana B10 0-0 7-5 +11.3 28 25 +3.3 55 -7.7 18 +8.1 24 7.31 20
Michigan B10 0-0 7-5 +11.2 29 86 +6.6 20 -4.6 42 +7.0 33 9.16 3
OklahomaState B12 0-0 7-5 +10.9 30 20 +4.8 35 -5.9 31 +7.6 28 6.57 30
UCLA P12 0-0 6-6 +10.5 31 40 +7.3 18 -3.4 57 +5.4 47 9.95 2
AppalachianState Sun 0-0 8-4 +10.0 32 24 +2.3 71 -7.4 20 +7.7 27 0.74 91
Minnesota B10 0-0 7-5 +9.5 33 82 +4.9 33 -4.6 44 +5.9 41 6.86 26
BYU Ind 0-0 7-5 +9.3 34 2 +4.8 36 -4.6 43 +5.3 48 4.41 54
WakeForest ACC 0-0 7-5 +8.8 35 49 +7.8 14 -1.3 84 +4.4 56 2.56 74
Mississippi SEC 0-0 7-5 +8.7 36 69 +8.0 13 -1.0 91 +4.9 51 6.22 37
WestVirginia B12 0-0 6-6 +8.7 37 44 +2.7 67 -5.9 32 +5.4 46 6.59 29
Toledo MAC 0-0 8-4 +8.5 38 39 +4.7 38 -3.7 53 +6.3 40 -2.66 125
WashingtonState P12 0-0 6-6 +8.1 39 66 +5.7 27 -2.5 70 +4.8 53 6.33 34
MississippiState SEC 0-0 6-6 +8.0 40 88 +1.9 74 -6.0 30 +5.1 50 7.54 16
Buffalo MAC 0-0 8-4 +7.9 41 8 +4.9 34 -3.0 62 +5.4 44 -2.52 123
California P12 0-0 6-6 +7.8 42 63 +0.4 90 -7.4 19 +4.5 55 6.33 35
NorthCarolinaState ACC 0-0 6-6 +7.6 43 68 +3.0 63 -4.3 49 +6.7 35 6.40 33
CoastalCarolina Sun 0-0 8-4 +7.6 44 7 +3.0 64 -4.2 50 +6.7 37 -1.95 120
Nebraska B10 0-0 6-6 +7.3 45 83 +3.1 61 -4.4 48 +3.5 70 7.52 18
VirginiaTech ACC 0-0 7-5 +7.2 46 50 +4.4 42 -3.0 61 +3.7 65 4.51 53
Stanford P12 0-0 5-7 +7.1 47 46 +1.5 77 -5.1 39 +7.3 31 10.00 1
BallState MAC 0-0 7-5 +7.1 48 13 +3.9 45 -2.7 68 +7.3 30 3.12 67
SanDiegoState MWC 0-0 8-4 +6.9 49 36 -1.0 102 -7.8 17 +4.4 60 -0.45 101
Marshall CUSA 0-0 8-4 +6.9 50 26 +0.9 83 -5.8 33 +4.6 54 -3.03 129
Virginia ACC 0-0 6-6 +6.7 51 56 +3.6 53 -3.2 59 +3.4 71 4.28 56
Baylor B12 0-0 6-6 +6.6 52 76 +0.2 92 -6.6 27 +2.6 78 5.20 45
BostonCollege ACC 0-0 7-5 +6.6 53 67 +3.0 66 -3.6 56 +4.3 61 2.30 78
Purdue B10 0-0 6-6 +6.6 54 81 +4.5 41 -2.5 69 +2.0 85 8.32 7
Wyoming MWC 0-0 8-4 +6.4 55 54 -0.7 99 -7.4 21 +1.7 87 0.21 95
FloridaAtlantic CUSA 0-0 8-4 +6.3 56 89 +0.4 89 -5.7 35 +4.9 52 -2.80 126
Memphis Amer 0-0 7-5 +6.2 57 74 +3.7 52 -2.0 78 +7.1 32 1.96 81
SMU Amer 0-0 7-5 +6.2 58 59 +6.0 25 +0.2 100 +6.4 39 2.52 75
Nevada MWC 0-0 7-5 +6.0 59 41 +2.7 68 -2.8 66 +6.5 38 0.36 93
SanJoseState MWC 0-0 7-5 +6.0 60 16 +1.8 75 -3.7 54 +6.7 36 -0.66 105
WesternMichigan MAC 0-0 7-5 +6.0 61 42 +6.0 24 +0.1 99 +4.4 57 2.93 69
Pittsburgh ACC 0-0 6-6 +5.8 62 53 +1.2 80 -4.6 45 +3.7 66 3.82 61
FresnoState MWC 0-0 7-5 +5.8 63 80 +3.0 65 -2.9 64 +3.0 77 1.61 85
Tulane Amer 0-0 6-6 +5.7 64 45 +4.8 37 -1.2 87 +2.3 82 2.31 77
Troy Sun 0-0 8-4 +5.7 65 62 +2.3 70 -3.4 58 +3.6 67 -1.28 111
Colorado P12 0-0 5-7 +5.6 66 55 +3.1 62 -2.2 74 +5.7 42 8.16 10
Missouri SEC 0-0 7-5 +5.6 67 94 +3.1 58 -2.4 72 +4.2 63 3.15 66
Tulsa Amer 0-0 6-6 +5.6 68 37 -0.4 97 -5.8 34 +4.4 59 3.90 59
Houston Amer 0-0 8-4 +5.5 69 61 +3.8 50 -2.0 76 +2.0 84 -1.45 114
KansasState B12 0-0 5-7 +5.5 70 78 +3.1 60 -2.4 71 +3.1 76 7.53 17
UAB CUSA 0-0 7-5 +5.5 71 33 +1.0 81 -4.1 52 +5.5 43 1.32 88
Maryland B10 0-0 6-6 +5.1 72 84 +3.1 59 -2.0 77 +3.3 72 5.39 43
Liberty Ind 0-0 8-4 +4.9 73 43 +3.8 48 -0.7 93 +5.4 45 -1.87 119
FloridaState ACC 0-0 5-7 +4.7 74 104 +3.5 54 -1.2 86 +3.1 75 6.91 24
Arkansas SEC 0-0 5-7 +4.6 75 87 +2.3 72 -2.3 73 +3.2 74 8.26 8
TexasTech B12 0-0 5-7 +4.6 76 90 +4.1 44 -0.8 92 +1.6 89 5.54 42
Northwestern B10 0-0 6-6 +4.6 77 23 -2.3 114 -6.6 26 +4.2 62 3.60 63
OregonState P12 0-0 5-7 +4.4 78 73 +5.1 32 +0.4 101 +1.0 91 8.53 4
MiamiOH MAC 0-0 7-5 +4.3 79 52 +0.9 84 -3.0 60 +5.3 49 0.07 96
Louisville ACC 0-0 6-6 +4.2 80 65 +4.2 43 -0.3 98 +0.4 98 5.03 47
CentralMichigan MAC 0-0 6-6 +4.1 81 51 +2.4 69 -1.7 81 +2.4 79 2.69 72
Kentucky SEC 0-0 7-5 +4.0 82 85 -1.4 107 -5.1 38 +3.8 64 1.78 83
MichiganState B10 0-0 5-7 +3.7 83 106 +0.5 88 -2.9 65 +4.4 58 6.97 23
Ohio MAC 0-0 7-5 +3.5 84 64 +3.2 57 -0.5 96 +1.2 90 -0.77 107
EasternMichigan MAC 0-0 7-5 +3.3 85 72 +2.2 73 -1.3 85 +0.9 93 -0.64 104
AirForce MWC 0-0 7-5 +3.2 86 38 -1.8 110 -5.2 36 +0.5 96 0.36 92
Tennessee SEC 0-0 6-6 +3.0 87 98 -1.6 108 -4.5 47 +2.4 80 2.18 80
Hawaii MWC 0-0 7-6 +2.8 88 70 +1.4 78 -1.1 89 +3.5 69 -1.83 118
GeorgiaState Sun 0-0 6-6 +2.4 89 58 +4.5 40 +2.3 114 +3.5 68 3.91 58
Syracuse ACC 0-0 5-7 +2.1 90 111 -0.3 96 -2.7 67 -0.7 102 5.07 46
Army Ind 0-0 7-5 +2.0 91 47 -2.9 116 -4.7 40 +1.6 88 -0.75 106
GeorgiaTech ACC 0-0 4-8 +1.7 92 108 +0.7 86 -1.1 90 +0.9 92 7.95 13
Rutgers B10 0-0 5-7 +1.5 93 96 +0.2 93 -1.4 83 +0.5 97 5.95 38
GeorgiaSouthern Sun 0-0 6-6 +1.4 94 57 -1.8 112 -2.9 63 +2.4 81 1.69 84
SouthCarolina SEC 0-0 5-7 +1.4 95 114 +0.6 87 -0.7 94 +0.7 95 6.46 31
KentState MAC 0-0 6-6 +1.2 96 71 +3.9 47 +2.8 118 +1.8 86 -1.10 110
LouisianaTech CUSA 0-0 7-5 +1.1 97 103 +0.2 94 -0.5 95 +3.3 73 -1.72 117
UTSA CUSA 0-0 7-5 +0.9 98 79 -1.3 105 -1.9 79 +2.3 83 -4.70 131
ArkansasState Sun 0-0 5-7 +0.9 99 92 +3.2 56 +2.4 115 +0.8 94 2.91 70
EastCarolina Amer 0-0 5-7 +0.1 100 93 +1.8 76 +1.6 110 -0.4 100 1.59 86
ColoradoState MWC 0-0 5-7 +0.1 101 91 +0.9 82 +0.7 103 -0.7 103 2.97 68
NorthernIllinois MAC 0-0 5-7 -0.0 102 97 -1.7 109 -1.9 80 -1.5 107 1.90 82
UtahState MWC 0-0 6-6 -0.2 103 118 +0.8 85 +1.0 105 +0.1 99 0.03 98
Illinois B10 0-0 4-8 -0.4 104 110 +1.4 79 +1.7 112 -0.9 105 6.86 25
Arizona P12 0-0 3-9 -1.0 105 107 -0.1 95 +0.7 104 -1.2 106 8.33 6
FIU CUSA 0-0 6-6 -1.4 106 113 +0.3 91 +1.3 107 -3.2 114 -2.56 124
MiddleTennessee CUSA 0-0 6-6 -1.5 107 117 -0.4 98 +1.1 106 -0.4 101 -2.81 127
NorthTexas CUSA 0-0 6-6 -1.6 108 121 +3.8 51 +5.3 125 -1.6 108 -0.92 108
Rice CUSA 0-0 6-6 -1.6 109 75 -4.9 126 -3.6 55 -3.2 113 -2.14 121
Navy Amer 0-0 4-8 -1.8 110 105 -3.3 117 -1.5 82 -0.8 104 5.80 40
SouthernMississippi CUSA 0-0 5-7 -2.6 111 115 -2.0 113 +0.6 102 -2.0 110 -0.31 100
Duke ACC 0-0 4-8 -2.7 112 116 -1.2 103 +1.4 108 -2.7 112 3.48 64
SouthFlorida Amer 0-0 4-8 -3.2 113 120 -1.3 104 +2.0 113 -1.6 109 2.72 71
NewMexico MWC 0-0 5-7 -3.8 114 95 -0.8 101 +2.7 117 -3.5 117 -1.32 112
SouthAlabama Sun 0-0 5-7 -3.8 115 99 -4.8 125 -1.1 88 -2.5 111 -1.72 116
TexasState Sun 0-0 5-7 -4.5 116 100 -1.8 111 +2.4 116 -4.5 121 -1.44 113
WesternKentucky CUSA 0-0 5-7 -4.5 117 102 -4.8 124 -0.4 97 -3.3 115 -0.97 109
Kansas B12 0-0 3-9 -4.9 118 127 -1.4 106 +3.6 121 -3.4 116 7.60 15
Vanderbilt SEC 0-0 4-8 -5.6 119 130 -4.0 120 +1.4 109 -4.3 119 2.39 76
Charlotte CUSA 0-0 5-7 -5.9 120 109 -0.8 100 +5.1 124 -4.3 120 -2.86 128
Temple Amer 0-0 4-8 -5.9 121 123 -4.3 121 +1.6 111 -3.6 118 0.32 94
UNLV MWC 0-0 3-9 -6.4 122 119 -2.9 115 +3.4 120 -5.2 123 3.75 62
OldDominion CUSA 0-0 4-8 -8.9 123 101 -3.9 119 +4.7 123 -7.5 128 -1.59 115
LouisianaMonroe Sun 0-0 3-9 -9.0 124 129 -3.4 118 +5.6 127 -5.3 124 1.40 87
Connecticut Amer 0-0 4-8 -9.9 125 112 -4.4 122 +5.6 126 -5.7 125 -0.64 103
Akron MAC 0-0 3-9 -10.5 126 126 -7.5 129 +3.2 119 -4.9 122 2.58 73
UTEP CUSA 0-0 4-8 -11.1 127 124 -6.6 127 +4.6 122 -5.9 126 -3.23 130
Massachusetts Ind 0-0 3-9 -13.8 128 128 -4.8 123 +9.5 129 -7.0 127 -2.40 122
BowlingGreen MAC 0-0 2-10 -16.4 129 131 -9.5 130 +7.0 128 -9.1 129 -0.62 102
NewMexicoState Ind 0-0 2-10 -18.5 130 122 -7.2 128 +11.3 130 -12.3 130 0.06 97
FCS Z_FCS 0-0 6-111 -24.3 131 125 -11.2 131 +13.3 131 -14.6 131 4.28 55

And the Big Ten in particular...

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Prj SOS rk
OhioState B10 0-0 10-2 +23.2 3 4 +14.9 1 -8.2 15 +16.4 2 6.81 27
Wisconsin B10 0-0 9-3 +16.7 7 28 +6.1 23 -10.7 5 +9.4 20 7.49 19
PennState B10 0-0 8-4 +14.9 15 60 +8.2 11 -6.9 24 +8.6 21 8.23 9
Iowa B10 0-0 8-4 +14.4 18 15 +5.2 31 -9.2 8 +8.5 22 7.77 14
Indiana B10 0-0 7-5 +11.3 28 25 +3.3 55 -7.7 18 +8.1 24 7.31 20
Michigan B10 0-0 7-5 +11.2 29 86 +6.6 20 -4.6 42 +7.0 33 9.16 3
Minnesota B10 0-0 7-5 +9.5 33 82 +4.9 33 -4.6 44 +5.9 41 6.86 26
Nebraska B10 0-0 6-6 +7.3 45 83 +3.1 61 -4.4 48 +3.5 70 7.52 18
Purdue B10 0-0 6-6 +6.6 54 81 +4.5 41 -2.5 69 +2.0 85 8.32 7
Maryland B10 0-0 6-6 +5.1 72 84 +3.1 59 -2.0 77 +3.3 72 5.39 43
Northwestern B10 0-0 6-6 +4.6 77 23 -2.3 114 -6.6 26 +4.2 62 3.60 63
MichiganState B10 0-0 5-7 +3.7 83 106 +0.5 88 -2.9 65 +4.4 58 6.97 23
Rutgers B10 0-0 5-7 +1.5 93 96 +0.2 93 -1.4 83 +0.5 97 5.95 38
Illinois B10 0-0 4-8 -0.4 104 110 +1.4 79 +1.7 112 -0.9 105 6.86 25

Ohio State isn't losing 2 games, though.

PERFECTION WATCH

The probability that a team will have a perfect season. Does not yet include post-season games (such as conference championships or bowl games) since those are not yet scheduled.

First, the winners:

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Perf W rk
Clemson ACC 0-0 11-1 +25.8 2 3 +11.9 4 -13.9 1 +15.7 3 0.25 1
Alabama SEC 0-0 11-1 +27.5 1 1 +14.2 2 -13.2 2 +17.9 1 0.20 2
OhioState B10 0-0 10-2 +23.2 3 4 +14.9 1 -8.2 15 +16.4 2 0.12 3
Oklahoma B12 0-0 10-2 +21.4 4 5 +12.5 3 -8.8 9 +14.3 5 0.08 4
Georgia SEC 0-0 10-2 +20.8 5 12 +9.3 8 -11.1 3 +15.1 4 0.06 5
CentralFlorida Amer 0-0 9-3 +12.5 24 29 +10.6 5 -2.1 75 +7.7 26 0.02 6
Wisconsin B10 0-0 9-3 +16.7 7 28 +6.1 23 -10.7 5 +9.4 20 0.02 7
Washington P12 0-0 9-3 +15.6 11 35 +6.2 22 -9.2 7 +10.8 15 0.02 8
LouisianaLafayette Sun 0-0 9-3 +11.5 27 14 +5.7 28 -5.2 37 +11.1 9 0.01 9
Miami ACC 0-0 9-3 +15.9 10 22 +7.3 17 -8.4 13 +11.1 10 0.01 10

Go Louisiana!

Now the more interesting set:

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Perf L rk
NewMexicoState Ind 0-0 2-10 -18.5 130 122 -7.2 128 +11.3 130 -12.3 130 0.04 1
BowlingGreen MAC 0-0 2-10 -16.4 129 131 -9.5 130 +7.0 128 -9.1 129 0.02 2
Kansas B12 0-0 3-9 -4.9 118 127 -1.4 106 +3.6 121 -3.4 116 0.01 3
UNLV MWC 0-0 3-9 -6.4 122 119 -2.9 115 +3.4 120 -5.2 123 0.01 4
Akron MAC 0-0 3-9 -10.5 126 126 -7.5 129 +3.2 119 -4.9 122 0.01 5
Navy Amer 0-0 4-8 -1.8 110 105 -3.3 117 -1.5 82 -0.8 104 0.01 6
Massachusetts Ind 0-0 3-9 -13.8 128 128 -4.8 123 +9.5 129 -7.0 127 0.00 7
Illinois B10 0-0 4-8 -0.4 104 110 +1.4 79 +1.7 112 -0.9 105 0.00 8
Arizona P12 0-0 3-9 -1.0 105 107 -0.1 95 +0.7 104 -1.2 106 0.00 9
FCS Z_FCS 0-0 6-111 -24.3 131 125 -11.2 131 +13.3 131 -14.6 131 0.00 10

Illinois: more likely to go winless than a FCS team.

PLAYOFF RACE

Defined as the odds of finishing the season with one loss or fewer. No G5 teams, because obvs. Conference title games not considered due to my lack of skill in coding for that scenario.

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk 1 Loss rk
Clemson ACC 0-0 11-1 +25.8 2 3 +11.9 4 -13.9 1 +15.7 3 0.64 1
Alabama SEC 0-0 11-1 +27.5 1 1 +14.2 2 -13.2 2 +17.9 1 0.56 2
OhioState B10 0-0 10-2 +23.2 3 4 +14.9 1 -8.2 15 +16.4 2 0.40 3
Oklahoma B12 0-0 10-2 +21.4 4 5 +12.5 3 -8.8 9 +14.3 5 0.30 4
Georgia SEC 0-0 10-2 +20.8 5 12 +9.3 8 -11.1 3 +15.1 4 0.29 5
Wisconsin B10 0-0 9-3 +16.7 7 28 +6.1 23 -10.7 5 +9.4 20 0.12 7
Washington P12 0-0 9-3 +15.6 11 35 +6.2 22 -9.2 7 +10.8 15 0.11 8
Miami ACC 0-0 9-3 +15.9 10 22 +7.3 17 -8.4 13 +11.1 10 0.09 9
IowaState B12 0-0 8-4 +16.2 9 9 +7.4 16 -8.6 11 +11.1 11 0.07 14

Go Iowa State! (and Wisconsin)

ASSORTED THOUGHTS

A - Clownfraud Trasch Watch 2021

Every year, there is a team (sometimes more than one!) that manages to pull together a shiny looking record which belies a continued set of unimpressive victories against lesser competition (2014 Florida State, 2015 Iowa, etc.). While we can usually identify these teams by the strikingly similar excuses their annoying fans offer up for their team's crap performances ("have you considered this extremely cherry-picked stat", "numbers can't measure our intangibles", "S&C, brah"), this section aims to help you determine: which teams are actually trasch?

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Rat Diff rk
LouisianaLafayette Sun 0-0 9-3 +11.5 27 14 +5.7 28 -5.2 37 +11.1 9 0.62 1
TexasAM SEC 0-0 8-4 +15.4 13 19 +4.7 39 -10.0 6 +13.2 6 0.52 3
USC P12 0-0 8-4 +14.2 20 18 +7.5 15 -6.4 29 +11.3 8 0.34 18
BoiseState MWC 0-0 8-4 +12.7 21 21 +8.3 10 -4.2 51 +10.3 16 0.33 20
LSU SEC 0-0 8-4 +16.9 6 77 +9.9 7 -6.7 25 +12.7 7 0.27 28
Cincinnati Amer 0-0 8-4 +12.3 25 6 +3.9 46 -8.0 16 +9.6 19 0.26 29
Georgia SEC 0-0 10-2 +20.8 5 12 +9.3 8 -11.1 3 +15.1 4 0.23 30
OhioState B10 0-0 10-2 +23.2 3 4 +14.9 1 -8.2 15 +16.4 2 0.18 36
NotreDame ACC 0-0 8-4 +15.1 14 10 +3.8 49 -10.8 4 +11.0 12 0.18 37
Florida SEC 0-0 8-4 +11.6 26 27 +6.8 19 -4.7 41 +8.3 23 0.12 42

These almost certainly make no sense given the events of 2020. Just roll with it.

2 - The Weekly Watch in Worst

There are bad teams, yes. But is anyone really that surprised when Directional Michigan fails to make a bowl game? The more interesting spectacle is when a power conference school (Rutgers technically qualifies) squanders all their inherent advantages and serves up the suck for their fans. Here are your current "front-runners":

Team Conf Record PrjRec Tot Rat rk LW Adj Off rk Adj Def rk Res Rat rk Prj SOS rk
Vanderbilt SEC 0-0 4-8 -5.6 119 130 -4.0 120 +1.4 109 -4.3 119 2.39 76
Kansas B12 0-0 3-9 -4.9 118 127 -1.4 106 +3.6 121 -3.4 116 7.60 15
Duke ACC 0-0 4-8 -2.7 112 116 -1.2 103 +1.4 108 -2.7 112 3.48 64
Arizona P12 0-0 3-9 -1.0 105 107 -0.1 95 +0.7 104 -1.2 106 8.33 6
Illinois B10 0-0 4-8 -0.4 104 110 +1.4 79 +1.7 112 -0.9 105 6.86 25
SouthCarolina SEC 0-0 5-7 +1.4 95 114 +0.6 87 -0.7 94 +0.7 95 6.46 31
Rutgers B10 0-0 5-7 +1.5 93 96 +0.2 93 -1.4 83 +0.5 97 5.95 38
GeorgiaTech ACC 0-0 4-8 +1.7 92 108 +0.7 86 -1.1 90 +0.9 92 7.95 13
Syracuse ACC 0-0 5-7 +2.1 90 111 -0.3 96 -2.7 67 -0.7 102 5.07 46
Tennessee SEC 0-0 6-6 +3.0 87 98 -1.6 108 -4.5 47 +2.4 80 2.18 80

III - Best Performance of the Week/Year 2020 Season

Normally, we'd look back on the previous week, but that doesn't exist yet. Impressive performances (quality of opponent helps, but is not required) that may be worth taking notice of. Expect to see a lot of Alabama.

Last year:

Year Wk Day Date Team H/V Opponent W/L PtsO PtsD
2020 9 Sat 2020-10-31 #7 CoastalCarolina N #58 GeorgiaState W 51 0
2020 7 Sat 2020-10-17 #3 Clemson V #108 GeorgiaTech W 73 7
2020 12 Sat 2020-11-21 #1 Alabama H #85 Kentucky W 63 3
2020 19 Mon 2021-01-11 #1 Alabama N #4 OhioState W 52 24
2020 15 Fri 2020-12-11 #17 ArizonaState V #107 Arizona W 70 7
2020 8 Sat 2020-10-24 #10 NotreDame V #53 Pittsburgh W 45 3
2020 15 Sat 2020-12-12 #30 NorthCarolina V #22 Miami W 62 26
2020 10 Fri 2020-11-06 #2 BYU V #21 BoiseState W 51 17
2020 18 Fri 2021-01-01 #4 OhioState N #3 Clemson W 49 28
2020 15 Sat 2020-12-12 #1 Alabama V #87 Arkansas W 52 3

[insert comments as appropriate]

THE PICKINGS

This may be on pause until I figure out where I'm going backfill the 2020 lines from and get lines for the current season. But at least there's only like 2 FBS games this week:

Date Team H/V Opponent WLk PrjMOV VegPrj Pk vs Veg
Aug 28 #104 Illinois H #45 Nebraska 36% -5.2 -6.5 Illinois
Aug 28 #88 Hawaii V #31 UCLA 25% -10.0 -17.5 Hawaii
Aug 28 #127 UTEP V #130 NewMexicoState 63% 4.8 9.5 NewMexicoState
Aug 28 #125 Connecticut V #63 FresnoState 12% -17.9 -28.0 UConn
Aug 28 #60 SanJoseState H Southern Utah 99% 40.4 ~ ~

WEEK 2 PICKS

Date Team H/V Opponent WLk PrjMOV
Sep 4 #2 Clemson N #5 Georgia 63% 4.9
Sep 4 #21 UCLA H #6 LSU 47% -0.9
Sep 4 #15 PennState V #7 Wisconsin 38% -4.3
Sep 2 #25 CentralFlorida H #22 BoiseState 56% 2.3
Sep 4 #10 Miami N #1 Alabama 22% -11.4
Sep 4 #29 Indiana V #18 Iowa 35% -5.5
Sep 3 #23 NorthCarolina V #46 VirginiaTech 58% 2.9
Sep 4 #8 Texas H #28 LouisianaLafayette 70% 7.5
Sep 4 #71 Maryland H #38 WestVirginia 47% -1.0
Sep 2 #3 OhioState V #33 Minnesota 77% 11.0
Sep 4 #68 KansasState N #47 Stanford 45% -1.6
Sep 4 #67 Houston N #76 TexasTech 53% 0.9
Sep 4 #35 FresnoState V #12 Oregon 27% -9.0
Sep 4 #59 Nevada V #43 California 38% -4.3
Sep 5 #74 FloridaState H #14 NotreDame 30% -7.7
Sep 6 #80 Louisville N #37 Mississippi 38% -4.5
Sep 4 #56 FloridaAtlantic V #27 Florida 30% -7.7
Sep 4 #30 Michigan H #60 WesternMichigan 70% 7.6
Sep 3 #83 MichiganState V #77 Northwestern 41% -3.3
Sep 4 #81 CentralMichigan V #65 Missouri 39% -4.0
Sep 4 #54 Purdue H #78 OregonState 63% 4.6
Sep 4 #90 Army V #88 GeorgiaState 42% -2.9
Sep 4 #89 Syracuse V #84 Ohio 40% -3.8
Sep 4 #92 Illinois H #98 UTSA 59% 3.1
Sep 4 #72 SanJoseState V #20 USC 22% -11.5
Sep 4 #26 Cincinnati H #79 MiamiOH 76% 10.3
Sep 4 #91 GeorgiaTech H #102 NorthernIllinois 62% 4.2
Sep 4 #110 Navy H #50 Marshall 34% -6.0
Sep 4 #111 SouthernMississippi V #115 SouthAlabama 46% -1.3
Sep 4 #62 Tulane V #4 Oklahoma 12% -17.8
Sep 2 #100 EastCarolina N #32 AppalachianState 25% -9.7
Sep 4 #97 LouisianaTech V #41 MississippiState 26% -9.2
Sep 3 #112 Duke V #120 Charlotte 52% 0.7
Sep 4 #34 BYU N #105 Arizona 76% 10.1
Sep 4 #104 UtahState V #40 WashingtonState 23% -10.6
Sep 4 #109 Rice V #75 Arkansas 28% -8.7
Sep 4 #52 Baylor V #116 TexasState 72% 8.4
Sep 4 #96 KentState V #13 TexasAM 14% -16.4
Sep 2 #44 NorthCarolinaState H #113 SouthFlorida 81% 13.1
Sep 2 #121 Temple V #93 Rutgers 25% -9.8
Sep 4 #9 IowaState H Northern Iowa 92% 21.8
Sep 4 #99 ArkansasState H Central Arkansas 79% 11.9
Sep 4 #82 Kentucky H #125 LouisianaMonroe 85% 15.2
Sep 3 #36 WakeForest H #124 OldDominion 90% 19.9
Sep 2 #48 BallState H Western Illinois 90% 19.3
Sep 2 #122 UNLV H Eastern Washington 76% 10.4
Sep 1 #69 UAB N Jacksonville State 90% 19.8
Sep 4 #126 Akron V #17 Auburn 5% -27.1
Sep 3 #101 ColoradoState H South Dakota State 88% 18.0
Sep 4 #61 Pittsburgh H #128 Massachusetts 92% 21.8
Sep 2 #66 Tulsa H California-Davis 92% 21.9
Sep 3 #118 Kansas H South Dakota 85% 15.2
Sep 4 #57 Memphis H Nicholls State 93% 23.4
Sep 2 #129 BowlingGreen V #87 Tennessee 8% -21.5
Sep 2 #45 CoastalCarolina H Citadel 95% 26.0
Sep 2 #117 WesternKentucky H Tennessee-Martin 92% 22.2
Sep 2 #106 FIU H Long Island 94% 24.9
Sep 4 #53 BostonCollege H Colgate 97% 30.2
Sep 4 #130 NewMexicoState V #49 SanDiegoState 3% -30.6
Sep 2 #19 Utah H Weber State 98% 35.8
Sep 4 #55 Wyoming H MontanaState 97% 30.7
Sep 4 #127 Connecticut H HolyCross 89% 18.5
Sep 3 #85 EasternMichigan H St. Francis (PA) 96% 29.5
Sep 4 #95 SouthCarolina H Eastern Illinois 96% 28.5
Sep 4 #73 Liberty H Campbell 97% 31.0
Sep 4 #108 NorthTexas H NorthwesternState 95% 27.1
Sep 4 #86 AirForce H Lafayette 97% 30.4
Sep 3 #64 Colorado H NorthernColorado 97% 32.2
Sep 4 #123 UTEP H Bethune-Cookman 93% 23.1
Sep 4 #103 Hawaii H Portland State 96% 29.4
Sep 4 #107 MiddleTennessee H Monmouth 96% 28.6
Sep 4 #11 Washington H Montana 99% 40.1
Sep 4 #58 SMU H Abilene Christian 98% 34.3
Sep 4 #51 Virginia H WilliamMary 98% 36.5
Sep 2 #114 NewMexico H Houston Baptist 97% 30.0
Sep 4 #119 Vanderbilt H EastTennesseeState 97% 30.0
Sep 4 #94 GeorgiaSouthern H Gardner-Webb 98% 34.7
Sep 4 #31 OklahomaState H Missouri State 99% 41.0
Sep 4 #70 Nebraska H Fordham 99% 37.6
Sep 4 #39 Toledo H Norfolk State 99% 42.0
Sep 2 #42 Buffalo H Wagner 99% 42.5
Sep 4 #24 TCU H Duquesne 99% 45.6
Sep 2 #16 ArizonaState H Southern Utah 100% 47.7
Sep 4 #63 Troy H Southern 99% 43.8

And the B10 in particular...

Date Team H/V Opponent WLk PrjMOV
Sep 4 #15 PennState V #7 Wisconsin 38% -4.3
Sep 4 #29 Indiana V #18 Iowa 35% -5.5
Sep 4 #71 Maryland H #38 WestVirginia 47% -1.0
Sep 2 #3 OhioState V #33 Minnesota 77% 11.0
Sep 4 #30 Michigan H #60 WesternMichigan 70% 7.6
Sep 3 #83 MichiganState V #77 Northwestern 41% -3.3
Sep 4 #54 Purdue H #78 OregonState 63% 4.6
Sep 4 #92 Illinois H #98 UTSA 59% 3.1
Sep 2 #121 Temple V #93 Rutgers 25% -9.8
Sep 4 #70 Nebraska H Fordham 99% 37.6